The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 7 Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys Sunday Night Football game on October 20, 2019 at 8:20 pm ET.
|35.4%||6||Opp. Rush %||36.2%||8|
|64.6%||27||Opp. Pass %||63.8%||25|
- The Cowboys are 10-1 both heads up and against the spread over their past 11 games versus divisional opponents, including 3-0 against the Eagles over that span.
- Dak Prescott used play-action on 39.4% of his passes through three weeks (second), but has used play-action just 15.6% of the time the past three weeks (30th).
- Prescott has been pressured on 43% of his drop backs the past three weeks (third-highest) after 21.2% through the opening three weeks (second lowest).
- Prescott has a 60.9 rating under pressure as opposed to a 122.0 rating when kept clean. That minus-61.1 rating loss under pressure is the largest for all quarterbacks that have started the entire season.
- 28.9% of the runs against the Eagles have failed to gain any yardage, the highest rate in the league.
Trust (spike production for that player)
- Dak Prescott: The Dallas offense has regressed towards having more of a Jason Garrett fingerprint on it as opposed to what Kellen Moore was doing through three weeks. But Prescott has still been a strong fantasy option, posting 18.2 fantasy points in every game but one on the season. The Eagles are 26th in passing points allowed per game (18.2) and have allowed four 300-yard passers already through six games.
- Carson Wentz: Wentz has been a QB1 in every game this season outside of nursing a blowout victory against the Jets. His 306 yards and 7.6 yards per pass attempt last week were his highest since Week 1. Wentz has a strong history against the Cowboys, scoring 19.8 points per game over his past four games in the rivalry with multiple touchdowns in each of those games.
- Amari Cooper: Cooper practiced on Friday is in line to play on Sunday Night. The fact that he was able to get a practice in relieves some concern that you need to have a pivot for the late game. Philadelphia has allowed seven wideouts to finish as the WR13 or higher in six games while allowing 101.8 receiving yards per game to opposing WR1 options (31st).
- Michael Gallup: With Cooper returning, he takes a slight step back from a potential WR1 spot, but there’s still a lot to like here. With Gallup’s 4-48 on seven targets a week ago with Cooper leaving the game early, it may also signal that Cooper being on the field is a positive for Gallup as well. The Eagles are allowing the most points per game (46.6) to opposing wide receivers on the season.
On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)
- Ezekiel Elliott: The Eagles are allowing just 8.7 rushing points per game (fourth), but Elliott isn’t really a back we ding heavily for a poor matchup on paper. Especially since Elliott has rushed for 96 or more yards in all four of his career games versus the Eagles, including 113 and 151 rushing yards in his two meetings with them a year ago.
- Alshon Jeffery: He’s had 30.1% of the team targets over the past three weeks. With DeSean Jackson still expected to be out once again, there’s no reason to expect the targets to flow through Jeffery and Ertz. Dallas has allowed Robby Anderson (5-125-1) and Michael Thomas (9-95) to have WR1 scoring weeks in two of the past three weeks as perimeter options, where Jeffery runs 86% of his routes.
- Zach Ertz: Ertz is averaging a career-low 6.8 yards per target so far this season, but has at least 54 yards receiving in all six games this season. Ertz has been held to fewer than 50 yards in 10-of-12 career games versus the Cowboys, Dallas is 26th in receptions allowed per game (5.8) to opposing tight ends.
Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)
- Miles Sanders: Sanders was the RB9 last week, but did so on the strength of a 3-86-1 line receiving. Despite trailing heavily all game, Sanders played a season-low 29.2% of the snaps with just six touches. With no Darren Sproles still, Sanders should hold onto a receiving role, but we can’t lean on running back receptions of 40-plus yards being our only path to output.
If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play)
- Jordan Howard: He played a season-high 63.1% of the snaps despite the Eagles being negative game script throughout the game. But Howard still has 13 or fewer touches in every game but one while he’s been the RB38, RB56, and RB42 in his three games without a touchdown. Dallas is tied in allowing a league-high seven rushing touchdowns to backs, but is 12th in rushing yardage allowed per game (81.0) to the position.