The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 11 matchup between the Panthers and Cowboys.
Find a breakdown of every Week 11 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
Dallas | Rank | @ | Carolina | Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|
-10.5 | Spread | 10.5 | ||
26.25 | Implied Total | 15.75 | ||
29.9 | 2 | Points/Gm | 17.0 | 29 |
18.3 | 4 | Points All./Gm | 26.9 | 30 |
66.9 | 5 | Plays/Gm | 65.9 | 7 |
57.7 | 2 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 60.6 | 5 |
5.7 | 8 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.2 | 31 |
4.8 | 4 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.1 | 13 |
43.52% | 11 | Rush% | 35.75% | 30 |
56.48% | 22 | Pass% | 64.25% | 3 |
46.44% | 28 | Opp. Rush % | 50.46% | 32 |
53.56% | 5 | Opp. Pass % | 49.54% | 1 |
- The Cowboys had 10 plays of 20 or more yards and six plays of 30 or more yards last week, the most in a game by a team this season.
- The Cowboys had 411 more net passing yards than the Giants in Week 10. The largest differential in a game this season and the largest in a game since 2009 when New England had 433 more vs the Titans in a 59-0 win.
- Dallas is averaging 42.4 yards per drive since Week 6, the most in the league.
- The Cowboys have scored a touchdown on 37.2% of their drives over that span (second in the league) after a 17.3% rate (20th) before.
- The Panthers have scored a touchdown on 12.5% of their drives this season, ahead of only the Giants (9.2%) and Jets (7.3%).
- Carolina is 28th in points per drive on offense (1.38).
- Carolina is allowing a league-high 2.42 points per drive over their past five games.
- The Cowboys have converted 14.2% more third downs than their opponents, the best differential in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Dak Prescott: Prescott is the hottest quarterback in the NFL right now.
Over his past four games, he has closed as QB1, QB3, QB2, and QB1 for fantasy.
Over that span, Prescott leads the league with 9.7 yards per pass attempt, and 12 passing touchdowns.
He only has 80 fewer passing yards than Sam Howell over that span, who has played one more game during that run.
Dallas has finally swerved into being an aggressive passing offense.
Since Week 6, they have had a 66.1% dropback rate outside of the fourth quarter (seventh in the NFL) and are 9.0% over pass rate expectation.
Prescott will look to stay hot against a Carolina pass defense that is not scary at all on a per-dropback level. Just nobody ever has to throw against them.
The Panthers are 21st in the league in passing points allowed per attempt (0.413) but face just 28.1 pass attempts per game (third fewest) since they are consistently getting flooded on the scoreboard.
Only two quarterbacks have scored more points than what they have averaged entering the week against Carolina, but those have been two big ones. Those were Jared Goff (27.4 points) and Tua Tagovailoa (22.5 points).
Carolina is 30th in the league in terms of pressure rate (30.0%).
When Prescott has not been pressured over his past four games, has completed 71.7% of his passes for 8.7 Y/A, 10 touchdowns, and a league-high 121.8 rating.
Dak is a front-end QB1. Dallas could be up majorly here and pump the brakes, but if they continue to play the style of football over the past four weeks, Prescott will be a large part of them getting there.
Dallas has blown out the Rams and Giants over that stretch, and Prescott was the reason why.
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