The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 17 matchup between the Ravens and Dolphins.
Find a breakdown of every Week 17 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Miami | Rank | @ | Baltimore | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Spread | -3.0 | ||
| 22.0 | Implied Total | 25.0 | ||
| 30.9 | 1 | Points/Gm | 27.8 | 4 |
| 20.9 | 13 | Points All./Gm | 16.3 | 1 |
| 62.6 | 19 | Plays/Gm | 64.3 | 16 |
| 61.7 | 8 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 65.4 | 29 |
| 6.6 | 2 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.8 | 4 |
| 4.8 | 5 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.5 | 2 |
| 43.77% | 11 | Rush% | 50.21% | 1 |
| 56.23% | 22 | Pass% | 49.79% | 32 |
| 39.46% | 7 | Opp. Rush % | 35.78% | 3 |
| 60.54% | 26 | Opp. Pass % | 64.22% | 30 |
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Lamar Jackson: Jackson delivered a QB8 (22.6 points) scoring week on the road in a tough matchup against the 49ers.
He was excellent under pressure, going 7-of-8 for 113 yards with a 30-yard scramble when pressured Monday night.
Jackson is averaging a league-high 8.4 yards per pass attempt when pressured this season to go with six touchdowns and just one interception.
That is big here as Miami has climbed all of the way up to third in the NFL in pressure rate (42.0%) and now leads the NFL with a 9.3% sack rate.
Jackson has now delivered four top-10 scoring weeks over his past five games after hitting a snag in Weeks 8-10 when he was in the back half of weekly scoring all three of those games.
Jackson will draw another tough assignment to test his ability as a QB1 on Sunday.
We talked last week about how Miami had not played a tough schedule, but we respected their defense based on personnel and not allowing any of those lower-end quarterbacks to punch up against them.
They showed up on Sunday, keeping Dak Prescott outside of the top 12 (QB14) for fantasy purposes.
That said, Prescott did still score 18.6 fantasy points and averaged 0.566 passing points per attempt, the most against Miami since Josh Allen in Week 4.
Tua Tagovailoa: Tua played another good football game for real life that did not translate over to fantasy.
He connected on 24-of-37 passes (64.9%) for 293 yards and a touchdown.
It was the third-most yardage allowed by Dallas through the air this season.
He led the league in time to throw again on Sunday (2.13 seconds) and got rid of the ball within 2.5 seconds on 73.7% of his passes. The league average in Week 16 was 45.1%.
As a result, Tua was pressured on just 28.9% of his dropbacks, the lowest rate for Dallas in a game this season.
This Miami offense has done wonders to circumvent an offensive line that has lost several pieces throughout the season.
The downside is that execution resulted in a QB21 (15.5 points) scoring week for fantasy.
That was the third week in a row that Tagovailoa has been outside of the top-20 scorers for fantasy and the fourth time over his past five games.
Tua has been inside of the top-10 fantasy scorers in just two of his past 12 games.
He gets another draw here that makes him a QB2 for fantasy.
The Ravens are allowing the fewest passing points per attempt (0.280) in the league.
After erasing Brock Purdy on Monday night, Baltimore has still allowed just two QB1 scoring weeks this season. They have allowed multiple passing touchdowns just three times.
I know people will point to the 80-point bonanza these teams played in Week 2 last season, but there are so many different components on both sides of this matchup from that game.
Tua threw six touchdowns and passed for 469 yards in Baltimore last season.
The Baltimore defense was in a state of flux on the backend early last season, and Tua had a healthy Jaylen Waddle and a tight end who was involved in the offense.
With Waddle banged up and unlikely to play full speed at best, the state of the Miami offensive line, and a much different Baltimore defense than where we were in Week 2 of last season, it is hard to chase that outcome here as being the most probable result.
Running Back
To continue reading this article
and gain access to The Worksheet and all of Rich’s regular content, including positional rankings and chats, click below to purchase our NFL Plus package.
Purchase
