The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 10 Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals Sunday afternoon game on November 10, 2019 at 1 pm ET.
|33.0%||2||Opp. Rush %||52.7%||32|
|67.0%||31||Opp. Pass %||47.3%||1|
- Cincinnati has led for just 6.9% of their offensive snaps, the lowest rate in the league.
- Baltimore has led for 54.3% of their offensive snaps, the third-highest rate in the league.
- Baltimore is first in the league in rushing yardage differential per game (121.9 yards).
- The Bengals are last in the league in rushing yardage differential per game (minus-118.1).
- 33.1% of the Baltimore rushing attempts have resulted in a first down, the highest rate in the league. League average outside of them is 23.5%.
- The Bengals are last in the league in rate of runs allowed to gain five or more yards (43.1%) and 10 more yards (16.9%).
- The Ravens lead the league in runs of five or more yards (122) and 10 or more yards (44).
- Lamar Jackson has 21 carries of 10 or more yards, trailing only Dalvin Cook and Leonard Fournette (22) on the season.
- The Ravens lead the league in scoring rate drive (54.4%), touchdown rate per drive (32.9%) and have the lowest punt rate per drive (25.3%).
- The Bengals are the only team in the league yet to score 24 points in a game this season.
Trust (spike production for that player)
- Lamar Jackson: Jackson has now been a top-10 scorer in every game but one while he’s been a top-six scorer in six of his eight starts. That includes a QB2 finish against the Bengals back in Week 6 (30.6 points). Jackson has rushed 119 and 152 yards in his two starts versus the Bengals.
- Mark Andrews: Andrews has hit a lull with four catches for 60 yards the past two games. He’s now surpassed 45 yards in just one of his past six games. But that one was against the Bengals (6-99 on eight targets) who are 31st in the league in yards per target (9.4) allowed to tight ends.
- Mark Ingram: Ingram is coming off a season-high 144 total yards last week and his first RB2 scoring week without a touchdown on the season. Ingram was the RB14 (15.4 points) when these teams met in Week 6, posting 74 total yards on 15 touches with a touchdown. Opposing backs have scored 43.0% of the fantasy points allowed by the Bengals this season, the highest rate in the league.
Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)
- Ryan Finley: The Bengals traded up for Finley in the fourth round of this year’s draft. A scheme fit, Finley is a 24-year-old rookie that was fifth in this class of quarterbacks in completion rate using play-action passing. In the preseason, Finley completed 73.4% of his passes for 6.5 yards per pass attempt. Andy Dalton was averaging a league-high 42.3 pass attempts per game, so there’s volume potential here, but the Ravens have allowed just one QB1 week this season, and that was to Patrick Mahomes. Getting stronger as the season has moved on, Baltimore has allowed just 6.0 yards per pass attempt to Dalton, Russell Wilson, and Tom Brady over their past three games.
- Joe Mixon: Mixon has sprinkled in a receiving touchdown the past two games to keep the lights on, but has reached 20 yards receiving in just two games this season and has yet to score a rushing touchdown. Mixon had 10 touches for 39 yards when these teams played in Week 6 while the Ravens have held opposing backfields to 92.5 total yards per game over their past four.
If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play)
- Marquise Brown: Brown returned to the lineup last week, playing 57% of the snaps. Catching 3-of-4 targets for 48 yards, Brown hasn’t reached 50 yards in a game since Week 2. Opposing wide receivers average just 10.0 receptions per game against the Bengals (fourth-fewest) since teams just run all over them all game, but they do rank 27th in fantasy points allowed per target (2.09) to the position.
- Bengals WRs: The overall pass volume here is so high, we can’t just completely write this group off despite the change over to Finley and the Ravens secondary now fully stocked with Marlon Humphrey, Marcus Peters, and Jimmy Smith. Tyler Boyd’s intermediate targets have the most symmetry to where Finley threw this preseason, but Auden Tate carries the scoring upside (10 end zone targets) while Alex Erickson enters the game playing the best, catching 14-of-21 targets for 234 yards, but his target share in Week 8 (13.5%) was more in line as the third option.