The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 7 Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks Sunday afternoon game on October 20, 2019 at 4:25 pm ET.
22.75Implied Total26.75
23.317Points All./Gm24.320
55.21Opp. Plays/Gm59.76
33.2%4Opp. Rush %33.0%3
66.8%29Opp. Pass %67.0%30
  • Since drafting Russell Wilson in 2012, the Seahawks are a league-best 24-9 against non-conference teams, including going 14-1 against AFC opponents at home. 
  • Wilson has used play-action a league-leading 36.2% of the time over the past three weeks after just 12.6% of the time through the opening three weeks (33rd).
  • Wilson has completed 25-of-29 (86.2%) of those play-action passes the past three weeks for 366 yards (12.6 Y/A) and three touchdowns for a 153.2 rating.
  • Wilson has been pressured on 40.6% of his dropbacks (sixth-highest), but has a 116.6 rating under pressure, which leads the league by 24.9 points over the next highest passer under pressure.
  • Baltimore has scored a touchdown on 14-of-31 (45.2%) drives on the road this season, the highest rate in the league.
  • The Ravens lead the league in red zone plays (72), plays from inside of the 10-yard line (38) and plays from inside of the 5-yard line (18).
  • Lamar Jackson’s 460 rushing yards are the second-most by a quarterback through six games of a season, trailing only Bobby Douglass in 1972 (475 yards).

Trust (spike production for that player)

  • Russell Wilson: He’s been a top-5 quarterback in four games this season, all four in which Seattle was challenged on the scoreboard. The Ravens rank 27th in yardage allowed per pass play (7.7) and have allowed at least 342 yards to all three quality quarterbacks they’ve faced in Patrick Mahomes, Baker Mayfield, and Kyler Murray outside of facing the Miami QBs, Andy Dalton, and Mason Rudolph
  • Lamar Jackson: Jackson has already played four defenses that rank in the bottom-10 in pressure rate and he’s had over 20 fantasy points against all of them. In those matchups, Jackson is averaging 8.3 yards per pass attempt as opposed to 6.6 Y/A otherwise. Seattle ranks 28th in pressure rate (18.1%). Seattle has allowed Baker Mayfield (4-35-1) and Kyler Murray (4-27-1) to find rushing success in two of the past three weeks. 
  • Mark Andrews: He’s been a top-12 scorer in five of six games and has at least seven targets in every game this season. Andrews had 8-99 last week against a Bengals defense that was 30th in yards per target allowed to opposing tight ends while Seattle ranks 26th (8.6) and has allowed lines of 5-63-1, 10-183-1, 7-38-2 and 9-93-0 to opposing tight ends this season in four of their six games. 
  • Chris Carson: Carson has 145, 123, and 159 yards on 26, 28, and 28 touches the past three weeks. Carson has also added at least 7.5 receiving points in all three of those games. Baltimore is middle of the pack (16th) in rushing points allowed per game (13.9) to backfields, but have allowed 189 and 237 total yards to the Kansas City and Cleveland backfields outside of matchups versus Miami, Arizona, Pittsburgh, and Cincinnati. 

On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)

  • Tyler Lockett: He has five or fewer targets in each of the past three games, but has caught all of them. The Ravens just acquired Marcus Peters to go along with Marlon Humphrey, who has been used the past few weeks to shadow opposing lead wideouts. Humphrey has held Tyler Boyd (3-10) and Odell Beckham (2-20) down over the past three weeks, but JuJu Smith-Schuster had 7-75-1 with 3-49-1 in Humphrey’s coverage.
  • Mark Ingram: He played just 38.3% of the snaps last week (his lowest rate since Week 1) but still found the end zone for the fourth time in six games. Without a touchdown, Ingram has been the RB30 and RB39. Seattle hadn’t allowed a back to have more than 69 yards rushing prior to allowing 122 yards on 20 carries to Nick Chubb a week ago.

If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play) 

  • D.K. Metcalf: He’s received just 13.6% of the team targets the past four weeks, but like Lockett, he has made the most of marginal opportunity, posting WR26 (2-44-1) and WR29 (4-69-0) weeks over this past two games. With Will Dissly lost for the season, there are more targets to go around in a potentially high-scoring game. The Ravens just added Marcus Peters, but prior to his addition, secondary options in passing games such as Auden Tate (5-91) and Jarvis Landry (8-167) had found success against Baltimore.

More Week 7 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet:

KC at DEN | OAK at GB | SF at WAS | LAR at ATL | MIA at BUF | JAX at CIN | ARI at NYG | HOU at IND | MIN at DET | LAC at TEN | BAL at SEA | NO at CHI | PHI at DAL | NE at NYJ