The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 15 matchup between the Bears and Browns.

Find a breakdown of every Week 15 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

ChicagoRank@ClevelandRank
3.0 Spread-3.0
17.75 Implied Total20.75
20.820Points/Gm22.212
23.823Points All./Gm20.914
64.812Plays/Gm71.81
60.74Opp. Plays/Gm56.71
523Off. Yards/Play4.529
5.213Def. Yards/Play4.63
48.22%3Rush%44.75%8
51.78%30Pass%55.25%25
37.90%5Opp. Rush %44.23%23
62.10%28Opp. Pass %55.77%10

  • The Browns are 6-1 against the spread at home this season, tied with Dallas for the best record in the league.
  • Cleveland has turned the ball over on 15.4% of their possessions, 30th in the league.
  • Chicago has turned the ball over on 15.0% of their possessions, 29th in the league.
  • The Bears have forced a turnover on 18.1% of opponent possessions over their past eight games, second in the league.
  • Cleveland has converted 31.5% of their third downs (30.3% under Joe Flacco), ahead of only the Giants and Jets.
  • Opponents have converted a league-low 29.0% of their downs against the Browns.
  • Chicago is allowing 2.9 plays per game that gain 20 or more yards, the fewest in the league.
  • The Bears are averaging 11:32 more time possession per game than their opponent over their past four games, the largest margin in the league.
  • The Bears are averaging 4.4 rushing plays of 10 or more yards per game, the most in the league.
  • 25.0% of the runs against Cleveland have failed to gain yardage, the highest rate in the league.
  • 20.6% of the runs against the Bears have failed to gain yardage, second in the league.

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Justin Fields: Fields only completed 57.6% of his passes with one touchdown on Sunday against the Lions, but his robust rushing ability anchored a QB3 (24.7 points) scoring week.

Fields rushed 12 times for 58 yards and a touchdown.

It was his third straight game with double-digit rushing attempts. Fields now is averaging 6.4 rushing points per game, sixth among quarterbacks.

We will need that rushing ability for Fields as a rushing-based QB1.

Cleveland is seventh in passing points allowed per attempt (0.358) and second in passing points allowed per game (10.3).

The Browns have allowed six passing touchdowns in the past two weeks to keep the door open for passing scores, but the primary appeal here for Fields is through his legs.

The Browns are 24th in rushing points allowed per game (3.7) to passers due to their aggressive defense. Quarterbacks have five rushing touchdowns against Cleveland.

Fields has a 9.5% scramble rate against man coverage this season, second in the NFL.

Cleveland is playing man coverage on 38.4% of passing plays, third in the league.

To continue reading this article

and gain access to The Worksheet and all of Rich’s regular content, including positional rankings and chats, click below to purchase our NFL Plus package.

Purchase
Already a Subscriber?Log In

More Week 15 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet:

Sharp Betting Packages
NFL, NCAAF, Props & More