The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 7 Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans Sunday afternoon game on October 20, 2019 at 4:05 pm ET.
|49.9%||30||Opp. Rush %||39.5%||15|
|50.2%||3||Opp. Pass %||60.5%||18|
- Tennessee has played a league-high five games this season with 40 or fewer combined points scored in the game.
- The Titans have scored on just 21.4% of their offensive drives, ahead of only the Dolphins (16.7%) and Jets (11.3%).
- Just 18.3% of the drives against the Titans have reached the red zone, second to only the Patriots (9.9%).
- Just 20.7% of the drives against the Chargers have reached the red zone, fourth-lowest in the league.
- Melvin Gordon has averaged 0.45 yards before contact since returning to the lineup, which ranks 25th out of 27 running backs with 20 or more carries over that span.
- Just 14.8% of the Chargers yards the past three weeks have come via rushing, the lowest rate in the league.
- Titans running backs are averaging 0.54 yards before contact, ahead of only the Jets (0.43) on the season.
- 48.3% of the Tennessee pass plays this season have come on non-first downs with seven or more yards to go, the highest rate in the league.
On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)
- Derrick Henry: Henry has carried 79 times for 250 yards (3.2 YPC) the past four weeks. He’s been the RB21 or lower in each of those games and has just five catches for 27 yards since the season opener. But Henry still has 16 or more touches in every game this season and we’re catching him as a home favorite. The Chargers have roughed up for 116 and 175 yards rushing by the Pittsburgh and Denver backfields the past two weeks.
- Hunter Henry: He played 41 snaps (66.1%) in his return, but ran 36 routes on those snaps. He caught 8-of-9 targets for 100 yards and two touchdowns. The Titans have allowed just one tight end to have more than 37 yards in a game this season, but have allowed four touchdowns to the position (tied for second-most in the league).
- Keenan Allen: Allen has just six targets in each of his past three games after receiving 10 or more in each of the opening three weeks. It’s the first time in his career that he’s had six or fewer targets in three straight games. That’s resulted in Allen catching 11 passes for 99 yards total over the past three weeks. Allen managed a 5-72 line in this matchup a year ago, but Tennessee has opened the season seventh against opposing slot options.
- Mike Williams: All of Allen’s looks have gone to Williams, who has 23 targets the past two games. Williams has been a top-25 scorer in each of those games, but has corralled just 11 of those targets. Williams gets the best individual matchup of the group, drawing Malcolm Butler most of the Charger wideouts. Butler has currently allowed the ninth-most yardage in coverage through seven weeks.
- Delanie Walker: He has five catches for 57 yards over the past three weeks, but did get back to being targeted, receiving 17.7% of the targets in Week 6. The Chargers haven’t been pushed by strong tight ends to date, but outside of allowing 8-122-3 to Houston tight ends, they have allowed 14-127-0 in their other five games to the position.
Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)
- Philip Rivers: Rivers has been the QB29 and QB16 the past two weeks A road quarterback with a sub-20-point total is never an ideal spot, while Rivers has been pressured on 41.5% of his dropbacks the past two weeks (sixth-highest).
- Chargers RBs: Melvin Gordon has rushed 20 times for 49 yards in his two games back since returning to the lineup as this offensive line has given him no chance to succeed. Gordon’s return has reduced Austin Ekeler to a season-low 45% of the team snaps and just 28 yards on eight touches. Tennessee is 10th against opposing backfields in rushing points allowed per game (1.6) but is 18th in receiving points allowed per game (11.1) if one of these backs can handle the majority of passing work.
- Ryan Tannehill: The Titans announced Tannehill will take over for Marcus Mariota but even with the quarterback change we can be fairly certain that the offense won’t put either in a strong position to succeed given how Tennessee has handled early downs. The Chargers have only allowed Deshaun Watson to finish in the top-half of weekly scoring this season and rank fifth in passing yardage allowed per game (213.3 yards) to passers.
- Titans WRs: Corey Davis has been the WR50 or lower in all but one game while he’ll draw Casey Hayward in coverage. A.J. Brown has seen his number of routes run climb the past two weeks, but is still playing behind Adam Humphries and has yet to clear three catchers or five targets in a game this season. The Chargers rank sixth in points allowed to opposing wideouts and fifth in receiving yards allowed per game (130.7).