The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 15 matchup between the Seahawks and Eagles on Monday Night Football.
Find a breakdown of every Week 15 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Philadelphia | Rank | @ | Seattle | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | Spread | 3.5 | ||
| 25.5 | Implied Total | 22.0 | ||
| 26.3 | 6 | Points/Gm | 21.5 | 17 |
| 24.7 | 28 | Points All./Gm | 24.5 | 27 |
| 65.9 | 8 | Plays/Gm | 59.6 | 29 |
| 65.3 | 27 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 67.2 | 31 |
| 5.4 | 11 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.5 | 10 |
| 5.4 | 23 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.5 | 24 |
| 45.51% | 5 | Rush% | 38.45% | 28 |
| 54.49% | 28 | Pass% | 61.55% | 5 |
| 34.16% | 2 | Opp. Rush % | 41.42% | 14 |
| 65.84% | 31 | Opp. Pass % | 58.58% | 19 |
- The Eagles have allowed a league-high 401.9 yards per game over their past seven games.
- Over that same span, the Seahawks have allowed 385.9 yards per game, 30th in the league.
- The Eagles have allowed a touchdown on a league-high 28.1% of opponent drives.
- Seattle has allowed a touchdown on 24.7% of opponent drives, 28th in the league.
- Philadelphia has allowed opponents to convert a league-high 48.1% of their third downs.
- Seattle has allowed opponents to convert 45.8% of third downs, 30th in the league.
- The Eagles have turned the ball over on 19.2% of their possessions on the road (31st) as opposed to 7.8% at home (fifth).
- Seattle is averaging 31.4 fewer rushing yards per game than their opponent, 29th in the league.
- The Seahawks have run 99 fewer offensive plays than their opponent, the largest differential in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Jalen Hurts (TRUST): Hurts had his worst game of the season on Sunday night.
Closing as QB24 (8.9 points), he threw for 197 yards, did not throw a touchdown pass, lost a fumble, and had 30 rushing yards.
That was the first time that Hurts was not a top-10 fantasy quarterback in a week since Week 3.
Hurts and the Eagles have faced a daunting rogue’s gallery of pass defenses since Week 9.
Things lighten up this week.
Seattle had a strong run defensively in the middle of the season, but they have fallen off the wagon of late.
Over their past five games, Seattle has allowed 7.9 yards per pass attempt (27th), 10 passing touchdowns (28th), and a 102.1 rating (29th).
They have allowed three top-six scoring weeks over that span, including the past two weeks to Dak Prescott (28.3 points) and Brock Purdy (21.4 points).
Seahawks QB: The Seahawks have an extra day to get Geno Smith back after missing last week’s game with a groin injury.
The original timeline for Smith was a two-week injury, so if that is cutting things too close, Drew Lock would get another start on Monday.
Lock was QB18 (15.3 points) in San Francisco and proved competent for the pass catchers here, which is all we were looking for. He threw two interceptions but also two touchdowns and averaged 8.7 yards per pass attempt.
Lock would be a matchup-based QB2 should he start again this week.
The Eagles have gone against an equally daunting stretch of opposing quarterbacks lately, facing Dak Prescott (twice), Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Brock Purdy over their past five games.
Those passers averaged 21.4 points per game against Philadelphia.
Including Sam Howell in Week 8, the Eagles have allowed multiple passing touchdowns in six straight games.
Lock is not those passers, but he has a capable supporting cast while this game should feature plenty of passing volume.
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Running Back
D’Andre Swift: With 11 touches for 39 yards, Swift has now been outside of the top 30 scorers in three straight weeks.
He has been inside of the top-20 scorers in just two of his past seven games, both of which were weeks he found the end zone.
Swift’s biggest obstacles are scoring opportunities and receiving work. Jalen Hurts impacts the former while Swift has not had more than three receptions in a game since Week 7.
The schedule and performance of this offense have hurt Swift, but it just further illuminated things we have been highlighting in this space for weeks.
Swift is a volatile RB2.
The good news is that if you are riding Swift, the game environment here has a chance to pop while the matchup immensely improves over previous weeks.
Over their past six games, the Seahawks have allowed a league-high 5.6 yards per carry to running backs and a league-high eight rushing touchdowns to the position.
They have allowed 126.0 rushing yards per game to backfields over that span (29th) while 29.1% of the running back runs have resulted in a first down or touchdown (32nd).
Seahawks RBs: Both Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet were in the backfield together in full for the first time since Week 10.
