The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 4 matchup between the Ravens and Bills on Sunday Night Football.
Find a breakdown of every Week 4 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Buffalo | Rank | @ | Baltimore | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Spread | -2.0 | ||
| 22.0 | Implied Total | 24.0 | ||
| 37.3 | 1 | Points/Gm | 23.7 | 11 |
| 16.0 | 7 | Points All./Gm | 26.0 | 24 |
| 54.3 | 31 | Plays/Gm | 65.7 | 7 |
| 67.7 | 29 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 60.0 | 14 |
| 6.1 | 4 | Off. Yards/Play | 6.6 | 1 |
| 4.2 | 2 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.7 | 24 |
| 53.99% | 5 | Rush% | 52.79% | 7 |
| 46.01% | 28 | Pass% | 47.21% | 26 |
| 37.44% | 7 | Opp. Rush % | 29.44% | 1 |
| 62.56% | 26 | Opp. Pass % | 70.56% | 32 |
- Baltimore games are averaging a league-high 772.0 combined yards of offense per game.
- Baltimore has produced a new first down on 31.9% of their early-down plays (first and second down), the highest rate in the league.
- Buffalo allows 4.0 yards per play on first downs, the fewest in the league.
- Buffalo allows 1.0 sacks plus turnovers per game, the fewest in the NFL.
- Baltimore allows 1.7 sacks plus turnovers per game, second in the NFL.
- To open the season, the Ravens have rushed for 153.3 more yards per game than their opponents, the largest differential in the league.
- The Bills are averaging 4.4 more yards per passing play than their opponents, the largest differential in the league.
- The Ravens have allowed a play of 10 or more yards on 23.9% of their defensive snaps, 30th in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Josh Allen: Allen made leading the position in scoring (30.9) look easy on Monday, completing 23-of-30 passes for 8.8 yards per pass attempt and 4 touchdowns, adding 44 yards rushing.
Allen did not play in the fourth quarter in another one-sided win.
He only has 13 dropbacks in the fourth quarter this season, the fewest of any quarterback to complete all three games.
Despite that, Allen has led the position in scoring two of the opening three weeks.
He remains the best fantasy option at quarterback.
The Baltimore defense played better through three quarters in Dallas before allowing passing production to close the game.
Baltimore allows 16.6 passing points per game (28th) and 8.1 yards per pass attempt (28th).
They continue to have issues getting to the quarterback, so they brought back Yannick Ngakoue this week.
The Ravens are 29th in pressure rate (26.7%) and 27th in pressure rate without blitzing (26.0%).
When Baltimore has created pressure, they allow a 58.3 rating (10th) with passers completing 12-of-25 (48.0%) attempts without a touchdown.
When they have not created pressure, they have allowed a 105.8 rating (23rd), a 71.7% completion rate (17th), and 4 touchdowns.
When Allen has not been pressured, he leads the NFL with a 136.6 rating, completing 43-of-53 (81.1%) passes for 9.2 yards per attempt with 5 touchdowns.
Lamar Jackson: Jackson was not tasked to do much as a passer on Sunday, but he was 12-of-15 for 12.1 yards per pass attempt and a touchdown when he did throw.
He was excellent on the ground, rushing 14 times for 87 yards and a touchdown.
Jackson has been a top 10 fantasy scorer in all three games this season as one of the best dual-threat fantasy options at the position.
We are riding out Jackson no matter the matchup, but we could need Jackson’s rushing ability this week.
No matter who Buffalo has had available defensively, they continue to play well.
Sean McDermott takes his lumps from a game management stance, but he can coach up the defensive side of the ball.
The Bills have opened the season by allowing 5.1 yards per pass attempt (second) and fourth in passing points allowed per attempt (0.237).
Jackson has faced a McDermott-led defense three times (not since 2022), never throwing for more than 162 yards in those games.
He averaged 5.8 yards per attempt in those games with 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions.
Buffalo has done an excellent job limiting Jackson’s rushing in those games. He has gone over 40 yards in one of those starts.
If looking for a path to increased success here, the Bills are playing man coverage at the third-lowest rate on passing plays (15.0%) and have played zone 70% of the time against Jackson in those previous matchups.
Jackson is the league’s highest-rated passer against zone coverage to open the year (120.3), connecting on 79.6% (43-of-54) for 9.9 yards per attempt and 2 touchdowns.
Against man coverage, Jackson is 29th (53.2 rating), connecting on 51.9% (14-of-27) of his throws for 5.6 yards per attempt and 0 touchdowns.
The compelling part of the start of the Baltimore season is that they have approached each game uniquely.
It will be interesting to see their approach here.
In Week 1, they used a lot of 12 personnel (52.7%) and a quick-hitting passing game.
In Week 2, they used 11 personnel on a season-high 42.9% of snaps.
In Week 3, they went with a power running game, playing 22 personnel (21.7%) and 21 personnel (26.7%) at season-high rates.
Running Back
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More Week 4 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Cowboys @ Giants -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
| Broncos @ Jets | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Saints @ Falcons | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Rams @ Bears | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Vikings @ Packers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Steelers @ Colts | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Eagles @ Bucs | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bengals @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jaguars @ Texans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Commanders @ Cardinals | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Patriots @ 49ers | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Browns @ Raiders | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Chiefs @ Chargers | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bills @ Ravens | Sunday Night Football |
| Titans @ Dolphins -- FREE | Monday Night Football |
| Seahawks @ Lions -- FREE | Monday Night Football |
