The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 4 matchup between the Jets and Broncos.
Find a breakdown of every Week 4 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Denver | Rank | @ | NY Jets | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0 | Spread | -7.0 | ||
| 15.75 | Implied Total | 22.75 | ||
| 17.3 | 23 | Points/Gm | 22.3 | 14 |
| 15.3 | 6 | Points All./Gm | 17.3 | 8 |
| 63.0 | 10 | Plays/Gm | 58.3 | 20 |
| 58.0 | 9 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 59.3 | 12 |
| 4.6 | 26 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 16 |
| 4.5 | 3 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.7 | 9 |
| 38.10% | 24 | Rush% | 43.43% | 17 |
| 61.90% | 9 | Pass% | 56.57% | 16 |
| 48.85% | 24 | Opp. Rush % | 45.51% | 20 |
| 51.15% | 9 | Opp. Pass % | 54.49% | 13 |
- The Jets have converted a league-high 56.8% (21-of-37) of their third downs. In 2023, they converted a league-worst 26.0% of their third downs.
- The Jets lead the NFL with a 52.5% success rate on passing plays, up from a league-low 34.1% rate in 2023.
- The Jets’ offense averages a first down or touchdown every 3.2 plays, which is fifth in the league.
- The Broncos allow a first down or touchdown every 4.2 plays defensively, which is third in the league.
- Denver is averaging a first down or touchdown every 4.3 plays on offense, which is 29th in the league.
- 28.2% of the Denver rushes have gained five or more yards, 31st in the NFL.
- The Broncos are the final remaining team without a passing touchdown this season.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Aaron Rodgers: Don’t look now, but Rodgers has reeled off weeks as the QB12 (15.1 points) and QB10 (21.0 points) the past two games.
Rodgers has looked better each week to open the season and has this offense on schedule and efficient.
He completed a season-high 77.5% of his passes on Thursday night for 8.0 yards per pass attempt.
Through three weeks, Rodgers is QB6 in EPA per dropback (0.14).
Rodgers already looks like a value for gamers who grabbed him in 2QB formats, but I still want to keep him in that territory this week over bumping him up as a QB1.
The Denver pass defense has been good to kick off the season.
They just limited a hot Baker Mayfield to a QB28 scoring week.
Denver has allowed 5.8 yards per pass attempt (3rd) and 8.1 yards per completion (2nd).
Bo Nix: Nix had the best game of his early career on Sunday, completing a season-high 69.4% of his passes.
He still has not thrown a touchdown pass, but he added 47 yards on the ground and his second rushing touchdown of the season.
Nix is third among quarterbacks in rushing fantasy points through three weeks, trailing only Jayden Daniels and Lamar Jackson.
Sunday boosted gamers’ confidence with Nix as rotational QB2, but this is a spot for him and this offense to prove that last week was not a byproduct of facing a battered Tampa Bay defense.
The Broncos are road underdogs with the second-lowest team total of the week.
The Jets are ninth in passing points allowed per attempt (0.286) to open the season.
Despite still working on getting Haason Reddick on the field, the Jets are second in the NFL in pressure rate (44.7%) and lead the NFL with a 14.4% sack rate.
Nix has a 36.1 rating when pressured (28th), throwing 4.5 yards per pass attempt.
Running Back
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More Week 4 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Cowboys @ Giants -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
| Broncos @ Jets | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Saints @ Falcons | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Rams @ Bears | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Vikings @ Packers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Steelers @ Colts | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Eagles @ Bucs | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bengals @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jaguars @ Texans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Commanders @ Cardinals | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Patriots @ 49ers | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Browns @ Raiders | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Chiefs @ Chargers | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bills @ Ravens | Sunday Night Football |
| Titans @ Dolphins -- FREE | Monday Night Football |
| Seahawks @ Lions -- FREE | Monday Night Football |
