The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 15 matchup between the Bills and Cowboys.
Find a breakdown of every Week 15 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Dallas | Rank | @ | Buffalo | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Spread | -2.5 | ||
| 23.5 | Implied Total | 26.0 | ||
| 32.4 | 1 | Points/Gm | 26.8 | 5 |
| 17.9 | 4 | Points All./Gm | 18.8 | 6 |
| 67.2 | 2 | Plays/Gm | 65.6 | 9 |
| 59.2 | 2 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 60.9 | 6 |
| 5.7 | 6 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5 |
| 4.9 | 6 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 18 |
| 42.73% | 14 | Rush% | 42.20% | 16 |
| 57.27% | 19 | Pass% | 57.80% | 17 |
| 43.69% | 20 | Opp. Rush % | 40.15% | 9 |
| 56.31% | 13 | Opp. Pass % | 59.85% | 24 |
- Dallas has scored more points than their implied team total in seven straight games, the longest streak in the league.
- The Cowboys have averaged a league-high 3.31 points per drive over their past eight games. The next closest team in the league over that span is averaging 2.63 points per drive.
- Dallas is the only team in the league that has scored on over half (53.0%) of their possessions.
- Buffalo has scored on 42.6% of their drives, fifth in the league.
- The Cowboys have outscored opponents by 133 points (258-to-125) in the first half this season, the largest margin in the league.
- Dallas has also outscored opponents by 66 points in the fourth quarter (114-to-48), the largest margin in the league.
- The Cowboys have converted a league-high 49.2% of their third downs.
- Buffalo is second in the league, converting 48.8% of their third downs.
- The Cowboys have converted 11.9% more of their third downs than their opponent, the largest differential in the league.
- The Bills have converted 9.5% more third downs than their opponents, second in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Dak Prescott: Prescott has been so hot that a QB13 effort (17.9 points) on Sunday night felt like a disappointment.
Dallas unfortunately got no pushback from the Eagles. After hitting on 14-of-23 passes for 157 yards and two touchdowns in the first half, Prescott was 10-of-16 for 114 yards and zero scores after the break.
Prescott has now thrown multiple touchdown passes in seven straight games. If he does that again this weekend, he will set a new franchise record.
Buffalo has allowed multiple passing touchdowns in five of their past eight games.
At the end of the day, this game environment and Prescott’s recent play are far too enticing to not go in on him as a front-end QB1.
This is the fantasy game of the week.
The Bills have an interesting defense right now.
Buffalo is allowing 6.3 yards per pass attempt over their past six games, eighth in the league.
They are allowing 0.378 passing points per attempt, which is 12th in the league and just below Dallas (0.372).
But they have allowed a 5.0% touchdown rate (26th) and a first down rate of 33.3% on attempts (22nd) over that span.
Buffalo is also banged up even further coming into this weekend, looking to be without both Micah Hyde and A.J. Epenesa.
What has saved the Bills is that they are ninth in the NFL in pressure rate (41.0%) over that span, but that is where Prescott has thrived.
Under pressure, Prescott is completing a league-high 63.9% of his passes for a league-high 8.4 yards per pass attempt. The league rates under pressure this season are a 49.3% completion rate for 6.1 Y/A.
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