The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 6 Washington Redskins vs Miami Dolphins Sunday afternoon game on October 13, 2019 at 1 pm ET.
Check out this week’s unlocked Worksheet matchup: Eagles at Vikings
WashingtonRank@MiamiRank
-3.5Spread3.5
22.25Implied Total18.75
14.630Points/Gm6.532
30.230Points All./Gm40.832
56.430Plays/Gm55.831
67.227Opp. Plays/Gm67.528
31.2%29Rush%30.9%30
68.8%4Pass%69.1%3
45.5%25Opp. Rush %54.8%32
54.5%8Opp. Pass %45.2%1

Trust (spike production for that player)

  • Terry McLaurin: His 3-51 line last week looks much better in the context that all 51 yards came against coverage with Stephon Gilmore and Colt McCoy as his quarterback. McLaurin returned last week and immediately reassumed his lead role with 25.9% of the team targets. He has at least seven targets in every game this season. With Case Keenum getting another shot under center,  McLaurin’s ceiling goes a touch higher while Miami is 22nd in points allowed to opposing WR1 options per game (17.8) and Xavien Howard being sidelined.

Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)

  • Josh Rosen: In a battle of two defenses that are willing to let anyone score versus two offenses that seemingly can’t score, we have a wide range of outcomes. This game could be the best outlook that either team will have all season, or it could be slappers only. Rosen has never had a QB1-level start for fantasy in 15 career starts, so he still takes a significant step of faith in what will arguably be his best matchup of the season.

If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play) 

  • Preston Williams: He’s yet to have a top-40 scoring week, but Williams has received 29.3% and 29.2% of the targets in the two starts by Rosen. Williams has out-targeted DeVante Parker 19-10 in those games. Washington is allowing 2.4 points per target to opposing wide receivers, 30th in the league.
  • DeVante Parker: Rosen has looked for Williams more in his two starts, but Parker still has more receiving yards (126) in those games and carries a 17.7 average depth of target if chasing a home-run. 
  • Kenyan Drake: He’s been an RB3 over his past three games on double-digit touches in each of those games. Scoring opportunities may be the best they’ll ever be while Washington is 24th in receptions allowed per game (6.2) to opposing backfields.
  • Adrian Peterson: Any time you can entertain a back with 108 yards on 40 carries, you have to do it. Bill Callahan expressed that Washington is going to come out and run the football more. Miami may oblige as they are allowing a league-high 153.8 rushing yards per game to opposing backfields. Peterson and the Washington offensive line may not be able to exploit any matchup, but if Callahan’s promise holds any water, the opportunity and matchup are as good as Peterson may see the rest of the season. 
  • Chris Thompson: He’s had single-digit touches in three of his past four games, but does have at least four receptions in every game this season if chasing a flow-ceiling FLEX.
  • Case Keenum: With Washington going back to Keenum, there’s some hope for the passing game here taking at least some advantage of this matchup. Keenum already does have two QB1 scoring games this season, so we’re not completely chasing here. You won’t stream him in 1QB formats, but Keenum is a QB2 option against a Miami defense allowing a league-high 10.3 yards per pass attempt and league-high 0.81 passing points per pass attempt for fantasy. With Keenum starting, you can even dabble with both Paul Richardson and Trey Quinn having better outlooks.

More Week 6 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet:

NYG at NE | CAR at TB | CIN at BAL | SEA at CLE | HOU at KC | WAS at MIA | NO at JAX | PHI at MIN | ATL at ARI | SF at LAR | DAL at NYJ | TEN at DEN | PIT at LAC | DET at GB