The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 6 Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets Sunday afternoon game on October 13, 2019 at 4:25 pm ET.
|36.1%||8||Opp. Rush %||40.2%||17|
|63.9%||25||Opp. Pass %||59.8%||16|
- The Cowboys are averaging 462.0 yards per game for fantasy, the most in the league.
- The Jets are averaging 214.5 yards per game offensively for fantasy, the fewest in the league.
- The Jets have scored on just 3-of-53 offensive possessions (5.7%), the lowest rate in the league.
- Jets running backs average 0.46 yards before contact per carry, the lowest rate in the league.
- Jets quarterbacks have been pressured on 45.9% of their dropbacks, the highest rate in the league.
- Dak Prescott has a 123.3 quarterback rating from a clean pocket (third), but a 59.1 rating when under pressure (28th). That under pressure rating is ahead of only Mitchell Trubisky and Mason Rudolph among quarterbacks with 100-plus dropbacks on the season.
- Ezekiel Elliott has been targeted on 12.2% of his pass routes this season after receiving a target on 22.2% of his routes in 2018.
Trust (spike production for that player)
- Amari Cooper: Cooper has once again run much hotter at home than on the road to start the season. At home, Cooper has games of 6-106-1, 6-88-2, and 11-226-1 to go along with games of 4-44-1 and 5-48 on the road. Road splits be damned, this is an objectively strong spot. The Jets are 30th in points allowed per game to opposing WR1 options (19.8).
- Michael Gallup: Gallup has at least six receptions in all three of his games played. In those three games, Gallup leads the team in overall targets (29) and air yards (330). The Jets are the second-worst team against opposing LWR options, were Gallup runs a team-high 46% of his routes.
On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)
- Dak Prescott: He’s been the QB7 or higher in four of his five games with at least 22 fantasy points in those four games. The Jets are allowing just 13.9 passing points per game, with Carson Wentz (QB17), Tom Brady (QB12), Baker Mayfield (QB18), and Josh Allen (QB18) as their opponents so far. Sam Darnold returning to the lineup raises the floor here, but the Jets need to play better to elevate the ceiling.
- Ezekiel Elliott: Elliott has just one RB1 scoring week despite scoring a touchdown in four of five games. He still hasn’t been worse than the RB18 or had fewer than 13.3 points, but his ceiling hasn’t been in the top-5 range because of his reduced receiving role. The Jets haven’t allowed any running back to have more than 70 yards rushing in a game yet despite trailing regularly, but have allowed four touchdowns rushing.
- Le’Veon Bell: Bell has 60.5% of the Jets offensive touches this season, which is the highest share of team touches for any running back in the league. The Jets’ offensive line is a major obstacle for efficiency, but Darnold returning should increase Bell’s scoring chances per week to go along with his heavy usage. Bell has at least 22 touches and trails only Austin Ekeler in receptions per game (6.8).
Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)
- Sam Darnold: Darnold is a welcome sight for what has been the league’s worst offense. With the Dolphins around, that is really saying something. But it’s tough to use Darnold right away after a four-week absence due to illness. Dallas ranks fifth in passing points allowed per game (11.6) and has allowed just three passing touchdowns through five games.
- Jamison Crowder: Many may chase Crowder’s Week 1 game with Darnold when he had 17 targets and 14 receptions, but Dallas also ranks third against opposing slot wideouts this season. With Darnold just returning, I’m willing to give the Jets a week to get back on track as an offense to explore using outside of Bell.
- Robby Anderson: Echo that for Anderson, who also runs into a stiff matchup. Dallas ranks fifth against opposing LWR options, where Anderson runs 60% of his routes and will find Byron Jones there.