The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 11 matchup between the Broncos and Vikings on Sunday Night Football.

Find a breakdown of every Week 11 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

MinnesotaRank@DenverRank
2.5 Spread-2.5
20.5 Implied Total23.0
23.312Points/Gm21.815
20.914Points All./Gm27.632
63.915Plays/Gm58.232
64.721Opp. Plays/Gm62.713
5.69Off. Yards/Play5.215
510Def. Yards/Play6.432
36.15%29Rush%44.27%9
63.85%4Pass%55.73%24
41.11%13Opp. Rush %45.39%24
58.89%20Opp. Pass %54.61%9

  • The Vikings have covered the point spread in five straight games, the longest streak in the league.
  • 94.7% (18-of-19) of the Denver touchdowns have been passing touchdowns, the highest rate in the league.
  • 84.0% (21-of-25) of the Minnesota touchdowns have been passing touchdowns, second in the league.
  • Denver has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, tied for the most in the league.
  • Minnesota has allowed one rushing play of 20 or yards, tied for the fewest in the league.
  • The Vikings have one run of 20 or more yards on offense, tied for the fewest in the league.
  • The Vikings are averaging 41.7 yards per drive in the first half of games (second) and 29.0 yards per drive in the second half (15th).
  • 76.1% of the Minnesota yardage has been gained via passing, the highest rate in the league.
  • 48.7% of the Denver yardage over their past five games has been gained via rushing, the highest rate in the league.

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Russell Wilson: Completing 24-of-29 passes, Wilson had a season-high 82.8% completion rate on Monday night.

He has not thrown for 200 yards or 7.0 Y/A in a game since Week 4, but Wilson extended his league lead with a 6.9% touchdown rate.

Wilson is now 6.8 passing touchdowns over expectations, but after a career-low 3.3% touchdown rate in 2022, sometimes regression in the NFL comes swiftly and heavy-handed.

Even with his lofty touchdown rate, Wilson has been higher than QB9 just one time this season. He is best used as a high-floor QB2.

Minnesota is blitzing at the highest rate in the league (48.6%).

Against the blitz, Wilson is 28th in the league with a 71.9 rating, throwing for 6.2 yards per attempt (28th). He has one touchdown pass against the blitz this season.

On the positive end, Minnesota plays the highest rate of Cover-2 at 25.2%.

Wilson is second in the NFL with a 119.0 rating against Cover-2.

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