Walker played 33 snaps (55.9%) while Charbonnet played 25 (42.4%). Walker ran 22 pass routes compared to 10 for the rookie.
Touches were tighter, however. Walker out-touched Charbonnet 12-to-10, gaining 54 yards on his opportunities while Charbonnet tallied 48 yards of his own.
This was a tighter split than where we left off with Walker before his injury.
If this is what we are going to see over the final month of the season, then both of these backs become touchdown-dependent FLEX options.
This matchup does look better than it did earlier in the season.
Philadelphia is on a run of surrendering 126, 167, 156, and 148 yards from scrimmage to backfields over their past four games.
Wide Receiver
A.J. Brown: After posting 111 yards in Weeks 9-11, Brown has bounced back with games of 8-114-0 and 9-94-0.
He has had 13 targets come his way in each of those games.
Brown is a front-end WR1.
With the Seattle pass defense failing recently and Devon Witherspoon suffering a hip pointer on Sunday, this matchup looks much softer.
Seattle has allowed three 100-yard receivers over the past two weeks along with three touchdowns.
Seattle has now allowed a 6.1% touchdown rate to outside wide receivers (28th), where Brown is playing 74.4% of his snaps.
When he does get to move inside, Seattle is allowing 8.4 yards per target (24th) to slot receivers.
DK Metcalf (TRUST): Metcalf started hot on Sunday, catching two passes for 52 yards and a touchdown on the opening drive of the game.
He finished the game with two catches for 52 yards and a touchdown.
Despite ghosting gamers and then getting ejected late, Metcalf has been at his best recently.
He has been a WR2 or better in four of his past five games with three top-15 scoring weeks. Over that stretch, he has at least 94 yards or a touchdown in all but one game.
Now he is getting the best matchup in the league for boundary receivers.
The Eagles are allowing 9.2 receptions (30th) for 115.5 yards (26th) per game to outside receivers to go along with a 6.1% touchdown rate (28th).
DeVonta Smith: Smith did not just whither away on Sunday with Dallas Goedert returning to the field, catching 5-of-10 targets for 73 yards.
He did lose a fumble, but it was the fourth straight game that Smith has had at least eight targets come his way.
Smith is an upside WR2 for Monday night.
Seattle is a zone-based team, playing zone coverage on 84.0% of passing plays, third in the league.
Smith has been better against zone this season, drawing a target on 20.3% of his routes versus zone for 2.05 yards per route run. He only has four fewer targets (73) against zone coverage than A.J. Brown.
Against man coverage is where there is a larger split between Smith and Brown.
Smith has been targeted on 16.9% of his routes against man coverage for 1.25 yards per route run while Brown has 30 more targets than Smith against man coverage.
Tyler Lockett: Lockett grabbed all six of his targets from Lock on Sunday for 89 yards.
It was the most yardage that Lockett has had in a game since Week 10 and just the fourth time this season that he has cleared 60 yards in a game.
Lockett will look to keep things moving forward as a WR3/FLEX against a Philadelphia team that is playing a lot more man coverage this season.
The Eagles are playing man coverage on 30.8% of passing plays, ninth in the league.
Lockett has only been targeted on 20.6% of his routes against man (lower than both Metcalf and JSN) compared to a team-high 22.8% of his route run versus zone.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: We were all over last week not being a game to roll the dice on Smith-Njigba.
He caught 4-of-7 targets for 25 yards against the 49ers.
The first-round pick has yet to clear 63 yards in a game and can only be used as a FLEX, but things should look better for his outlook here, especially for single-game DFS.
If you remember two weeks ago against Dallas, Smith-Njigba was close to breaking out when he had a season-high 11 targets.
That was against an aggressive defense, like the one we have here.
Against man coverage, Smith-Njigba has been targeted on 25.8% of his routes for 1.81 yards per route run compared to a 19.4% target rate against zone coverage for 1.23 yards per route run.
Against man coverage, Smith-Njigba is second on the team behind Metcalf with 23.8% of the team targets.
Tight End
Dallas Goedert: Goedert returned to the field on Sunday and was right back into his full-time role in the offense.
He ran a route on 92.9% of the team dropbacks.
Unfortunately, the offense did not do anything, and Goedert only caught four passes for 30 yards.
Goedert has appeared in 10 games this year and only has two TE1 scoring weeks.
His 10.5 yards per catch and 44.0 yards per game are his lowest since 2019.
Serving as a back-end TE1, Goedert will look to improve on things against a Seattle defense allowing 8.1 yards per target (28th) to tight ends and 5.2 receptions per game (22nd) to the position.
