The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 10 New York Giants vs New York Jets Sunday afternoon game on November 10, 2019 at 1 pm ET.
|NY Giants||Rank||@||NY Jets||Rank|
|47.3%||28||Opp. Rush %||42.1%||20|
|52.7%||5||Opp. Pass %||57.93%||13|
- Daniel Jones has been pressured on 44.0% of his dropbacks, the highest rate in the league.
- Sam Darnold has been pressured on 42.3% of his dropbacks, the second-highest rate in the league.
- The minus-24 sack differential versus opponents by the Jets is the worst in the league.
- The Giants are 32nd in the league in turnover rate per drive (22.0%) while the Jets are 27th (16.3%).
- The Jets are averaging 5.1 yards per passing play, the fewest in the league.
- The Giants are 30th in yards per pass play allowed (8.3).
- Just 15.7% of the rushing attempts by the Jets have resulted in a first down, the lowest rate in the league. League average outside of them is 24.1%.
- The Jets lead the league in expected points added through run defense (47.9), but rank 25th in expected points added through pass defense (minus-78.9).
- The Jets are last in the league in passing yardage differential than their opponents at minus-105.8 yards per game.
- The Jets have scored a touchdown on just 8-of-98 (8.2%) possessions this season, the lowest rate in the league.
On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)
- Saquon Barkley: Barkley hasn’t rushed for more than 4.0 yards per carry in a game since Week 2, but his overall touches and receiving work remain intact. Barkley has 21, 27, and 20 touches since returning to the lineup while seeing 18 targets come his way the past two weeks. The Jets are seventh in rushing yardage allowed per game (75.3) to backfields despite ranking 21st in rushing attempts faced per game (23.4). The Jets also rank 24th in receiving points allowed per game (11.8) to backs.
- Le’Veon Bell: Proceeding with Bell being able to play this Sunday, he’s dealing with a knee issue early in the week. Bell is averaging a career-low 3.3 yards per carry with just one rushing touchdown on the year, but showed last week he can still be useful with a mountain of volume in a great matchup. Bell posted 121 yards from scrimmage on 25 touches last week against the Dolphins. The Giants are 27th in yards from scrimmage allowed per game (158.4) to backs. If Bell is unable to play, Bilal Powell appears to have surpassed Ty Montgomery, out-snapping him 17-8 the past two weeks, but there would likely be a split of some sorts between the two.
- Golden Tate: Tate is seventh among all wide receivers in team target share (28%) over the past four weeks. Over that span, Tate has been a top-30 scorer in all four games (20-267-1). The Jets are 27th in points allowed to opposing WR1 options (18.2), but are strong against opposing slot wideouts where Tate runs 88% of his routes. Jets slot cornerback Brian Poole ranks sixth in yards allowed per coverage snap in the slot this season (0.76). Tack on the absence of Evan Engram and Tate is set up to be funneled targets.
- Jamison Crowder: Crowder has three top-20 scoring weeks in five starts with Darnold under center, but also WR63 and WR66 scoring weeks to keep us honest. This week, his matchup is strong on the interior, where slot corner Grant Haley has allowed the most yards allowed per cover snap (1.78) in the slot this season. Haley was replaced by rookie Corey Ballentine on Monday night, but results in the slot did not change much.
If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play)
- Daniel Jones: There’s no middle ground with Jones, which always makes him a sketchy streaming option. He’s capable of a huge ceiling with 34.2 and 28.2 scoring weeks against the Bucs and Lions, but then has been the QB19 or lower in his other five starts. The Jets have allowed back-to-back top-5 scoring weeks to Gardner Minshew (23.2 points) and Ryan Fitzpatrick (23.7).
- Sam Darnold: Darnold also proved he can’t be trusted solely based on matchup after a dud last week against the Dolphins (12.5 points). Darnold has now been the QB21 or lower in four of his five starts this season. He once again gets another objectively alluring matchup, with the Giants entering this week 25th in passing points allowed per game (16.6) and have allowed seven top-10 scorers on the season.
- Darius Slayton: With Sterling Shepard out, Slayton has been the primary second wideout for the Giants. Over the past four games, Slayton only has 15 targets, but he leads the Giants in air yards (278) with an 18.5-yard average depth of target. Where the Jets are most vulnerable is on the outside, where they are 25th to opposing boundary wideouts. With Shepard and Engram out, Slayton will have to be a part of the offense.
- Robby Anderson: Like Darnold, last week was supposed to be the week. Instead, Anderson had just four targets. Anderson has now had more than 43 yards in just two games on the season. Once again, the matchup calls out, with the Giants 30th in points allowed to opposing wideouts per game and 29th in fantasy points allowed per target (2.18).
- Chris Herndon: He was officially “active” last week, but that was strictly for cosmetic purposes since the Jets didn’t have enough healthy bodies to officially dress for the game. Getting closer to return, Herndon would take over for Ryan Griffin, who is 12th at the position in routes run. The Giants are coming off allowing 9-100-1 to the Dallas tight ends in Week 10.
- Rhett Ellison: With Evan Engram out in Week 6, Ellison played 100% of the team snaps and received seven targets, catching three for 30 yards.