Chiefs vs. Raiders Fantasy Football Worksheet, Week 13

The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 13 matchup between the Chiefs and Raiders on Black Friday.

Find a breakdown of every Week 13 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Patrick Mahomes (TRUST): Mahomes has found some fantasy footing, posting a QB1 scoring week in three of his past four games. 

He is still not the front-end QB1 from his apex, but he has thrown multiple passing touchdowns in four of his past five games.

Mahomes took advantage of a stellar matchup against Carolina last week and posted his best fantasy game of the season (28.8 points).

He gets another strong matchup this week as a massive home favorite attached to one of the highest team totals of the week.

The Raiders have allowed a QB1 scorer in three straight games to Joe Burrow (29.1 points), Tua Tagovailoa (23.5 points), and Bo Nix (19.4 points).

They have allowed 18 or more fantasy points to six of the past seven starting quarterbacks they have faced, which includes Mahomes in Week 8.

In that game, Mahomes was 27-of-38 passing for 262 yards and 2 touchdowns, adding 17 rushing yards.

Aidan O’Connell: O’Connell is expected to return this week and be re-inserted as the starter after Garnder Minshew suffered a broken collarbone that will end his season.

O’Connell is only a thin option for 2QB gamers since he is a significant road underdog with a team total below 15 points.

If you are forced to push out O’Connell in those spots, the Chiefs have been more giving for fantasy of late.

The Chiefs have allowed a QB1 scorer in three straight games which includes Bryce Young (16.5 points) and Bo Nix (16.1 points).

They have allowed at least 15 fantasy points to a quarterback in six straight games, a run that includes Minshew when these teams played in Week 8.

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Running Back

Chiefs RBs: We will see if the Chiefs activate Isiah Pacheco this week after holding him out in Carolina.

Pacheco has been practicing for two weeks, so we know he is close.

But even if Pacheco is active, we should anticipate him being eased into action after he recovers from a broken leg.

His return will muddy the water, making him and Kareem Hunt touchdown-dependent FLEX options.

If Pacheco does miss another week, then Hunt can live again as a volume-based RB2.

Hunt has not been good, but he has soaked up the volume and is attached to a huge home favorite.

We would close our eyes and throw that opportunity at the wall.

Hunt had 19 touches for 87 yards Sunday in Carolina. 

He handled 79.2% of the backfield touches, which is spot on for his rate of touches since joining the team.

Hunt has averaged 3.7 yards per carry, which ranks 28th among 30 running backs with 100 or more attempts on the season.

He has a league-high 12 rushing attempts inside the five-yard line over that span.

Hunt delivered for gamers by stacking volume and getting into the end zone when these teams met in Week 8.

Hunt only rushed for 59 yards on 21 carries in that game (2.8 YPC) but found the end zone while stacking 22 touches.

Raiders RBs: Ameer Abdullah and Sincere McCormick handled the backfield duties for the Raiders on Sunday with Alexander Mattison and Zamir White inactive.

Abdullah played 65 snaps, handling 13 touches for 65 yards and adding a receiving touchdown.

McCormick only played 8 snaps, having 5 touches for 33 yards. 

While McCormick did not have much work, he did draw some praise after the game.

Even if Mattison or White return, McCormick could force his way into some opportunities.

He had two runs of 10 or more yards on Sunday. 

Mattison has 5 this season on 97 runs.

Abduallah has 2 on 25 carries.

White has 2 on 65 attempts.

We will not thrust anyone here into lineups as more than a necessary play to fill a roster spot. 

Even in single-game DFS for Friday, these are all thin options.

If you are playing a Raider running back, you hope he lands in the end zone at some point.

For clarity's sake, we would take another week of Abdullah and McCormick splitting the work rather than adding another back to the mix. 

This is the worst running game in the NFL against the league’s best run defense.

The Chiefs allow a league-low 3.2 YPC to running backs.

When these teams played in Week 8, Raider running backs combined to rush 17 times for 16 yards.

Mattison did add 5 catches for 29 yards if you are hoping for some PPR floor points out of him or Abdullah based on availability.

Wide Receiver

Jakobi Meyers: Meyers stacked another plethora of targets on Sunday, catching 10 of 15 for 121 yards.

The Raiders are not a sexy offense, but we should already have a good idea that one of Meyers or Brock Bowers will post a big game weekly through volume.

The two have traded off some of those weeks, but Meyers is someone you have to ride out as a volume-based WR2.

Last week’s game came in an objectively lousy matchup for wide receivers.

The Chiefs are another tough matchup, but Meyers caught 6-of-7 targets for 52 yards and a touchdown in their Week 8 game.

He had 25.9% of the team targets in that matchup.

Since the trade of Davante Adams, Meyers has been targeted on 24.1% of his routes while Bowers is at 27.5%.

The next closest Raider pass catcher over that span is at 13.3%.

