The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 12 matchup between the Raiders and Chiefs.

Find a breakdown of every Week 12 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

Kansas CityRank@Las VegasRank
-9.5 Spread9.5
26.75 Implied Total17.25
16.43Points All./Gm20.513
59.73Opp. Plays/Gm64.623
5.67Off. Yards/Play4.727
4.75Def. Yards/Play5.320
41.71%15Opp. Rush %45.57%24
58.29%18Opp. Pass %54.43%9

  • The Chiefs are 9-1 (6-4 ATS) against the Raiders with Patrick Mahomes as their starting quarterback.
  • Six straight Kansas City games have gone under the game total, the longest streak in the league.
  • Las Vegas games have gone over the game total in just 2-of-11 games, the lowest rate in the league.
  • All five games in Las Vegas have gone under the game total.
  • Kansas City has scored a touchdown on 10.0% of their drives in the second half this season, 31st in the league. That includes going 0-15 over their past three games.
  • The Raiders have scored a touchdown on 10.9% of their second-half possessions, 31st in the league.
  • The Raiders are last in the NFL with 21.2 explosive rushing yards per game.
  • The Raiders have turned the ball over on a league-high 18.3% of their possessions.
  • The Chiefs are averaging 7.3 yards per play on third down, second in the league.
  • The Raiders are allowing 6.5 yards per play on third downs, 29th in the league.
  • The Chiefs are allowing 2.9 yards per play on third downs, the fewest in the league.

Trust = spike production for that player


Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes and this offense continued to sputter on Monday night against the Eagles.

Mahomes threw for a career-low 4.1 yards per pass attempt.

He completed 55.8% of his passes, his lowest rate since the season opener.

Of course, both of those we impacted by five dropped passes, one of which was a potential 51-yard touchdown.

The Chiefs have now been credited with 20 drops this season, tied for 27th in the league.

We have been mentioning it for weeks, but he is pacing for career-lows in yards per pass attempt (6.9 Y/A), yards per completion (10.4 yards), and touchdown rate (5.0%). His 2.4% interception rate is tracking to be a career-high.

A down Mahomes season is still a good season for most of the league, but he has not been a front-end fantasy producer.

Mahomes has now been the QB32, QB12, and QB14 over the past three games.

He has reached 20 fantasy points in just one of his past seven games with two of those seven games higher than QB10 in weekly scoring.

You are still pushing out Mahomes as a QB1 and he runs into a better spot to get right here.

The good news is that the Raiders are a passive defense.

They are 21st in terms of pressure rate (32.1%).

When Mahomes has not been pressured, he is completing 75.2% of his passes (sixth) with 16 touchdowns and three interceptions.

The Raiders are blitzing 21.5% of the time (25th) on passing plays.

You used to never blitz Mahomes, but he is averaging 6.0 Y/A when blitzed, ahead of only Deshaun Watson (5.7), Gardner Minshew (5.2), and Daniel Jones (4.7).

The Raiders just allowed 325 passing yards to Tua Tagovailoa, but Josh Allen is the only passer to throw more than two touchdowns against them this season.

To continue reading this article

and gain access to The Worksheet and all of Rich’s regular content, including positional rankings and chats, click below to purchase our season-long fantasy package or weekly starter stack.

Already a Subscriber?Log In

More Week 12 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet:

Sharp Betting Packages
NFL, NCAAF, Props & More