The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 2 matchup between the Browns and Jaguars.
Find a breakdown of every Week 2 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Cleveland | Rank | @ | Jacksonville | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | Spread | -3.5 | ||
| 19 | Implied Total | 22.5 | ||
| 17 | 24 | Points/Gm | 17 | 24 |
| 33 | 28 | Points All./Gm | 20 | 12 |
| 70 | 5 | Plays/Gm | 50 | 27 |
| 60 | 15 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 65 | 23 |
| 3.3 | 31 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 16 |
| 4.4 | 8 | Def. Yards/Play | 6.2 | 28 |
| 27.14% | 32 | Rush% | 52.00% | 9 |
| 72.86% | 1 | Pass% | 48.00% | 24 |
| 41.67% | 13 | Opp. Rush % | 38.46% | 9 |
| 58.33% | 20 | Opp. Pass % | 61.54% | 24 |
- 46.2% of the Cleveland set of downs ended in third and long (needing 7 or more yards) in Week 1, the highest rate in the league. The league average was 21.9%.
- The Browns were 1-of-12 in converting those 3rd and longs.
- 64.3% of the Cleveland possessions in Week 1 did not result in a first down or touchdown, the worst rate in the league.
- Cleveland used motion on a league-low 12.5% of dropbacks in Week 1.
- The Browns had a 20.0% pressure rate (30th) in Week 1 after a 42.5% pressure rate (2nd) in 2023.
- The Jaguars punted on 54.5% of their drives in Week 1, ahead of only the Bears (60.0%).
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Trevor Lawrence: Lawrence opened the season as QB19 (11.3 points).
He was 8th in passing points per attempt (0.499), but Lawrence only had 25 dropbacks, ahead of only Anthony Richardson and Aaron Rodgers in Week 1.
Forced to live on limited volume, Lawrence completed 57.1% (12-of-21) of his passes for 162 yards with a touchdown, rushing once for 8 yards.
This is a tougher spot to turn to Lawrence in 1QB formats, leaving Lawrence as a mid-range QB2.
These teams played a weird game last year in which they combined for 58 points.
Lawrence threw 3 touchdowns in that game, but he had 3 turnovers and only passed for 5.1 yards per attempt.
That kept him as QB15 (17.4 points) that week, which would have been a back-end QB1 score in Week 1.
Deshaun Watson did not play in that game, outing another potential shootout in question.
The Cleveland defense was stout again in Week 1, limiting Dak Prescott to 5.6 Y/A and a 59.4% completion rate.
If you are chasing anything from last year as an upside outcome for Lawrence, the Cleveland defense allowed a 6.0% touchdown rate on the road (30th) and 12.2 yards per completion (29th).
Even though they gave up more big plays on the road, Cleveland still only allowed a 59.4% completion rate (2nd) when they traveled.
Deshaun Watson: After sitting at the bottom of nearly every passing metric the past two seasons, Watson was overwhelmed in the season opener against Dallas.
The Browns were missing their starting tackles against an elite pass rush, but Watson has repeatedly given us no reason to believe he can regain his early-career success.
Watson completed 53.3% (24-of-45) of his passes, 27th in the league in Week 1.
His 3.8 yards per pass attempt were ahead of only two passers (Bo Nix and Caleb Williams), two players starting their first game in the NFL.
Watson only completed 37.5% of his passes to wide receivers in Week 1, the lowest rate in the league.
Watson was pressured on 42.9% of his dropbacks, the third-highest rate in the league.
When pressured, Watson was 5-of-15 for 20 yards (1.3 Y/A).
But even when he was kept clean, Watson sported a 58.9 rating in Week 1, ahead of only Bryce Young and Daniel Jones.
From a clean pocket, Watson threw for only 5.0 Y/A and both interceptions.
There were 12 total clean pocket interceptions in Week 1, with Watson and Jones the only passers throwing multiple picks.
Watson did rush for 39 yards (tied for 6th among quarterbacks), but all that did was wipe away his turnovers.
Watson is a volatile QB2 with his upside tied to his rushing output.
In their first game under new defensive coordinator Ryan Nielsen, the Jaguars played man coverage on a league-high 72.5% of passing snaps.
That was against Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.
Against man coverage in Week 1, Watson was 2-of-7 for 16 yards, but he did throw a touchdown.
Running Back
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More Week 2 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Bills @ Dolphins -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
| Saints @ Cowboys | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Colts @ Packers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jets @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| 49ers @ Vikings | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Seahawks @ Patriots | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Giants @ Commanders | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Chargers @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bucs @ Lions | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Browns @ Jaguars | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Raiders @ Ravens | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Rams @ Cardinals | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Steelers @ Broncos | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bengals @ Chiefs | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bears @ Texans | Sunday Night Football |
| Falcons @ Eagles -- FREE | Monday Night Football |
