The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 4 matchup between the Commanders and Eagles.
Find a breakdown of every Week 4 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Washington | Rank | @ | Philadelphia | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | Spread | -7.5 | ||
| 18.5 | Implied Total | 26.0 | ||
| 19.3 | 19 | Points/Gm | 28.0 | 7 |
| 28.7 | 27 | Points All./Gm | 19.7 | 9 |
| 60.7 | 22 | Plays/Gm | 71.3 | 3 |
| 61.7 | 9 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 59.0 | 5 |
| 4.8 | 21 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.4 | 11 |
| 5.4 | 20 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 15 |
| 35.16% | 29 | Rush% | 52.80% | 2 |
| 64.84% | 4 | Pass% | 47.20% | 31 |
| 43.78% | 19 | Opp. Rush % | 27.12% | 2 |
| 56.22% | 14 | Opp. Pass % | 72.88% | 31 |
- 48.3% of the yardage gained by the Eagles has come via rushing, the highest rate in the league.
- 15.6% of the yardage gained against the Eagles has come via rushing, the lowest rate in the league.
- 17.2% of the Washington rushing attempts have gained 10 or more yards, the highest rate in the league.
- Washington has converted just 25.8% of their third downs, 31st in the league. The league average is 39.5%.
- Washington is averaging 1.8 yards per play on third down, 31st in the league.
- The Commanders are averaging 9.0 sacks taken plus turnovers per game, the most in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Jalen Hurts: It has not been a perfect runout for Hurts.
He has yet to throw multiple touchdown passes in a game and has as many interceptions (three) as touchdowns through the air.
He currently has a career-low touchdown rate (3.2%) and yards per pass attempt (6.9 Y/A) through the early portion of the season.
Hurts is also rushing for 33.3 yards per game after averaging 50.7 per game last year and 52.3 per game in 2021.
The thing that has saved him the past two weeks is the vaunted “tush push” that has accounted for three rushing touchdowns.
Hurts and his ability on the goal line are part of why he was an appealing fantasy option to begin with. That has saved his floor the past two weeks as he and this passing game continue to find their way post-Shane Steichen.
Hurts still has posted back-to-back QB1 scoring weeks, so it is hardly that the sky is falling for fantasy gamers. Hurts is still a viable QB1.
Monday’s game left some plays on the table as A.J. Brown almost had a pair of touchdowns that were tougher plays in the rain, but ones that he makes more weeks than not. Last week’s game had a touchdown pass come off the board.
We talked this offseason about how the Eagles would have less touchdown fortune in 2023 and the regression powers work in mysterious ways.
Hurts has had his largest early-season struggles against man coverage, which was not the case in 2022. On 32 dropbacks against man coverage, he has completed just 15-of-29 passes (51.7%) for 149 yards (5.1 Y/A) with a touchdown and an interception.
Washington has only played man coverage on 20.0% of snaps, which is 23rd in the league.
The Commanders have allowed back-to-back strong fantasy games to quarterbacks to Russell Wilson (QB3) and Josh Allen (QB8).
They have allowed a 62.8% completion rate (11th) and Allen only averaged 6.8 yards per pass attempt on Sunday, but both Wilson (56 yards) and Allen (46 yards and a touchdown) added damage on the ground.
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