Week 8 NFL Player Props: Best Prop Bets & Predictions

NFL Best Prop Bets: Week 8 Picks

• D.J. Moore Over 55.5 Receiving Yards
• Zay Flowers Over 80.5 Receiving Yards
• Jahmyr Gibbs Under 30.5 Receiving Yards

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NFL Week 8 Best Prop Bet: D.J. Moore Over 55.5 Receiving Yards

Moore has battled an AC joint sprain, but he's had three weeks to rest it, sitting out games in Week 5 and Week 6 before Buffalo's Week 7 bye.

He's listed as questionable, but there doesn't appear to be much question around his availability.

Moore has played quite well in his limited time on the field this season.

According to the Fantasy Points Data Suite, Moore has run only 67 routes this season, but he's made the most of them, with a 28% target rate per route, 28.3% target share, and 2.66 yards per route run (Y/RR).

Moore had 100 receiving yards against the Texans in Week 1 and 67 against the Chargers in Week 3.

Those are the only two games Moore didn't leave early with his AC joint sprain.

Buffalo's prized offseason acquisition will return for a favorable matchup.

The Ravens have allowed the fourth-most yards per target (9.63) and the fifth-most receiving yards per game (181.6) to wide receivers this season.

10 wide receivers have cleared 55.5 receiving yards against the Ravens this year, including the duo of Tee Higgins (148 receiving yards) and Ja'Marr Chase (62 receiving yards) last week.

They've allowed at least one wideout to surpass that mark in all seven games this season.

NFL Week 8 Best Prop Bet: Zay Flowers Over 80.5 Receiving Yards

Flowers is in an eruption spot.

The Bills have allowed the seventh-most receiving yards per game (173.8) to wide receivers this season, and stud wideouts Amon-Ra St. Brown (142 receiving yards) and Puka Nacua (138 receiving yards) trounced them.

Speedster Tre Tucker (97 receiving yards) barbecued them.

Flowers is a stud and a souped-up version of Tucker.

Among 139 players with at least 100 routes this season, Flowers ranks third in target share (29.8%), fifth in target rate per route (32%), sixth in first-read rate (36.8%), 28th in air yard share (32.4%), and second in yards per route run (3.85).

Flowers has posted his gaudy numbers despite missing some time and playing very few snaps with returning Lamar Jackson.

In 63 snaps that Flowers and Jackson have shared the field this season, Flowers has a 47.4% target share, 41% target rate per route, and 8.02 Y/RR.

Obviously, those aren't sustainable marks, but Baltimore's No. 1 will get a massive boost from Jackson's return this week.

Flowers has over 80.5 receiving yards in four of six games this year and should do so a fifth time in a probable shootout on Sunday.

NFL Week 8 Best Prop Bet: Jahmyr Gibbs Under 30.5 Receiving Yards

There's no question Gibbs is a passing-game weapon, as evidenced by leading running backs in receiving yards per game (45.0) this year.

He's gone over 30.5 receiving yards in four of six games.

Gibbs has a brutal matchup this week, though.

The Vikings have allowed the second-fewest receiving yards per game (18.2) to running backs this season.

D'Andre Swift had 54 receiving yards against the Vikings in Week 2, but Jonathan Taylor‘s 15 receiving yards are the second-highest total for a running back against Minnesota this season.

Gibbs' track record isn't great in the receiving game against Brian Flores‘ defenses with the Vikings, either.

Per StatHead, Gibbs has recorded 44, 31, 23, 30, 3, and 0 receiving yards against the Vikings in six career matchups.

Gibbs had just 23 and 3 receiving yards against the Vikings in two matchups last year.

An underrated aspect of taking Gibbs under 30.5 receiving yards is a possible favorable game script.

The Lions are favored at home, and a positive game script for the hosts would reduce the need to pass against Minnesota's fierce defense.

Gibbs is unlikely to buck the trend of running backs struggling in the passing attack against the Vikings and his own trend of modest receiving production against his NFC North rivals.