The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 3 matchup between the Packers and Saints.
Find a breakdown of every Week 3 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| New Orleans | Rank | @ | Green Bay | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Spread | -2.0 | ||
| 20.75 | Implied Total | 22.75 | ||
| 18.0 | 25 | Points/Gm | 31.0 | 2 |
| 16.0 | 5 | Points All./Gm | 22.5 | 14 |
| 69.0 | 7 | Plays/Gm | 53.5 | 30 |
| 57.5 | 7 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 74.0 | 30 |
| 5.0 | 18 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.2 | 13 |
| 4.6 | 6 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.1 | 15 |
| 43.48% | 14 | Rush% | 49.53% | 6 |
| 56.52% | 19 | Pass% | 50.47% | 27 |
| 35.65% | 5 | Opp. Rush % | 50.00% | 28 |
| 64.35% | 28 | Opp. Pass % | 50.00% | 5 |
- New Orleans has allowed 20 or fewer points in 10 straight games. That is their longest streak as a franchise and the longest streak in the league since the 2018-2019 seasons.
- The Saints have allowed a league-low 7.2 quarterback rating on throws 10 or more yards downfield, allowing 8-of-26 attempts to be completed (30.8%) for 119 yards (4.6 Y/A) with three interceptions.
- Jordan Love is averaging a touchdown pass once every 66.0 passing yards, the highest rate in the league. The league average is one passing touchdown for every 169.3 passing yards to open the season.
- 19.2% of Love's pass attempts have been deemed inaccurate per TruMedia, the highest rate in the league.
- Love has completed -8.6% of his passes below expectation, the lowest rate over the opening two weeks.
- 45.2% of the rushing attempts against Green Bay have gained five or more yards, the highest rate in the league through two weeks.
- 31.11% of the New Orleans passing yardage has come after the catch, the lowest rate in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Jordan Love: Love has been a solid fantasy option to open the season, scoring 23.0 (QB3) and 20.3 (QB16) fantasy points.
Love only completed 56.0% of his passes for 6.0 yards per attempt on Sunday against the Falcons, but he was able to anchor his line with three more passing touchdowns while adding 23 rushing yards.
Love has now completed fewer than 60% of his passes each week but has run hot in the touchdown department to cover his tracks for fantasy.
20.7% of Love’s completed passes have gone for touchdowns. The next highest quarterback is at 11.1%, while the league average is 6.1%.
Regression is coming for Love in that area, so we need him to pick up his efficiency completing passes and for more yardage per attempt as a QB2 fantasy play.
The good news is that Christian Watson should be coming back this week.
The bad news is that the Saints have opened the season where they left off a year ago.
This is also a team that has not been challenged, facing Ryan Tannehill and Bryce Young, but New Orleans has allowed just 7.0 passing points through two games, second in the league behind the Cowboys.
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