The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 6 New Orleans Saints vs Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday afternoon game on October 13, 2019 at 1 pm ET.
|39.7%||15||Opp. Rush %||39.9%||16|
|60.3%||18||Opp. Pass %||60.1%||17|
- Including last week, Jacksonville is a league worst 4-21 against non-conference teams since the start of the 2013 season.
- Michael Thomas has been targeted on 29.4% of his pass routes, the highest rate of all wide receivers.
- With 11 receptions last week, Thomas has the most games with double-digit receptions on the season (three) and total games (12) since entering the league in 2016.
- The Jaguars have forced just two turnovers this season, tied with Miami for the fewest in the league.
- Those two takeaways are the fewest for Jacksonville as a franchise through five games of a season.
- D.J. Chark leads the league with 55.0 fantasy points on throw 15-yards or further downfield (8-of-12 for 290 yards and three touchdowns).
On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)
- Alvin Kamara: Week 3 showed that Kamara is still capable of being the lead RB any given week regardless of his quarterback, but outside of that spike week of 37.1 points, he’s had 7.0, 11.9, and 16.9 fantasy points in the other three games with Bridgewater as the primary quarterback. The major positive, however, is that Kamara has at least 20 touches in three straight games for the first time his career. Jacksonville just allowed 321 yards from scrimmage to Carolina backs a week ago and 110 yards to the Denver backfield the week prior. Kamara is dealing with an ankle injury that has him questionable for Sunday and he missed practice on Friday. Should he be unable to go, Latavius Murray climbs up to lower-end RB2 status.
- Michael Thomas: He’s been the WR12, WR22, WR11, and WR2 over the past four weeks with Teddy Bridgewater starting or playing the crux of the game. He doesn’t run into as good of a matchup as he did last week but without Ramsey the past two weeks, Emmanuel Sanders (5-104), Courtland Sutton (6-62-2), and D.J. Moore (6-91) have all had top-20 scoring weeks against the Jaguars.
- Leonard Fournette: Fournette has 90.6% of the Jacksonville backfield touches — which trails only Christian McCaffrey at 92.5% — and has turned that high-level volume into 245 and 137 total yards the past two weeks. The Saints haven’t allowed a 100-yard rusher since Week 11 of 2017, but they have allowed a rushing touchdown to a backfield in all five games this season.
- D.J. Chark: I dinged him too much last week and he made me pay. Marshon Lattimore has gotten it going the past two weeks, holding down Amari Cooper (5-48) and Mike Evans (0-0), but Chark is getting too many high-leverage targets to ignore. Chark is tied for the league-lead in receptions of 20 or more yards (10) and is second in the league with six end zone targets.
Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)
- Teddy Bridgewater: He cashed in a matchup last week that we were circling as his best opportunity to turn in a strong fantasy game. The Jaguars aren’t the defense we have to outright avoid, but four-straight quarterbacks have completed fewer than 60% of their passes against them with just one as higher than QB18 outside of Patrick Mahomes.
- Jared Cook: He found the end zone last week, but still managed just four catches for 41 yards in a ceiling outcome for Bridgewater. Jacksonville is eighth in receptions allowed to opposing tight ends while facing Travis Kelce, Delanie Walker, and Greg Olsen so far on the season.
If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play)
- Gardner Minshew: Minshew is one of just three quarterbacks to have at least 16 fantasy points in every game this season (joining Mahomes and Kyler Murray). Last week was the first time he turned that stable floor into a high ceiling, passing for 374 yards in point-chasing conditions. This week should more of an environment that we had the opening month for Minshew, while the Saints defense is getting things together, limiting Jameis Winston (204 yards) and Dak Prescott (223 yards) the past two weeks.
- Dede Westbrook: He’s been the WR30 (5-66) and WR19 (7-82) the past two weeks and has at least five receptions in each of his past three games. The Saints are 30th in points allowed to opposing slot receivers.