Titans vs Falcons: Fantasy Football Worksheet, Week 4

• Julio Jones has a touchdown reception in a franchise-record seven consecutive games. It is the longest touchdown reception streak since Antonio Brown went eight straight games a year ago.
• Just 6.7% of the plays run against the Titans have come from inside of the red zone, the second-lowest rate in the league behind New England (3.6%).
• Derrick Henry has a touch or target on 55.8% of his snaps, the highest rate for any running back that has played more than half of his team’s snaps this season.
• Atlanta is allowing 4.3 red zone opportunities per game, 31st in the league and only ahead of Miami (5.3).
• Tennessee averages 10.2 yards to go for a first down on third downs this season, the most in the league.

Trust (spike production for that player)

• Matt Ryan: Ryan has thrown multiple touchdowns in seven consecutive games and has 300-plus passing yards in four in a row dating back to last season. As a home favorite, he’s averaged 29.2 fantasy points per game since the start of last season.
• Julio Jones: In the midst of what is seemingly a career’s worth of touchdown regression, Jones will lock up with Malcolm Butler and Adoree Jackson in a game where we’re stocking Ryan as a top option.

On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)

• Derrick Henry: Even trailing for the entirety of Week 3, Henry still tallied 18 touches. He’s found the end zone in every game this season and in seven of his past eight games. Atlanta was good against the run in their one home game this season against the Eagles backfield committee, but have allowed RB13 and RB4 scoring weeks to Marlon Mack and Dalvin Cook outside of that game. 
• Calvin Ridley: Coming off just one target last week, Ridley is in a bounce-back spot. To go along with Ryan, Ridley has been a better performer in Atlanta with an average of 10.3 yards per target for his career compared to 8.0 per target on the road. 
• Devonta Freeman: He played a season-high 90.2% of the snaps in Week 3 with Ito Smith inactive and received a season-high 19 touches for 95 yards from scrimmage. This matchup isn’t as good as last week with Tennessee 13th in rushing points allowed (12.0 per game), but as a home favorite, Freeman is in the RB2-mix once again. 
• Austin Hooper: He has two top-5 scoring weeks in three games. Hooper is always going to be predicated on volume of scoring opportunities (he’s averaging 9.3 yards per catch again), but both have been steady. Hooper has six or more targets in each game this season. Tennessee has allowed a touchdown to a tight end in each game to start the season. 
• Delanie Walker: He leads the team with 22.8% of the team targets and has at least six targets in every game. Atlanta has yet to allow a touchdown to an opposing tight end, but does rank 21st in receptions allowed (17) to the position. 

Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)

• Marcus Mariota: After a touchdown-fueled Week 1, Mariota has reverted back to the QB20 and QB21 the past two weeks. Atlanta has opened the season eighth in passing points allowed (13.5 per game).
• Corey Davis: He’s yet to be a top-60 scorer on the season and has yet to have more than five targets in any game. 

If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play) 

• Adam Humphries: If there’s a Titans pass-catcher to entertain, Humphries is it. He’s run 13, 23, and 42 pass routes each week of the season and runs into the better matchup of the Titans’ wideouts working the slot against Damontae Kazee. Atlanta has allowed 10-116-1 and 8-59-2 lines to opposing slot receivers over the past two weeks.