In the games that Meyers has played over that stretch, he has 28.4% of the team targets with at least 25% of the targets in five of those six games.

Meyers has only run 21 routes this season with Aidan O’Connell in the game, but he was targeted 5 times (23.8%) with 2.05 yards per route on that small sample size.

DeAndre Hopkins: Hopkins grabbed 5-of-6 targets for 35 yards with a touchdown on Sunday.

The touchdown was fantasy deodorant for another limited opportunity for Hopkins.

Hopkins only ran a route on 44.7% of the dropbacks on Sunday. 

After running a route on 68% of the dropbacks in Week 9, Hopkins has been on the field for 61.2%, 54.3%, and 44.7% since. 

Since joining the Chiefs, he has still been targeted at a quality rate (22.9% of his routes) but is having his playing time managed.

That makes it hard to use Hopkins as more than a matchup-based WR4/FLEX.

There will be opportunities for efficiency again per target, but we need to run into more routes.

Las Vegas allowed 21 catches for 256 yards and 2 touchdowns to the Denver receivers last week.

Nate Hobbs has missed the past two weeks with an ankle injury.

Hopkins only ran 14 routes when these teams played in Week 8 (34.1%) in his first game with the Chiefs.

He caught 2-of-3 targets for 29 yards in that game.

Xavier Worthy: Worthy pulled in 4-of-6 targets for 46 yards in Carolina, adding five yards rushing.

Worthy only has 13.6% of the team targets since the Chiefs added Hopkins. 

Worthy has not hit a 20% target share in a game since Week 8, when these teams last played. 

In that game, he had 22.9% of the team targets, catching 4-of-8 targets for 37 yards and a touchdown.

Getting into the end zone has been the key for Worthy as a touchdown-dependent WR4/FLEX.

Worthy averages 4.1 PPR points per game in his games without a touchdown. 

That ranks 59th out of the top 60 wideouts in fantasy scoring this season.

In his weeks with a touchdown, he averages 16.9 points per game.

At least with Worthy, you know he will be out there more than Hopkins, which always allows the added potential to run into a big play.

Worthy has been on the field for 75.2% of the dropbacks since the team added Hopkins, the highest rate among the wide receivers.

Tre Tucker: After weeks of running cardio, Tucker popped up last week with 7-82-0 on 8 targets Sunday.

Tucker had 12 catches for 113 yards over his six previous games, so we will not chase last week's box score as more than a single-game DFS dart for those playing the Friday slate.

If you are, Tucker will at least be on the field.

He has run a route on 94.3% of the team dropbacks since the team traded Adams but has been targeted on only 13.3% of those routes with 0.75 yards per route.

Tight End

Brock Bowers: Bowers had a down week with four catches for 38 yards, but he did once again garner 10 targets.

Bowers enters the week second in the NFL in receptions (73) and eighth in targets per game (9).

His 25.8% target share is second among tight ends while his 26.9% target rate per route is third.

Bowers is a locked-in TE1 option; this matchup is all about what you do in single-game DFS with him.

Kansas City has focused on slowing down lead targets this season, and they made Bowers their priority in the first matchup.

He had 5 catches for 58 yards, but his 18.5% target share was his second-lowest rate in a game since the trade of Adams.

Top-down, the Chiefs have had their share of issues with tight ends.

Tight ends have scored 24.9% of the fantasy points allowed by the Chiefs, the highest share in the league.

Travis Kelce: Kelce pulled in 6-of-8 targets for 62 yards in Carolina.

After a blistering target rate when he hit 30% of the team targets in every game in Weeks 8 through 10, Kelce has slowed down a touch in the past two weeks with target shares of 12.9% and 22.2%.

He also had his playing time slightly reduced.

Kelce has run a route on 74.3% and 80.9% of the dropbacks the past two games, his two lowest rates of the season.

Those are still sturdy for a TE1, but we were ready to see a Kelce-WR1 type close to the season, something we may not quite get.

That said, this is another great matchup to attack an upside outcome if that route rate climbs back on Black Friday.

Kelce caught 10-of-12 targets for 90 yards and a touchdown when these teams played in Week 8.

The Raiders have struggled against tight ends, allowing an 80.8% catch rate (31st), 8.7 yards per target (28th), and an 8.7% touchdown rate (29th) to the position.

Noah Gray: Gray continued living his best life on Sunday, catching all four of his targets for 66 yards and 2 more touchdowns.

Gray has scored four touchdowns over the past two weeks after zero through his first 9 games.

While that immediately raises a red flag, and we will not stock multiple touchdowns per week moving forward, Gray has stayed consistent in being on the field for dropbacks if you are chasing the touchdown dragon paired with the matchup notes listed above with Kelce.

Gray has been on the field for 50% or more of the dropbacks in six straight games. 

He has been on the field for 85.7% and 54.5% of the dropbacks in the red zone the past two weeks.

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