The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 3 matchup between the Jets and Patriots.

Find a breakdown of every Week 3 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

New EnglandRank@NY JetsRank
-3.0 Spread3.0
20.0 Implied Total17.0
18.522Points/Gm16.027
24.517Points All./Gm23.015
74.54Plays/Gm49.531
61.012Opp. Plays/Gm75.532
4.528Off. Yards/Play5.115
5.217Def. Yards/Play4.68
31.54%29Rush%44.44%13
68.46%4Pass%55.56%20
45.08%21Opp. Rush %43.71%18
54.92%12Opp. Pass %56.29%15

  • The Patriots are 0-2 for the first time since 2001.
  • It is the first time that New England is 0-2 after opening up with both games at home since 1975.
  • The Patriots are 4-0 against the Jets in games that Zach Wilson has started.
  • The Jets have converted 26.1% (6-of-23) of their third downs through two weeks, 31st in the league.
  • The Jets are averaging a league-low 4.5 plays per offensive possession.
  • New England has produced a gain of 20 or more yards on just 1.3% of their offensive plays so far, the lowest rate in the NFL.
  • The Jets are averaging a league-low 3.7 yards per play in the second half of games to open the season.
  • The Jets have allowed pressure on 56.0% of their dropbacks without the opponent blitzing, the highest rate in the league.

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Mac Jones: After closing Week 1 as QB2 (24.1 points), Jones immediately came back down to QB24 (13.7 points) Sunday Night against the Dolphins.

Jones has thrown for just 5.9 yards and 5.5 yards per pass attempt, but he leads the NFL in dropbacks (105) and pass attempts (96) through two weeks as the Patriots have trailed early in both games to open the year.

The Patriots have had a 72.6% dropback rate in the second half of games this season.

Game script should be neutral here, which should reduce the passing volume.

The matchup is also not stellar to exploit a game in which we will need efficiency.

The Jets are 10th in passing points allowed per attempt (0.325) and have allowed QB23 and QB17 scoring weeks to Josh Allen and Dak Prescott to open the season.

In four starts against the Jets, Jones has thrown three touchdown passes, finishing higher than QB20 in one of those starts.

Jones is back-end QB2 option.

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