The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 14  Tennessee Titans vs Oakland Raiders Sunday afternoon game on December 8, 2019 at 4:25 pm ET.
24.75Implied Total22.25
19.57Points All./Gm2728
66.829Opp. Plays/Gm61.58
38.4%10Opp. Rush %41.7%18
61.6%23Opp. Pass %58.3%15
  • Over their past three games, Oakland is last in the league in points per play (.161) while Tennessee is first (.679).
  • Oakland has lost back to back games by 31 or more points for the first time in a season since 1961.
  • Josh Jacobs has forced the most missed tackles (61) on rushing attempts in the league. Derrick Henry ranks fourth (47).
  • Jacobs has forced a missed tackle on 27.9% of his rushing attempts, trailing only Alvin Kamara (28.0%).
  • Henry is the first running back to rush for 140 or more yards in three straight games since Adrian Peterson in 2012.
  • Since entering the league in 2016, Henry leads all backs in rushing yards (1,111) and rushing touchdowns (13) in December games. 
  • Henry ranks 12th in the league in first half rushing yards (382) with just one rushing touchdown in the first half of games this season. 
  • Henry leads the league in rushing yards (758) and rushing touchdowns (10) in the second half of games.
  • 18.8% of Ryan Tannehill’s completions have gained 20 or more yards, second behind Matthew Stafford (21.9%) on the season. 
  • 21.9% of the completions allowed by the Raiders have gained 20 or more yards, the highest rate in the league.

Trust (spike production for that player)

  • Derrick Henry: Henry has been a tear, with four straight top-four scoring weeks. Every week is seemingly the same as he starts off slow and then starts running wild after the half. Henry has found the end zone in nine games this season, which is why his ceiling remains so high for a one-dimensional back, but in the games he hasn’t scored, he’s been the RB25, RB46, and RB39 because he has two or fewer receptions in every game but two on the season. That’s more for awareness than concern as Henry’s last big game came against a run defense that was fourth in rushing points allowed for fantasy. Oakland ranks 12th (12.0 per game), but have allowed four rushing touchdowns to backs over their past four games. 
  • Darren Waller: Waller had 30.0% of the team targets last week, his highest share in a game since Week 3. With Hunter Renfrow expected to be out once again, that’s a green light for Waller to retain high usage. The Titans are 25th in points allowed per game to tight ends and have allowed a TE1 scoring week to a tight end in each of their past three games. 

On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)

  • Josh Jacobs: Jacobs had 104 rushing yards last week, but once was again phased out of the game and turned in just an RB31 scoring week since he was solely hollow rushing yardage. In the past three Raiders losses, Jacobs has been the RB28, RB43, and RB31, catching three passes for 17 yards in those games. Tennessee is middling against the run for fantasy, allowing 12.5 rushing points per game (16th), but Jacobs needs the game script to remain tight to stay on the field. 

Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)

  • Derek Carr: Carr has struggled the past two weeks with QB28 and QB29 weeks against the Jets and Chiefs. His three QB1 games this season have come against the Texans, Bengals, and Lions. Tennessee isn’t quite the neon sign for streaming, allowing just three top-12 scoring games all season, but they have allowed four 300-yard passers over their past six games. 

If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play) 

  • Ryan Tannehill: Tannehill would be a locked-in streamer if we could count on his volume being somewhere in the area of middling instead of so low. He’s been a hyper-efficient player so far, but is operating for fantasy purposes in a similar light as what we expect from Russell Wilson every week. Tannehill is averaging 9.1 yards per pass attempt and has a 6.8% touchdown rate, but has thrown 59 total passes over his past three games with a high of 22. That said, the matchup is strong enough to retain efficiency as Oakland is allowing 8.2 yards per pass attempt (29th) and a 6.7% touchdown rate (31st).
  • A.J. Brown: Because the volume in this passing game is so marginal, latching onto consistent fantasy assets here has been hard to do, even with Tannehill playing so well. Brown is the name that carries sex appeal and has shown fantasy upside, but he has had more than five targets in just two games all season. Adam Humphries being declared out already enhances Brown’s volume a bit while he is the best downfield playmaker against a defense that gives up the highest rate of downfield catches in the league. 
  • Tyrell Williams: Williams has been a top-40 scoring wideout in just one of his past five games, despite having superb paper matchups against the Lions and Jets over that stretch. He’s had three or fewer catches in seven of his past eight games. The matchup is solid once again as the Titans are allowing 207.8 receiving yards per game to wideouts over their past four games, but Williams is more of a blind dart on matchup alone than true usage.

More Week 14 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet:

DAL at CHI | DET at MIN | BAL at BUF | SF at NO | IND at TB | CIN at CLE | DEN at HOU | WAS at GB | CAR at ATL | MIA at NYJ | LAC at JAX | TEN at OAK | KC at NE | PIT at ARI | SEA at LAR | NYG at PHI