The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 3 matchup between the Chiefs and Bears.

Find a breakdown of every Week 3 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

ChicagoRank@Kansas CityRank
13.0 Spread-13.0
17.25 Implied Total30.25
32.531Points All./Gm15.03
64.014Opp. Plays/Gm67.023
4.527Off. Yards/Play5.75
631Def. Yards/Play4.810
51.56%30Opp. Rush %38.81%10
48.44%3Opp. Pass %61.19%23

  • The Bears have now lost 12 consecutive games dating back to last season, the longest active streak in the league.
  • Chicago has allowed 25-plus points in all of those games, the second-longest streak ever (13 games), which was set over the 1963-1964 seasons.
  • The Bears are -9 in sack differential (31st) through two weeks after ranking dead last in sack differential (-38) in 2022.
  • Since entering the league, Justin Fields has been sacked on a league-high 11.5% of his dropbacks.
  • Over that same span, Patrick Mahomes has been sacked on 3.7% of his dropbacks, the second-lowest rate.
  • The Bears are allowing a league-high 9.1 yards per play on third downs.
  • The Chiefs are averaging 8.7 yards per play on third down, third in the league.

Trust = spike production for that player


Patrick Mahomes (TRUST): Mahomes has opened the season on the mild side for his standards, scoring 19.5 points (QB7) and 21.2 points (QB14), but the return of Travis Kelce this past week aided a spike in efficiency.

Mahomes completed 70.7% of his passes after 53.8% in Week 1, passing for 7.4 yards per pass attempt after 5.8 Y/A in the season opener.

Mahomes and this offense should have their way here.

This Chicago defense is still a major issue and does not appear to be that much better than where we left off a year ago.

Through two games, the Bears have allowed both Jordan Love (9.1 Y/A) and Baker Mayfield (9.3 Y/A) to throw for over 9.0 yards per pass attempt while surrendering a 6.6% touchdown rate (30th).

Mahomes has also kept up his rushing output from a year ago, rushing for 45 and 30 yards in each game to open the year.

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