|41.1%||19||Opp. Rush %||41.5%||20|
|58.9%||14||Opp. Pass %||58.5%||13|
- San Francisco is averaging a league-high 32.5 points per game at home this season.
- Arizona is allowing 83.2 non-passing fantasy points per game, the most in the league.
- Arizona has allowed 49 plays of 20 or more yards (29th) while San Francisco has allowed 23 (second).
- San Francisco is averaging 128.9 more total yards per game than their opponents, the largest differential in the league.
- The Cardinals are averaging 60.8 fewer yards than their opponent, 27th in the league.
- Opponents have scored on 8-of-25 possessions (32.0%) against the 49ers the past two weeks (23rd) after scoring on 13-of-81 drives (16.0%) prior (31st).
- Kyler Murray is averaging 9.9 yards per pass attempt using play action (eighth in the league), but only 6.2 Y/A without (28th).
On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)
- Tevin Coleman: Over the past two games, Coleman has 30 touches for 108 yards while Matt Breida has 29 touches for 117 yards. Breida reaggravated his ankle injury at the end on Monday night and early word is that he will be sidelined for a week or two. Given his track record, we shouldn’t be surprised if he makes a recovery out of nowhere, but his absence would elevate Raheem Mostert to FLEX status as well. Arizona is allowing 144.3 yards from scrimmage per game to backfields (23rd) and allowed 128 yards on 33 touches to this san Francisco backfield two weeks ago.
- Kyler Murray: Murray was the QB6 (23.0 points) when these teams played two weeks ago, posting 10.0 Y/A and a 130.7 rating, both highs against the 49ers this season. Prior to an 88-yard catch and run with five minutes left in the fourth quarter of that game, Murray had 153 yards and 6.7 yards per pass attempt. We can’t strip that away, but let it provide context how Murray was able to jump up to a ceiling performance. The 49ers defense has been mortal the past two weeks, but still very strong overall in league context. Murray also rushed for 34 yards that game and has averaged 5.7 rushing points per game over his past eight games played. The 49ers also allowed 53 yards rushing last week to Russell Wilson. The other dynamic in play here is that this is the first game that Kliff Kingsbury puts together a game plan in a rematch after facing the 49ers just 18 days prior to this game.
- Emmanuel Sanders: Sanders did not practice all week, but is expected to play through a rib injury that forced to leave Monday after just 24 snaps. Healthy, Sanders would be a fringe-WR1 in this matchup with Kittle inactive after catching 7-of-9 targets for 112 yards and a touchdown when these teams last played, but his injury status adds more variance to his outcome.
Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)
- Arizona WRs: The last time these teams played, Christian Kirk (2-8) and Larry Fitzgerald (4-38) combined to catch 6-of-11 targets for 46 yards. The Cardinals approach was to spread the 49ers out and play with tempo. The most air yards a Cardinals player had in that Week 9 matchup was 30 (KeeSean Johnson). We should see Kingsbury work his wideouts into the game plan more here, but we’ve also seen them have success without having to force them targets. The 49ers have allowed just five receivers to score inside of the top-30 this season. Andy Isabella, who caught that 88-yard touchdown when these teams last played has run 10 and 18 pass routes the past two weeks, his two highest totals of the season.
If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play)
- Kenyan Drake: Drake played 45 snaps (16 touches) while David Johnson played 30 (six touches). Johnson appears to be broken at this point and Kingsbury has acknowledged as much after last week’s game. We can’t use him moving forward until his health and usage return, but he still is a potential thorn to Drake if he’s going to get 30 snaps weekly. Drake had 19 touches for 162 yards against the 49ers two weeks ago as he was used heavily in the game plan. The 49ers have allowed a top-10 scoring back in each of the past three games to Drake (28,2 points), Chris Carson (19.1), and Christian McCaffrey (27.5).
- Deebo Samuel: Samuel had seven targets against this Cardinals defense two weeks ago (4-40) and 11 targets this past week, catching 8-of-11 last week for 112 yards. I believe Sanders playing is a positive for Samuel, drawing Patrick Peterson’s coverage.
- Jimmy Garoppolo: Garoppolo was the QB2 (28.9 points) against this Cardinals team two weeks ago, but that was with Sanders and George Kittle catching 13 passes for 191 yards and two touchdowns. Both of those players are in question to play to begin the week. If we get positive news throughout the week on one or both, Garoppolo will climb over streaming status to lower-end QB1 option. The Cardinals have been a target for us all season for passers, ranking 31st in passing points allowed per game (21.4) and a league-high 25 touchdown passes.
- Ross Dwelley: Dwelley put together a pedestrian 3-24 game together without Kittle in the lineup on Monday, but he did play 91% of the offensive snaps and still received seven targets. We haven’t stopped chasing tight ends against Arizona as they allow a league-high 20.9 points per game to the position on the strength of allowing 10 touchdowns to the position.
More Week 11 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet: