The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 15 matchup between the Lions and Broncos.
Find a breakdown of every Week 15 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Denver | Rank | @ | Detroit | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Spread | -5.0 | ||
| 20.75 | Implied Total | 25.75 | ||
| 22.1 | 13 | Points/Gm | 26.2 | 7 |
| 23.8 | 23 | Points All./Gm | 24.2 | 25 |
| 58.7 | 31 | Plays/Gm | 67.2 | 2 |
| 64.2 | 18 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 60.9 | 6 |
| 5.1 | 19 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.8 | 4 |
| 5.9 | 30 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 20 |
| 45.48% | 6 | Rush% | 43.76% | 11 |
| 54.52% | 27 | Pass% | 56.24% | 22 |
| 43.77% | 21 | Opp. Rush % | 41.16% | 12 |
| 56.23% | 12 | Opp. Pass % | 58.84% | 21 |
- Denver is 7-1 when scoring first and 0-5 when the opponent scores first.
- Detroit is 7-0 when scoring first this season and 2-4 when the opponent scores first.
- 41.3% of the Denver possessions fail to gain a first down or touchdown before, which is 31st in the league.
- 27.8% of the Detroit possessions fail to gain a first or touchdown before, third in the league.
- Detroit has turned the ball over on 20.5% of their possessions over their past four games, 31st in the league.
- Denver has forced a turnover on a league-high 20.2% of opponent possessions over their past eight games.
- The Lions have allowed opponents to score a touchdown on 30.3% of their drives over their past seven games, 30th in the league.
- The Broncos have allowed a touchdown on 14.1% of opponent possessions over that same span, third in the league.
- Denver has allowed 162.3 rushing yards per game on the road, the most in the league.
- The Broncos are averaging 7.3 passing plays that gain 10 or more yards per game, 31st in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Jared Goff: Goff had his worst fantasy game of the season on Sunday, setting season-lows in completion rate (57.1%) and yards per pass attempt (4.6 Y/A) with just one touchdown and two interceptions.
Goff threw for just 161 yards and was the QB26 (6.4 points).
After Goff was inside of the top 10 in three of his opening six games this season, he has been inside of the top 10 in just one of his past seven games with four of those in the back half of weekly scoring.
The good news is that Goff does not have to play another game outdoors for the remainder of the regular season.
In eight games indoors this season, Goff has completed 69.3% of his passes for 8.1 Y/A with 16 touchdowns and six interceptions.
In five games outdoors, Goff has completed 63.6% of his passes for 6.5 Y/A with five touchdowns and four interceptions.
The line here suggests that Goff has more upside at home attached to one of the higher individual team totals of the week.
Denver has not allowed an opponent to hit Detroit’s current implied team total since Week 5, however.
They also have not allowed a QB1 scorer in a week since Week 6, which includes facing Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and C.J. Stroud.
Over their past nine games, Denver has allowed a league-low seven passing touchdowns.
Over that span, Denver is 10th in the league in pressure rate (37.7%) and 13th in yards allowed per pass attempt (6.8 Y/A).
Even if placing some faith in the implied total here and Detroit being back at home, Goff is more of a boom-or-bust QB2.
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