Eagles vs Browns Fantasy Football Worksheet, Week 11

The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 11 Philadelphia Eagles at Cleveland Browns Sunday afternoon game.

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Philadelphia	Rank	@	Cleveland	Rank
3.5		Spread	-3.5
22.25		Implied Total	25.75
22.6	24	Points/Gm	24	18
25.8	16	Points All./Gm	27.1	20
66.1	7	Plays/Gm	60.8	27
68	30	Opp. Plays/Gm	66.6	25
36.3%	30	Rush%	51.0%	3
63.7%	3	Pass%	49.0%	30
44.9%	25	Opp. Rush %	39.6%	10
55.1%	8	Opp. Pass %	60.4%	23

The Browns lead the league in rushing yardage on carries of 10 or more yards (835). Those yards have accounted for 58.4% of their season total, the highest rate in the league.
Cleveland averages 5.6 runs of 10 or more yards per game, the most in the league.
68.8% of the rushing yardage gained by Nick Chubb has come on runs of 10 or more yards, the highest rate for any running back.
55.4% of the rushing yardage allowed by the Eagles has come on carries of 10 or more yards, the highest rate in the league.
The Eagles are the only team in the league that has allowed more rushing touchdowns (14) than passing touchdowns (13).
Cleveland is allowing 4.1 red zone opportunities per game, 31st in the league.
Philadelphia has scored on 31.7% of their drives, ahead of only the Jets (26.3%) for the season.
The Eagles have turned 28.0% of their passing plays into first downs, ahead of only the Jets (23.7%).
Philadelphia has allowed a 9.2% sack rate this season, the worst in the league, and also have a 9.2% sack rate defensively, which is third in the league.

Quarterback

Carson Wentz: Wentz has been the QB25 and QB23 the past two games against the Cowboys and Giants, throwing for 4.6 and 5.6 yards per pass attempt in those games. For the season, Wentz’s 6.1 yards per attempt is ahead of only Sam Darnold (5.5 Y/A) and Andy Dalton (5.3 Y/A) among passers with multiple starts.

For fantasy, it has come down to whether or not Wentz provides a rushing touchdown or not. Ranking 26th in passing points per game (12.0), Wentz has been the QB26, QB14, QB25, and QB23 in his four games without a rushing touchdown. The Browns are not a matchup to run from, ranking 20th in passing points allowed per attempt (0.46), but Wentz’s upside is all baked into his rushing output right now, which is touchdown-dependent since he has rushed for more than 20 yards in just three games. Wentz is a QB2 in Week 10.

Baker Mayfield: Mayfield has been the QB20 or lower in seven of nine games this season, checking in just ahead of Wentz in passing points per game (12.4), good for 25th in the league. Mayfield has passed for 10.1 yards per attempt in two games against the Bengals compared to 5.9 Y/A against everyone else.

The past two Cleveland games have come in terrible home weather conditions, so we may not have the best gauge of this passing offense since losing Odell Beckham, but we know that they want to run the ball when applicable. Just 30.9% of Mayfield’s pass attempts have come on first down, the lowest rate in the league. The Eagles are 11th in passing points allowed per game (14.6) and 10th in yards per pass attempt (10th). Mayfield is only an option in 2QB formats.

Running Back

Nick Chubb: Chubb returned to the lineup with a season-high 126 rushing yards on 19 carries. Chubb was aided by a 59-yard jaunt to seal the game (and breaking fantasy hearts) to boost this efficiency, but in the five games that Chubb has played, he has averaged at least 5.6 yards per carry due to his potency in producing big gains. 96.6% of Chubb’s fantasy output has come via rushing output this season as he has totaled three catches for 17 yards. The Eagles are allowing just 3.4 YPC to opposing backs (third), but they are 23rd in runs allowed of 10-plus yards (33) and have allowed nine rushing scores to the position (27th) to keep Chubb on the board as a rushing-dependent RB1.

Kareem Hunt: Hunt out-snapped Chubb 38-28 last week, turning in 22 touches of his own for 132 yards. In the four full games that Hunt has played with Chubb, he has had 17 touches for 81 yards, 12 touches for 101 yards, 18 for 64, and 22 for 132 to go along with three touchdowns. Chubb has five rushing touchdowns in those games compared to just one for Hunt, but Hunt’s 11-70-2 receiving line is well above the 3-17-0 line for Chubb despite Chubb running just one fewer pass route than Hunt in those games.

