|46.2%||29||Opp. Rush %||37.5%||6|
|53.8%||4||Opp. Pass %||62.5%||27|
- Under Doug Pederson, the Eagles are 5-1 straight up against the Giants, but 2-4 against the spread.
- The Giants are 31st in points allowed per game on the road (30.8).
- The Eagles are allowing 18.0 points per game at home (seventh) as opposed to 29.3 per game on the road (30th).
- The Giants have trailed for 76.9% of their offensive snaps, the highest rate in the league.
- The Giants have trailed by double-digits on offense in 11 different games this season, the most in the league.
- The Giants are averaging 2.1 fewer yards per pass attempt than their opponents, the worst in the league.
- The Giants have allowed a league-high 15 touchdowns from outside of the red zone this season.
Trust (spike production for that player)
- Carson Wentz: Last week was Wentz’s first QB1 scoring week since Week 6, but when you go up and down his schedule. It’s not hard to see how things went south for him based on matchups and the injuries the Eagles suffered. This week he gets another soft matchup at home against a Giants defense that is allowing 16.6 passing points per game (26th) and have allowed top-10 scoring quarterbacks on the season, including five in a row.
- Alshon Jeffery: After missing two games, Jeffery returned to receive a gaudy 16 targets, catching nine of them for 137 yards and a score. The 16 targets were the most Jeffery had in a game since the 2015 season. This week he gets another strong matchup as the Giants have allowed a league-high 13 receiving touchdowns to opposing WR1 options.
On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)
- Saquon Barkley: Barkley has had a usable floor the past four weeks, but that’s not what you drafted or what your expectations are for him. He hasn’t had an RB1 scoring week since Week 8, which was the last time he found the end zone. But he is coming off 22 touches, seven targets, and his first 100-yard total yard game over his past four. Barkley trounced the Eagles last year for 371 yards and three touchdowns. But through an ankle injury, offensive issues, and a reduced passing-game role, that version of Barkley hasn’t been the one we’ve had this season. The Eagles are allowing just 3.6 yards per carry to opposing backs (fourth), but are 19th in receiving points allowed per game (10.5) if Barkley can turn his target volume into something this week.
- Zach Ertz: The Eagles were back to nearly full strength in the passing game and Ertz played a reduced role (74.6% of the snaps) as he played through a hamstring issue that him as a game-time decision. With those things in play, Ertz managed just 3-24 on six targets. In the four full games that Jeffery has played, Ertz averages 7.1 targets per game (21.4% of the team share) as opposed to 12.0 targets per game (28.4%) with him out or forced out early. The hamstring and target splits shave some off the top, but Ertz has given the Giants fits recently, posting games of 7-91-1, 7-43-1, 6-56-1, and 8-55-1 over his past four games against the Division rival.
- Miles Sanders: We’ll have to await word on Jordan Howard this week, but for now will enter the week where we left off last. Sanders has played 86% of the offensive snaps with Howard out of the lineup and is coming off a season-high 22 touches. If he’s the feature back once again, the gets another profitable draw against a Giants defense that is 23rd in rushing points allowed per game (13.9).
Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)
- Eli Manning: With Daniel Jones expected to miss this week, Manning is back in the fold. It’s a perfect setting as he enters the game with a 116-116 career record as a starting quarterback. For fantasy purposes, Manning was the QB19 and QB26 in his two starts to open the season and has had four QB1 scoring weeks since the start of last season. Last week versus the Dolphins showed that the Eagles proving that their defensive turnaround the past few weeks was far from who they are still, but they have played well at home this season. None of the past five quarterbacks they’ve faced in Philadelphia have registered scoring weeks higher than QB19 despite facing Matthew Stafford, Russell Wilson, and Tom Brady outside of Mitchell Trubisky and Luke Falk.
If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play)
- Giants WRs: Assuming we get Golden Tate back in the lineup this week, this will be only the third game all season that all of Tate, Sterling Shepard, and Darius Slayton have played together this season. And now with Manning under center. In those previous two games all three wideouts played, Shepard had a team-high 18 targets, Tate 13, and Slayton 12, but Slayton has outproduced both with 8-129-1 receiving, while Shepard has 10-64-0 and Tate 6-46-1. Slayton has outright led the Giants in receiving yardage three games in a row regardless of who is on the field. The Eagles are 27th in points allowed per target to opposing wideouts (2.0) and have allowed 16 touchdowns to the position (27th).
- Dallas Goedert: Goedert has been a top-12 scoring tight end in six of the past seven weeks, averaging 6.1 targets per game over that span. He had seven targets last week despite playing 56.3% of the snaps, his lowest rate in a game since Week 3. The Giants are third in points allowed to opposing tight ends, but the only top-12 seasonal scorers they’ve faced are Jason Witten and Kyle Rudolph.
- Kaden Smith: Smith has played 98% and 91% of the snaps the past two weeks with Evan Engram and Rhett Ellison sidelined, catching 11-of-14 targets for 87 yards and a touchdown. If he has the job all to himself once again than he is on the table as a streaming option, but the Eagles are ninth in points allowed to tight ends.
More Week 14 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet: