The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 13 matchup between the Ravens and Eagles.
Find a breakdown of every Week 13 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Philadelphia | Rank | @ | Baltimore | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Spread | -2.5 | ||
| 24 | Implied Total | 26.5 | ||
| 26.9 | 7 | Points/Gm | 30.3 | 2 |
| 18.1 | 6 | Points All./Gm | 24.5 | 23 |
| 66.1 | 1 | Plays/Gm | 61.3 | 24 |
| 58.2 | 2 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 64.9 | 27 |
| 5.9 | 8 | Off. Yards/Play | 7 | 1 |
| 4.7 | 2 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.5 | 19 |
| 56.26% | 1 | Rush% | 51.02% | 4 |
| 43.74% | 32 | Pass% | 48.98% | 29 |
| 39.69% | 6 | Opp. Rush % | 34.66% | 2 |
| 60.31% | 27 | Opp. Pass % | 65.34% | 31 |
- The Eagles have 24 more plays of 20 or more yards than their opponents, the largest margin in the league.
- Philadelphia is tied for the league lead with 12 touchdowns scored outside the red zone.
- Baltimore leads the NFL in the rate of offensive plays to gain 10 or more yards (25%) and 20 or more yards (8.2%).
- The Eagles have allowed a gain of 10 or more yards on 18.4% of plays (5th) and a league-low 4.4% to gain 20 or more yards.
- The Eagles allow a league-low 5.0 yards per passing play.
- Baltimore averages a league-high 8.2 yards per passing play.
- Baltimore averages 102.3 more rushing yards per game than their opponent, the largest differential in the league.
- Philadelphia averages 94.2 more rushing yards per game than their opponent, 2nd in the league.
- The Eagles average 114.5 more yards per game than their opponents, the largest differential in the league.
- The Eagles have allowed a league-low 1.17 points per drive since their Week 5 bye.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Lamar Jackson: After his first dud for fantasy in Week 11, Jackson rebounded with a QB5 (22.6 points) week on Monday Night.
Jackson only threw 22 passes but connected on 72.7.% for 8.0 yards per pass attempt and two touchdowns through the air.
He added 15 yards and his first rushing touchdown since Week 4.
This will be a strength-on-strength matchup, as noted in the bullet points.
The Ravens have the league’s best offense per passing play, while the Eagles have the best defense per play against the pass.
You are playing Jackson where you have him in league play.
How you feel about this matchup will determine how you play Jackson in DFS.
We did see Matthew Stafford get by last week for fantasy (19.2 points), the first QB1 scorer against the Eagles since Week 4.
They did hold Stafford to 6.8 yards per pass attempt, while the 243 yards passing were the most allowed by Philadelphia since their bye week.
Jackson has only faced a Vic Fangio-led defense twice in his career.
Against Denver in 2021, Jackson scored 19.4 points, throwing for 316 yards (8.5 Y/A).
Last year with Fangio in Miami, Jackson scored 36.3 fantasy points, connecting on 18-of-21 passes for 321 yards and 5 touchdowns.
Jackson has not had many shortcomings in this stellar season, but the one area where he has at least been mortal is against Cover 1.
Against those looks, Jackson has 80 dropbacks, with an 82.3 rating (20th) and a 58.3% completion rate (14th).
Entering this matchup, the Eagles are 17th in the rate of Cover 1 used on passing plays (21%).
Jalen Hurts: Hurts received a reverse taste of his medicine over the past two weeks.
There have been so many times where the Tush Push has prevented Saquon Barkley from a larger runout for fantasy that Barkley has returned the favor in his way these past two games, closing up possessions with long touchdown runs.
Barkley has scored touchdowns from 23, 29, 70, and 72 yards out the past two weeks, which not only prevents Hurts and the Tush Push from factoring into play but also subtracts added plays from the offense.
Paired with the low-volume nature of this passing game, Hurts has ended the past two weeks as QB13 (18.7 points) and QB15 (15.1 points).
Last week was the first time Hurts did not have a rushing touchdown since Week 6.
The Eagles only have a 41.8% dropback rate since their Week 5 bye.
Their highest dropback rate in a game over that stretch is 48.6%.
Opponents against Baltimore have a 68.3% dropback rate, with the lowest being 55.4%.
With the Eagles as road underdogs and facing a strength-on-strength matchup in the run game versus a softer pass defense, the hope is that Hurts and this passing game will finally be pushed.
An increase in dropbacks gives Hurts added upside for passing production and scrambles.
Since their bye, Hurts is 5th in the NFL in completion rate (70.2%) and 3rd in yards per pass attempt (9.7 Y/A).
Like Jackson, you start Hurts every week; it depends on how aggressively you play him in DFS.
This is a spot where Hurts could run into big fantasy points, but there are few potential potholes.
We do have to acknowledge that this Baltimore passing defense has strung together some good outings of late.
They allowed 5.7 yards per pass attempt to Russell Wilson in Week 11 and 6.1 Y/A to Justin Herbert on Monday Night.
The Ravens have not allowed a touchdown pass in three of their past four games.
Hurts and the Eagles pass catchers have more upside than Bo Nix, Wilson, and the Charger pass catchers.
The Ravens' pressure rate at home this season is 37.7% (8th), compared to 25.9% on the road (26th).
That could be impactful here.
Hurts has completed 50.6% of his passes (16th) for 5.7 Y/A (25th) when pressured compared to a 78.7% completion rate (1st) and 9.7 Y/A (2nd) without pressure.
Running Back
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More Week 13 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Bears @ Lions -- FREE | Thanksgiving Day |
| Giants @ Cowboys -- FREE | Thanksgiving Day |
| Dolphins @ Packers -- FREE | Thanksgiving Day |
| Raiders @ Chiefs -- FREE | Black Friday |
| Chargers @ Falcons | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Steelers @ Bengals | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Cardinals @ Vikings | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Colts @ Patriots | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Seahawks @ Jets | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Titans @ Commanders | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Texans @ Jaguars | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Rams @ Saints | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Bucs @ Panthers | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Eagles @ Ravens | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| 49ers @ Bills | Sunday Night Football |
| Browns @ Broncos -- FREE | Monday Night Football |
