The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 6 matchup between the Ravens and Commanders.
Find a breakdown of every Week 6 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
Washington | Rank | @ | Baltimore | Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|
6.5 | Spread | -6.5 | ||
23 | Implied Total | 29.5 | ||
31 | 1 | Points/Gm | 29.4 | 2 |
23 | 20 | Points All./Gm | 25.2 | 26 |
62.8 | 15 | Plays/Gm | 65.6 | 3 |
57.8 | 6 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 60.4 | 13 |
6.3 | 3 | Off. Yards/Play | 6.8 | 1 |
5.7 | 26 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.6 | 25 |
53.50% | 1 | Rush% | 52.44% | 3 |
46.50% | 32 | Pass% | 47.56% | 30 |
43.94% | 18 | Opp. Rush % | 32.78% | 2 |
56.06% | 15 | Opp. Pass % | 67.22% | 31 |
- Baltimore games average 54.6 combined points per game, which is 2nd in the NFL.
- Washington games average 54 combined points per game, which is 3rd.
- Washington is averaging a league-high 5.8 scoring plays per game.
- Baltimore is averaging 5 scoring plays per game, tied for 2nd in the league.
- Baltimore has converted 50% (29-of-58) of their third downs, which is 3rd in the league.
- Washington has converted 51.7% (31-of-60) of their third downs, 2nd in the league.
- Washington has converted a league-high 37.9% (11-of-29) of their third and longs. The league average is 24.2%.
- Washington is averaging a league-high 3.37 points per drive, their highest rate through five weeks in the 2000s.
- Only the 2000 Rams (3.56) and 2013 Broncos (3.43) have averaged more points per drive through five games of a season in the 2000s.
- The Ravens are averaging 5.6 runs per game to gain 10 or more yards, the most in the league.
- Washington averages 5.0 runs per game with 10 or more yards, which is 3rd in the league.
- Baltimore has allowed three runs of 10 or more yards on the season, the fewest in the league.
- Washington is allowing 4.8 runs of 10 or more yards per game, the most in the NFL.
- Baltimore averages 9.2 plays per game of 15 or more yards, the most in the NFL.
- The Ravens allow 8.4 plays per game of 15 or more yards, tied for the most in the NFL.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Lamar Jackson (TRUST): Jackson is the only quarterback to have scored in the top 10 in every game this season.
He is fresh off a QB3 (33.4 points) scoring week, throwing 348 yards and 4 touchdowns, adding 55 rushing yards.
After 33 pass attempts over the previous two games, Jackson was pushed through the air, throwing a season-high 42 passes.
The Ravens have done an excellent job calibrating this offense around the moving parts they have had up front.
Jackson has only been sacked on 3.2% of his dropbacks, well below his 7.1% career rate.
Jackson has taken a sack on only 12.8% of his pressures when faced with heat.
His previous low for sack rate when pressured is 21.4%.
He has been pressured on 28.1% of his dropbacks, which would be a career low.
Jackson has been at his best in the intermediate area of the field this season.
On throws 10-19 air yards, Jackson has completed 24-of-37 (64.9%) passes for 441 yards and 3 touchdowns, 2nd in the NFL with a 132.8 rating on those throws.
The Commanders are 28th in the NFL defending those intermediate passes.
This game already had matchup appeal, but now that Washington has performed so well on offense to open the year, this game has more shootout potential than we would have penciled in before the season.
Washington has kept us honest the past two weeks against Kyler Murray and Deshaun Watson, but even with those games factored in, they are 30th in passing points allowed (17.4 per game).
One interesting thing about Washington is that they have not allowed much rushing output to passers despite facing Murray (3 yards), Watson (14 yards), and Daniel Jones (32 yards).
That will be challenged as Jackson is off to one of his best starts as a runner on top of his passing success.
His 363 yards rushing are the 2nd-most he has had through five weeks over his career.
He has 32 designed runs, one behind his career-high through five weeks.
Last season, at this point, he had 22 designed runs.
Jayden Daniels: Last week may not have been the best game for Daniels to open this season, but it was the most important for fantasy gamers.
Facing his first real defensive test, Daniels completed a season-low 56% of his passes (14-of-25) but still managed to end the week as a QB1 (19.7 points), averaging 9.5 yards per attempt paired with 82 yards on the ground.
Daniels had already established he could exploit great matchups to open the year.
Still, Sunday was the type of fantasy game that instilled confidence in him as a fantasy QB1, regardless of the matchup.
If we re-ranked quarterbacks for the rest of the season today, I would have Daniels 2nd behind Jackson.
The passing touchdowns have not even come yet.
23.5% (4-of-17) of Washington’s touchdowns have been passing, the lowest rate in the league.
The league average is 57.5% passing touchdowns.
Daniels and his rushing ability factor in here, but Washington running backs have 9 touchdowns on the ground so far as well.
Washington will likely end below the league rate in passing touchdown rate, but they won’t be as low as they are right now when we reach the end of the season, especially since Daniels has been a proven passer.
The Commanders have very few rough spots remaining on their schedule, and Daniels showed that he has upside as a passer, even in sticky outlooks.
The Ravens are a mixed bag.
They have shown signs of improvement (the first three quarters against Dak Prescott and Week 4 against Josh Allen), but their overall body of work has been one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL.
On Sunday, Baltimore was flooded for 392 yards and 5 touchdowns by Joe Burrow.
They are now 31st in passing points allowed per game (18.2), 26th in passing points allowed per attempt (0.486), 29th in yards allowed per attempt (8.1 Y/A), and 30th in yards allowed per completion (12.2).
The only angle I could see limiting Daniels as a QB1 is whether Washington can stop the Baltimore rushing attack. Still, we should expect this Washington running game to run into their hardest outlook of the year, putting more on Daniels as a passer and offering an upside outcome if this game can shoot out.
Running Back
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Learn MoreMore Week 6 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
Matchup | Time |
---|---|
49ers @ Seahawks -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
Jaguars @ Bears | Sunday -- 9:30 a.m. ET (London) |
Cardinals @ Packers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Colts @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Texans @ Patriots | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Bucs @ Saints | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Browns @ Eagles | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Commanders @ Ravens | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Chargers @ Broncos | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
Steelers @ Raiders | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
Lions @ Cowboys | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
Falcons @ Panthers | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
Bengals @ Giants | Sunday Night Football |
Bills @ Jets -- FREE | Monday Night Football |