The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 5 matchup between the Rams and Packers.
Find a breakdown of every Week 5 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Green Bay | Rank | @ | LA Rams | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | Spread | 3.5 | ||
| 25.75 | Implied Total | 22.25 | ||
| 26 | 6 | Points/Gm | 18.8 | 22 |
| 22.3 | 20 | Points All./Gm | 28.8 | 31 |
| 64.5 | 6 | Plays/Gm | 59.8 | 20 |
| 61 | 16 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 60.5 | 15 |
| 6.4 | 2 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.2 | 19 |
| 5.6 | 23 | Def. Yards/Play | 6.4 | 32 |
| 50.39% | 7 | Rush% | 39.75% | 22 |
| 49.61% | 26 | Pass% | 60.25% | 11 |
| 41.39% | 7 | Opp. Rush % | 54.96% | 32 |
| 58.61% | 26 | Opp. Pass % | 45.04% | 1 |
- The Packers lead the NFL in plays of 15 or more yards (37), 20 or more yards (24), and 30 or more yards (12).
- The Packers have allowed 32 plays of 15 or more yards (30th) and 17 plays of 20 or more yards (28th) on defense.
- The Rams have allowed 19 plays of 20 or more yards (30th in the league) and the most plays of 30 or more yards (10).
- Los Angeles is allowing a league-high 8.1 yards per passing play.
- The Rams are averaging 77.3 fewer rushing yards per game than their opponent, the worst differential in the league.
- The Rams have led for 5.9% of their offensive snaps, 31st in the league.
- The Rams are averaging a league-low 1.0 points per drive in the first half of games as opposed to 2.80 points per drive (3rd) in the second half.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Jordan Love (TRUST): Love was rusty in a tough matchup in his first game returning against Minnesota.
Through three quarters, he was the worst quarterback in Week 4.
At that point, he had completed 19-of-37 (51.4%) passes for 187 yards (5.1) with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.
Chasing points in a jailbreak game script, Love caught fire in garbage time, connecting on 13-of-17 passes for 202 yards and 3 touchdowns in the final quarter.
That propelled him to QB3 (29.2 points) on the week.
Love has only completed 50% and 59.3% of his passes with 4 interceptions in his two appearances this season, but multiple touchdowns and splash plays have kept him as a QB1 in both outings.
This week, things are much easier on the surface.
The Rams have been a team we have circled every week to open the year.
Los Angeles is dead last in passing points allowed per attempt (0.660).
Sam Darnold leads the NFL in passing points per attempt (0.710), so every passer against the Rams has been just shy of 2024 Sam Darnold.
They allow a league-high 9.1 yards per pass attempt and a 7.8% touchdown rate (31st).’
The only cause for concern on Love not reaching a full-out run at QB1 this week is the potential lack of push from the Rams side.
Because the Rams have trailed so heavily, they have only faced 25.5 pass attempts per game, the third-fewest in the league.
No passer has thrown more than 30 passes in a game against them this season.
Matthew Stafford: It has been a tough run out for Stafford as he’s been short all his top pass catchers.
After finishing as QB13 in Week 1, Stafford has ended the past three weeks as QB30, QB21, and QB33.
His efficiency per attempt still looks good over that span (8.2 Y/A is 6th over the past three weeks), but he has only 1 passing touchdown, and the Rams have called games conservatively.
After a 68.9% dropback rate in Week 1, it went to 61.5% in Week 2, 52.7% in Week 3, and 55.2% last week.
Over that stretch, the Rams are 8% below their pass rate expectations.
Stafford is stuck as a back-end QB2 short of his top weaponry, but the Packers are not a scary opponent if you have to push him out in 2QB formats.
The Packers are 22nd in passing points allowed per attempt (0.436) and 23rd in passing points allowed per game (14.2).
Running Back
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More Week 5 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Bucs @ Falcons -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
| Jets @ Vikings | Sunday -- 9:30 a.m. ET (London) |
| Panthers @ Bears | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Ravens @ Bengals | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Dolphins @ Patriots | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Browns @ Commanders | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Colts @ Jaguars | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bills @ Texans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Raiders @ Broncos | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Cardinals @ 49ers | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Packers @ Rams | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Giants @ Seahawks | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Cowboys @ Steelers | Sunday Night Football |
| Saints @ Chiefs -- FREE | Monday Night Football |
