Today's NFL weather forecast for every game, updated multiple times a day.
Use the tool below to see the updated weather forecast, potential impact, and betting trends for every NFL game this week.
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Week 6 NFL Weather Forecast
| Matchup | Kickoff (Eastern) | Stadium | Forecast at Kickoff | Weather Impact Score | Totals in These Conditions | Betting Recommendations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams | Monday, October 12, 8:15 p.m. ET (Week 5) | SoFi Stadium | - | Under a fixed roof · no precipitation reaches the field | - | 8 betting recommendations |
| Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos | Thursday, October 15, 8:15 p.m. ET | Empower Field at Mile High | 50°F, 9 mph wind, gusts 22, 53% chance of precipitation | 3 of 5, Moderate | At Empower Field at Mile High, games with wind 8-11 mph have gone under 45% of the time (22 games). League-wide average: 55% under. | - |
| Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars | Sunday, October 18, 9:30 a.m. ET | Wembley Stadium | 57°F, 11 mph wind, gusts 26 | 2 of 5, Minor | At Wembley Stadium, only 7 games with wind 8-11 mph in the record, not enough for a real history. League-wide average: 55% under. | - |
| Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons | Sunday, October 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mercedes-Benz Stadium | 62°F, 11 mph wind, gusts 22 | Retractable roof | - | 1 betting recommendation |
| Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns | Sunday, October 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Huntington Bank Field | 57°F, 10 mph wind, gusts 15 | 2 of 5, Minor | At Huntington Bank Field, games with wind 8-11 mph have gone under 68% of the time (56 games). League-wide average: 55% under. | - |
| Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts | Sunday, October 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Lucas Oil Stadium | 59°F, 7 mph wind, gusts 15 | Retractable roof | - | - |
| New York Jets at New England Patriots | Sunday, October 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Gillette Stadium | 50°F, 9 mph wind, gusts 21 | 3 of 5, Moderate | At Gillette Stadium, games with wind 8-11 mph have gone under 53% of the time (59 games). League-wide average: 55% under. | - |
| New Orleans Saints at New York Giants | Sunday, October 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | MetLife Stadium | 55°F, 9 mph wind, gusts 17 | 2 of 5, Minor | At MetLife Stadium, games with wind 8-11 mph have gone under 59% of the time (69 games). League-wide average: 55% under. | - |
| Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles | Sunday, October 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Lincoln Financial Field | 56°F, 7 mph wind, gusts 14 | 1 of 5, Negligible | At Lincoln Financial Field, games with wind under 8 mph have gone over 58% of the time (92 games). League-wide average: 52% over. | - |
| Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Sunday, October 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Raymond James Stadium | 80°F, 15 mph wind, gusts 29 | 3 of 5, Moderate | At Raymond James Stadium, only 11 games with wind 15-19 mph in the record, not enough for a real history. League-wide average: 50% over, no measurable effect (baseline 49%). | - |
| Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams | Sunday, October 18, 4:05 p.m. ET | SoFi Stadium | - | Under a fixed roof · no precipitation reaches the field | - | - |
| Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs | Sunday, October 18, 4:25 p.m. ET | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium | 64°F, 11 mph wind, gusts 24 | 2 of 5, Minor | At GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, games with wind 8-11 mph have gone under 52% of the time (60 games). League-wide average: 55% under. | 1 betting recommendation |
| Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders | Sunday, October 18, 4:25 p.m. ET | Allegiant Stadium | - | Indoors · weather is not a factor | - | - |
| Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers | Sunday, October 18, 8:20 p.m. ET | Lambeau Field | 57°F, 11 mph wind, gusts 25 | 2 of 5, Minor | At Lambeau Field, games with wind 8-11 mph have gone under 50% of the time (54 games). League-wide average: 55% under. | 1 betting recommendation |
| Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers | Monday, October 19, 8:15 p.m. ET | Levi's Stadium | 64°F, 11 mph wind, gusts 20 | 2 of 5, Minor | At Levi's Stadium, only 15 games with wind 8-11 mph in the record, not enough for a real history. League-wide average: 55% under. | - |
Weather analysis provided by weatherqb.com and weather.football
Does Wind Affect NFL Totals?
Yes. Outdoor games with wind under 8 miles per hour at kickoff have gone over 52.3% of the time across 2,345 games in our sample.
The baseline average for all outdoor games is 48.6%.
When Does Wind Start to Matter?
The break point is lower than people might think, right around 8 miles per hour.
Games in the 8 to 11 MPH wind band at kickoff have gone under 55% of the time over a 1,194-game sample.
Games in the 12 to 14 MPH wind band at kickoff have gone under 59% of the time over a 499-game sample.
Effect of Stronger Winds
Perhaps counterintuitively, given the information above, games in the 15 to 19 MPH wind band have a more mixed history depending on how and when wind is measured.
This more complicated result can also be explained by sportsbooks adjusting totals for games forecasted for high wind.
The average total for games forecasted to be in the 15 to 19 MPH wind band is roughly 1.5 points below the average for forecasted calm games.
Does Wind Affect NFL Passing Yards?
Yes
Effect of Wind on NFL Passing Stats:
| Wind at Kickoff | Avg Team Pass Yds | Yds/Att | 25+ Comp % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–7 MPH | 227 | 7.3 | 5.6% |
| 8–11 MPH | 218 | 7.1 | 5.2% |
| 12–14 MPH | 208 | 6.9 | 5.0% |
| 15–19 MPH | 211 | 6.8 | 4.9% |
| 20+ MPH | 206 | 7.0 | 5.0% |
Does Rain Affect NFL Scoring & Passing?
Yes. Teams playing in the rain since 2020 have averaged 15% fewer passing yards compared to the baseline.
Games with measurable rain at kickoff have gone under 57.4% of the time over a 343-game sample.
What is the Weather Impact Score?
A score that shows the cumulative effect of every weather condition we track.
The score is a 1-to-5 rating showing how much weather is likely to change how the game is played, taking into account sustained wind, gusts in calm wind, precipitation, and, to a small degree, temperature.
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