The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 11 matchup between the Dolphins and Raiders.
Find a breakdown of every Week 11 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Las Vegas | Rank | @ | Miami | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.0 | Spread | -12.0 | ||
| 18.25 | Implied Total | 30.25 | ||
| 17.2 | 27 | Points/Gm | 31.7 | 1 |
| 20.5 | 13 | Points All./Gm | 25.0 | 26 |
| 58.5 | 31 | Plays/Gm | 61.4 | 22 |
| 64.3 | 20 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.7 | 17 |
| 4.7 | 29 | Off. Yards/Play | 7.1 | 1 |
| 5.2 | 16 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.1 | 12 |
| 42.05% | 17 | Rush% | 41.05% | 21 |
| 57.95% | 16 | Pass% | 58.95% | 12 |
| 46.03% | 27 | Opp. Rush % | 42.76% | 16 |
| 53.97% | 6 | Opp. Pass % | 57.24% | 17 |
- Miami has scored a touchdown on a league-high 75.0% (24-of-32) of their red zone possessions.
- 27.3% of the red zone plays run against Miami have resulted in touchdowns, the highest rate in the league.
- 26.4% of the Miami red zone plays have resulted in a touchdown, the highest rate in the league.
- The Raiders have allowed 1.53 points per drive over their past six games, third in the league.
- The Dolphins have scored 13 touchdowns from outside of the red zone, tied for the most in the league.
- The Raiders have scored one touchdown from outside of the red zone, tied for the fewest in the league.
- Miami has a gain of 20 or more yards on a league-high 8.7% of their plays.
- The Raiders have a gain of 20 or more yards on a league-low 3.3% of their plays.
- Miami is averaging 2.0 more yards per rushing play than their opponent, the largest differential in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Tua Tagovailoa: Before last week’s bye, Tagovailoa threw for a season-low 5.7 yards per pass attempt in Germany against the Chiefs.
Closing that week as QB16, Tagovailoa kept the streak going in which he has not posted back-to-back QB1 scoring weeks.
The Chiefs were able to pressure Tua on 28.9% of his dropbacks, above his base rate of pressure (22.2%) this season.
Putting pressure on Tagovailoa has been the only way to slow down this offense.
When pressured, Tua is averaging just 5.3 yards per pass attempt with a 52.8 rating.
When kept clean, Tagovailoa is averaging 9.2 yards per pass attempt with a 118.0 rating. 17 of his 19 touchdown passes have come without pressure.
The Raiders are 18th in pressure rate (34.3%).
They also are not giving up big plays this season.
The Raiders have allowed 9.9 yards per completed pass this year, fifth in the league.
On throws 20 or more yards downfield, the Raiders have allowed passers to complete 7-of-29 (24.1%) passes, sixth in the league.
They are playing a lot of Cover-3 (37.5% of passing snaps), which Tua has only thrown one touchdown pass against this season on 87 dropbacks.
Before we get out over our skis here, Tua remains a QB1 because of his weekly ceiling.
The Raiders also have had a soft schedule.
They faced Jared Goff in Week 8, but outside of that game, Las Vegas has faced Jordan Love, Mac Jones, Tyson Bagent, Tommy DeVito (after Daniel Jones left), and Zach Wilson.
Slowing down this Miami passing game will be their largest test since early in the season when they allowed Josh Allen to complete 31-of-37 passes with three touchdowns.
To continue reading this article
and gain access to The Worksheet and all of Rich's regular content, including positional rankings and chats, click below to purchase our season-long fantasy package or weekly starter stack.
Purchase
