The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 6 Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos Sunday afternoon game on October 13, 2019 at 4:25 pm ET.
18.25Implied Total20.75
15.26Points All./Gm21.210
63.216Opp. Plays/Gm60.47
37.3%11Opp. Rush %44.4%24
62.7%22Opp. Pass %55.6%9
  • Eight of the 10 games played in Denver since the start of last season have gone under the game total, the highest rate in the league over that span. 
  • Denver has scored 24 or fewer points in 14 consecutive games, the longest streak in the league.
  • The Titans are one of three teams (along with New England and Buffalo) to allow 20 points or fewer in every game this season.
  • The Titans are the only team in the league yet to have a turnover on offense.
  • Opponents have run just 21 red zone plays against the Titans, the fewest outside of the Patriots (15).
  • Courtland Sutton has received a 76.5% rate of catchable targets this season (16th out of 65 WRS with 20-plus targets) after 64.6% of his targets were catchable in 2018 (95th of 132 qualifying WRs).

On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)

  • Courtland Sutton: Sutton has at least seven targets in every game this season, with just one week outside of the top-30 scorers. Tennessee is their worst defending LWR options (21st) where Sutton runs a team-high 60% of his routes.
  • Derrick Henry: He’s been the RB21 or lower the past three weeks as his lack of receiving work (five catches on the season) doesn’t help his floor when he fails to find the end zone or stack high yardage. But he also hasn’t finished lower than RB25 on the season since he’s getting 20.6 touches per game. Denver stopped the run last week, but still ranks 28th in rushing points allowed per game (17.2) to opposing backfields. 
  • Phillip Lindsay: This backfield has been frustrating since both guys have been productive, but is hard to predict for ceiling performances per week based on near-identical usage. Even last week, Royce Freeman played more snaps (33) that Lindsay (28), but Lindsay had 19 touches for 147 yards. We at least know if someone is going to have a spike week, it’s likely to be Lindsay. He has two top-10 weeks and four top-30 weeks while Freeman has just two top-30 scoring weeks with a high of RB15. Lindsay is an RB2 with upside while Freeman is a FLEX with a limited ceiling.
  • Emmanuel Sanders: Sanders has laid two eggs over the past three games in tougher matchups and he has that here again. Tennessee ranks ninth against slot wideouts and 12th against RWR options where Sanders lines up for nearly 78% of his routes. Sanders leads the Broncos in end zone targets on the season to keep the lights on, but this is another game where Sutton has the most favorable matchup. 

Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)

  • Marcus Mariota: Mariota’s two games higher than QB20 have been fairly easy to spot. That gives us confidence in him as a streamer when the matchup calls for it, but this isn’t one of those weeks a road dog attached to a sub-20-point team total. Denver has yet to allow a QB1 scoring week on the season and has allowed multiple passing touchdowns in just one game.
  • TEN WRs: Outside of Corey Davis and A.J. Brown hitting against the Falcons, this unit has produced just one other top-40 scoring week on the season, which came from Adam Humphries (WR25 in Week 3). Denver is allowing a league-low 117.0 yards per game to opposing wideouts.  
  • Delanie Walker: Walker has just two catches for 14 yards the past two weeks and has run just 12 and 17 pass routes in those games while Jonnu Smith has run 12 and 10 routes. Walker needs much more usage to lean on or a prime matchup. Denver has allowed just one top-12 tight end through five weeks.
  • Joe Flacco: Flacco has played well this season, but that hasn’t translated to high-end fantasy production as he has one scoring week so far in the top half of the position. Tennessee has allowed at least 15 fantasy points to each of the past four quarterbacks they’ve faced, but has still yet to allow a QB1 scoring week on the season. 

If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play) 

  • Noah Fant: Fant has yet to clear five targets or 40 yards in a game, but Tennessee has allowed a tight end to score in four of five games while allowing 130 yards to Austin Hooper in the other week without giving up a touchdown.

More Week 6 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet:

NYG at NE | CAR at TB | CIN at BAL | SEA at CLE | HOU at KC | WAS at MIA | NO at JAX | PHI at MIN | ATL at ARI | SF at LAR | DAL at NYJ | TEN at DEN | PIT at LAC | DET at GB