The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 7 San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Redskins Sunday afternoon game on October 20, 2019 at 1 pm ET.
|38.6%||14||Opp. Rush %||43.0%||23|
|61.4%||19||Opp. Pass %||57.00%||10|
- Washington has lost seven straight home games, the longest streak in the league.
- Washington has converted a league-low 23.4% of their third downs this season. League average outside of them is 39.4%.
- The 49ers have allowed opposing teams to convert just 1-of-21 (4.8%) third downs the past two weeks, the lowest rate in the league.
- San Francisco is second in the league in pressure rate (30.5%) but last in the league in blitz rate (11.3%).
- San Francisco is averaging 170.6 more total yards per game than their opponents, the largest differential in the league.
- The 49ers have allowed a touchdown on just 10.2% (6-of-59) of their opponent’s possessions, second in the league behind the Patriots (3.7%).
- Terry McLaurin’s 93.8 fantasy points are the most for a wide receiver through his first five career games since Randy Moss (104.7) in 1998.
Trust (spike production for that player)
- George Kittle: He’s been a top-12 scorer in all six games this season and has been the TE1 and TE3 over the past two weeks. Kittle leads the team with 25.2% of the targets while Washington is 23rd in receptions allowed per game (5.2) to the tight end position.
- Tevin Coleman: He’s out-snapped Breida 43-to-28 over the past two weeks and has handled all six of the rushing attempts from inside of the 10-yard line. The 49ers run game took an efficiency dip in their first game without Kyle Juszczyk, but the San Francisco backs still totaled a gaudy 41 touches for 137 yards from scrimmage with Coleman receiving 20 of those touches. Washington is facing 31.7 touches per game from opposing backfields, 31st in the league and is allowing 159.0 yards from scrimmage per game (25th) to the position.
On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)
- Terry McLaurin: 31.9% of McLaurin’s fantasy points have come directly from touchdowns, which is the highest rate of all top-25 scoring wideouts. That’s not sustainable and this is a good spot to highlight some touchdown regression as San Francisco has allowed just five passing touchdowns on the season, but McLaurin has delivered solid lines in tough matchups versus Chicago (6-75-1) and Dallas (5-62-1) with Keenum under center.
- Matt Breida: Breida has played as the secondary option to Coleman, but Breida still has 14 and 17 touches in those two games. The 49ers backfield is largely back to a two-man rotation and the 49ers lead the league in backfield touches per game (38.6).
Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)
- Case Keenum: He was serviceable a week ago in his return to the lineup (15.6 points), but this isn’t a matchup to mess with at this point. The 49ers have allowed just one passer to reach 200 passing yards in a game this season while San Francisco is allowing 8.1 passing points per game (second).
- Adrian Peterson: Bill Callahan delivered on his word last week as Peterson handled a season-high 25 touches for 136 yards. Unfortunately, that was a dream matchup with a positive game script, neither of which are strong possibilities here. The 49ers are allowing 93.4 yards from scrimmage per game to opposing backs (third) and have yet to allow a back to finish higher than RB30 on the season.
- Chris Thompson: Thompson suffered a foot injury last weekend that has his status in doubt this week. Game script should swing towards his favor if he’s able to go, but the 49ers are allowing a league-low 6.0 receiving points per game to backfields.
If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play)
- Jimmy Garoppolo: He’s 24th in passing points per game (12.9) and has one game higher than QB15 on the season. He had a similar matchup in Week 2, however, and was the QB6 overall. Washington had a free pass versus the Dolphins last week, but even with that factored in they rank 25th in passing points allowed per game (17.7) and are 29th in touchdown rate allowed (6.5%) to the position.
- Dante Pettis: Pettis has played 38%, 63%, and 71% of the snaps the past three weeks while coming off a season-high six targets (3-45-0). Rookie Deebo Samuel picked up a groin injury this past week, leaving Pettis a deeper dart. Washington is 29th in the league in fantasy points allowed per target (2.21) to opposing wideouts.