The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 14 Washington Redskins vs Green Bay Packers Sunday afternoon game on December 8, 2019 at 1 pm ET.
|46.6%||30||Opp. Rush %||42.2%||22|
|53.4%||3||Opp. Pass %||57.8%||11|
- Green Bay has converted 70.0% (28-of-40) of their red zone possessions for touchdowns, second in the league behind Tennessee (71.9%).
- Green Bay averages 2.3 red zone touchdowns per game, fourth in the league.
- Washington is allowing 3.7 red zone possessions per game (27th).
- Just 17.3% of the Washington drives have ended inside of the red zone, the lowest rate in the league. League average is 29.5%.
- The Packers are averaging 6.5 yards per play on offense at home, second in the league.
- Opponents are averaging 53.9 offensive touches per game versus Washington, second-most in the league behind Arizona (54.8).
- Washington averages 6.1 fewer first downs per game than their opponent, the largest gap in the league.
- Washington is averaging 17.0 passing yards per possession, the fewest in the league.
Trust (spike production for that player)
- Aaron Rodgers: We go as the matchups go with Rodgers as his spike weeks have come against pushovers and he gets another good one this weekend at home. Washington is 30th in completion rate (69.2%), 27th in touchdown rate (5.6%) and 23rd in passing points allowed per pass attempt (0.46) allowed.
- Davante Adams: Adams has double-digit targets in five straight games played with six or more catches in all of those weeks. He’s even found the end zone three times over the past two weeks, making good on his scoring regression after failing to reach the paint over his first six games of the season. Washington is 30th in points allowed per target to wideouts (2.04) and 30th in touchdown rate allowed (7.3%) to the position. If you want to chase a wideout behind Adams, Allen Lazard had the big game last week, but was still on the field for fewer routes (21) than Geronimo Allison (28).
On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)
- Packers RBs: The split between Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams continued once again last week, with Williams out-playing Jones outright the past two weeks. Over their past four games, Williams has 53 touches (17 catches) for 259 yards while Jones has 50 touches (five receptions) for 191 yards. Jones 28 touches for 69 yards over the past two weeks and has now been the RB33, RB45, RB48, and the RB43 in his past four games without a touchdown. Williams has had a much higher floor, with six top-30 scoring weeks over his past seven games. Washington is allowing 154.1 yards per game (28th) to opposing backfields.
Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)
- Dwayne Haskins: Haskins has been the QB26 or lower in three of his four starts, passing for 214 yards or fewer in all with zero touchdown passes in three.
- Terry McLaurin: McLaurin has secured just 14-of-27 (51.9%) targets from Haskins this season for 188 yards and zero touchdowns. Opposing wideouts have scored just 41.1% of the fantasy points against Green Bay, the second-lowest rate in the league.
If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play)
- Washington RBs: After 17 carries for 56 yards over his first two games back, Derrius Guice broke out for 129 yards and two scores on the ground last week while adding two catches. He did so in a great matchup and game script in his favor, but also had just 12 touches on 23 snaps while Adrian Peterson had 13 touches on 23 snaps himself. Green Bay is 30th in the league in expected points added via their run defense (minus-21.4) and is allowing 152.4 yards from scrimmage per game to backfields (26th), but we’re still attempting to target a backfield split attached to a massive road underdog with a low team total.