Use the tool below to see the updated weather forecast, potential impact, and betting trends for every NFL game this week.
Additional Betting Tools:
| Matchup | Kickoff (Eastern) | Stadium | Forecast at Kickoff | Weather Impact Score | Totals in These Conditions | Betting Recommendations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks | Wednesday, September 9, 8:20 p.m. ET | Lumen Field | 74°F, 7 mph wind, gusts 13 | 1 of 5 — Negligible | At Lumen Field, games with wind under 8 mph have gone over 57% of the time (106 games). League-wide average: 52% over. | 6 betting recommendations |
| San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams | Thursday, September 10, 8:35 p.m. ET | Melbourne Cricket Ground | 57°F, 2 mph wind | 1 of 5 — Negligible | No NFL weather history at Melbourne Cricket Ground. League-wide average: 52% over. | — |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals | Sunday, September 13, 1:00 p.m. ET | Paycor Stadium | 85°F, 7 mph wind | 1 of 5 — Negligible | At Paycor Stadium, games with wind under 8 mph have gone over 45% of the time (103 games). League-wide average: 52% over. | 1 betting recommendation |
| New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions | Sunday, September 13, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ford Field | — | Indoors · weather is not a factor | Games in a dome or a closed roof have gone over 52% of the time (1,457 games), against 48% for outdoor games over the same span. A mild tendency, not an edge. | — |
| New York Jets at Tennessee Titans | Sunday, September 13, 1:00 p.m. ET | Nissan Stadium | 89°F, 7 mph wind | 1 of 5 — Negligible | At Nissan Stadium, games with wind under 8 mph have gone over 60% of the time (122 games). League-wide average: 52% over. | — |
| Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts | Sunday, September 13, 1:00 p.m. ET | Lucas Oil Stadium | 84°F, 8 mph wind | 2 of 5 — Minor | At Lucas Oil Stadium, only 10 games with wind 8-11 mph in the record, too few to read. All games here have gone under 61% of the time (31 games). League-wide average: 55% under. | — |
| Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers | Sunday, September 13, 1:00 p.m. ET | Acrisure Stadium | 81°F, 7 mph wind, gusts 14 | 1 of 5 — Negligible | At Acrisure Stadium, games with wind under 8 mph have gone over 58% of the time (86 games). League-wide average: 52% over. | — |
| Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers | Sunday, September 13, 1:00 p.m. ET | Bank of America Stadium | 87°F, 1 mph wind, gusts 9 | 1 of 5 — Negligible | At Bank of America Stadium, games with wind under 8 mph have gone over 44% of the time (120 games). League-wide average: 52% over. | — |
| Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars | Sunday, September 13, 1:00 p.m. ET | EverBank Stadium | 87°F, 6 mph wind | 1 of 5 — Negligible | At EverBank Stadium, games with wind under 8 mph have gone over 45% of the time (101 games). League-wide average: 52% over. | — |
| Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans | Sunday, September 13, 1:00 p.m. ET | NRG Stadium | 90°F, 7 mph wind | 1 of 5 — Negligible | At NRG Stadium, games with wind under 8 mph have gone over 50% of the time (20 games). League-wide average: 52% over. | — |
| Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders | Sunday, September 13, 4:25 p.m. ET | Allegiant Stadium | — | Indoors · weather is not a factor | Games in a dome or a closed roof have gone over 52% of the time (1,457 games), against 48% for outdoor games over the same span. A mild tendency, not an edge. | — |
| Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings | Sunday, September 13, 4:25 p.m. ET | U.S. Bank Stadium | — | Indoors · weather is not a factor | Games in a dome or a closed roof have gone over 52% of the time (1,457 games), against 48% for outdoor games over the same span. A mild tendency, not an edge. | — |
| Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles | Sunday, September 13, 4:25 p.m. ET | Lincoln Financial Field | 82°F, 8 mph wind, gusts 14 | 2 of 5 — Minor | At Lincoln Financial Field, games with wind 8-11 mph have gone under 59% of the time (39 games). League-wide average: 55% under. | — |
| Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers | Sunday, September 13, 4:25 p.m. ET | SoFi Stadium | — | Under a fixed roof · no precipitation reaches the field | Games in a dome or a closed roof have gone over 52% of the time (1,457 games), against 48% for outdoor games over the same span. A mild tendency, not an edge. | — |
| Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants | Sunday, September 13, 8:20 p.m. ET | MetLife Stadium | 76°F, 10 mph wind, gusts 17 | 2 of 5 — Minor | At MetLife Stadium, games with wind 8-11 mph have gone under 59% of the time (69 games). League-wide average: 55% under. | — |
| Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs | Monday, September 14, 8:15 p.m. ET | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium | 83°F, 7 mph wind, gusts 17 | 1 of 5 — Negligible | At GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, games with wind under 8 mph have gone over 46% of the time (74 games). League-wide average: 52% over. | — |
Does Wind Affect NFL Totals?
Yes. Outdoor games with wind under 8 miles per hour at kickoff have gone over 52.3% of the time across 2,345 games in our sample.
The baseline average for all outdoor games is 48.6%.
When Does Wind Start to Matter?
The break point is lower than people might think, right around 8 miles per hour.
Games in the 8 to 11 MPH wind band at kickoff have gone under 55% of the time over a 1,194-game sample.
Games in the 12 to 14 MPH wind band at kickoff have gone under 59% of the time over a 499-game sample.
Effect of Stronger Winds
Perhaps counterintuitively, given the information above, games in the 15 to 19 MPH wind band have a more mixed history depending on how and when wind is measured.
This more complicated result can also be explained by sportsbooks adjusting totals for games forecasted for high wind.
The average total for games forecasted to be in the 15 to 19 MPH wind band is roughly 1.5 points below the average for forecasted calm games.
Does Wind Affect NFL Passing Yards?
Yes
Effect of Wind on NFL Passing Stats:
| Wind at Kickoff | Avg Team Pass Yds | Yds/Att | 25+ Comp % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–7 MPH | 227 | 7.3 | 5.6% |
| 8–11 MPH | 218 | 7.1 | 5.2% |
| 12–14 MPH | 208 | 6.9 | 5.0% |
| 15–19 MPH | 211 | 6.8 | 4.9% |
| 20+ MPH | 206 | 7.0 | 5.0% |
Does Rain Affect NFL Scoring & Passing?
Yes. Teams playing in the rain since 2020 have averaged 15% fewer passing yards compared to the baseline.
Games with measurable rain at kickoff have gone under 57.4% of the time over a 343-game sample.
What is the Weather Impact Score?
A score that shows the cumulative effect of every weather condition we track.
The score is a 1-to-5 rating showing how much weather is likely to change how the game is played, taking into account sustained wind, gusts in calm wind, precipitation, and, to a small degree, temperature.