There are going to be weeks where one of these backs gets cannibalized by the other to a higher degree than we have seen in their four-game sample together, but it is hard to move Hunt out of RB2 territory given this fantasy climate and the Browns being a home favorite once again.

Miles Sanders: Sanders returned to the field and played 72% of the snaps last week. Sanders was unlucky in the fact that Corey Clement turned his lone touch into a touchdown while Boston Scott scored on one of his four touches, but Sanders handled 17 of the 22 backfield touches and ran 20 pass routes compared to 11 for Scott. Sanders turned those touches into 95 yards. Like Chubb, Sanders is another back that has broken a lot of long gains, with 54.9% of his rushing yardage coming on gains of 10 or more yards. Sanders has 95 or more total yards in five of his six games played and is a lower-end RB1 option.

Wide Receiver

Jarvis Landry: Landry has posted his two highest target shares of the season the past two weeks with Odell Beckham sidelined. Unfortunately, he has turned in lines of just 4-52-0 and 3-29-0 in those wind-filled games. Landry is averaging just 49.8 yards per game, his fewest since his rookie season while averaging a career-low 4.0 receptions per game.

Landry ran a season-low 33.3% of his routes from the slot last week, but that total was 62.5% in Week 8. The Eagles have allowed just five top-24 scoring wideouts this season and are allowing the fewest points per game to opposing WR1 options (8.5) to keep Landry and a floor-based WR3 looking for a game without hurricane-level conditions.

Travis Fulgham: Fulgham caught just 1-of-5 targets for eight yards last week, His 13.5% target share was his lowest since Week 4 when he made his season debut. The Giants did not have James Bradberry shadow him last week, either. With the Eagles getting multiple players back in the fold, we may be seeing Fulgham’s dependency recoil, but he was still second on the team in routes run per drop back (82.9%).

The Browns are 10th in yards allowed per target to opposing wideouts (7.9 yards), but have allowed a 5.8% touchdown rate (22nd) and face 23.0 targets per game to the position (29th). Fulgham is still a WR3 option as last week could just be natural variance at the position, but it is worth monitoring his target volume moving forward with the Eagles getting multiple pass catchers back on the field.

Jalen Reagor: Reagor led the team last week with a pass route on 92.7% of the dropbacks, his highest rate of the season. He paired that with a team-high seven targets; the team came out of the bye week with more on the table for the rookie in the passing game. Reagor managed just 4-47-0 and he has yet to manage a top-30 scoring week through four games or best 55 yards in a game, but the usage uptick is encouraging that the Eagles will flow more through him over the second half of the season. Reagor is a WR4/FLEX option.

Rashard Higgins: After catching six passes for 110 yards in Week 7, Higgins has posted lines of 1-14-0 and 3-48-0 on seven total targets the past two games. As mentioned throughout, the weather conditions the past two Cleveland games have not provided a fully accurate gauge on what we can expect moving forward for this passing game, but Higgins was behind Landry in targets each game while we do have a large sample of what we know the Browns want to achieve on offense from a run to pass ratio.

That alone makes Higgins a player that is likely going to have to produce efficiency over volume. Even when the Cleveland offense ran through Odell Beckham and Jarvis Landry, neither were locked in fantasy producers.

Tight End

Dallas Goedert: Even with Zach Ertz out the past two games, Goedert has not been able to take advantage, posting games of 1-15-0 and 4-33-0. Maybe we just are not allowed to have nice things at the tight end position this season. Goedert left the game briefly last week, but still ran a pass route on 80.5% of the team dropbacks. His 33 pass routes in total were tied for fourth among all tight ends in Week 10. But it was Richard Rodgers (4-60-0) who ended up leading the Eagles in receiving yardage last week. The Browns are 29th in receptions allowed per game (5.7) to tight ends, but are ninth in yards per target allowed to the position (6.3 yards) to keep us modest enough in chasing Goedert again as TE1 option.

Austin Hooper: Hooper had just one catch for 11 yards on his lone target last week, but did match Landry for the most routes run on the team, which was just 18. Hooper has a season-high of just 57 yards and just one touchdown, but the Eagles are allowing 5.9 receptions per game (30th) to tight ends to keep the lights on for Hooper as a floor-based TE1.

This article is normally behind a members-only paywall, but is 100% free this week as part of Sharp Football’s 2020 Free Week.

Don’t miss out: Join Free Week, where anyone can get total access to Warren Sharp’s NFL betting recommendations and our premium fantasy football for all of Week 11.

More Week 11 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet: