The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 12 New York Giants vs Chicago Bears Sunday afternoon game on November 24, 2019 at 1 pm ET.
|47.3%||29||Opp. Rush %||40.7%||18|
|52.7%||4||Opp. Pass %||59.3%||15|
- The Giants have trailed for 77.4% of their offensive snaps, ahead of only the Bengals (78.7%) on the season.
- The Giants have been on offense while trailing by double-digits in nine different games this season, the most in the league.
- Since Daniel Jones took over the starter in Week 3, the Giants have turned the ball over on 24.7% of their drives, the highest rate in the league.
- The Bears are 14th in turnover rate forced per drive this season (13.1%). At this point last season, they were first in the league at 23.5%.
- The Bears are averaging 5.4 yards per passing play, fewest in the league.
- The Giants are allowing 8.2 yards per passing play, 31st in the league.
- 21.7% of David Montgomery’s carries have gained five or more yards, the lowest rate for all 30 players with 100 or more carries on the season. Average among that group is 34.1%.
- Chicago’s average offensive touchdown length is 9.2 yards, the lowest in the league.
- Chicago average touchdown length allowed defensively is 10.0 yards, the lowest in the league.
On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)
- Saquon Barkley: It’s tough that we’ve got Barkley as more or less a volume-based fantasy play, but the Giants have struggled to run the football effectively and the high-yardage floor for Barkley hasn’t been there consistently. Barkley has carried 64 times for 165 yards (2.6 YPC) over his four games since returning to the lineup with 29 yards on 27 carries over his past two games. He does have at least five receptions in his past three games to give him a floor, but has been the RB17 and RB29 in his past two games without a touchdown. Chicago has gotten leaky defensively against backs, allowing 103.3 rushing yards per game over their past six to backfields after allowing 58.8 yards per game on the ground through four weeks.
- Allen Robinson: Robinson has really been victimized by the offense of late, with two weeks at WR61 (4-15) and WR86 (1-6) in two of the past three weeks. Last week, Robinson received just 12.8% of the team targets, after at least 20.0% in each of the first nine games of the season. Robinson is in a similar spot as the one he was in Week 5 when Chase Daniel drew the start. That week Robinson caught 7-of-8 targets for 97 yards and two touchdowns. The Giants have allowed 10 touchdowns to the opposing lead wideout — tied for the most in the league — and are 29th in yards allowed per game to lead receivers (92.1). Quarterback play and overall target volume are still looming concerns here, but Robinson has a favorable layout on paper.
- Bears RBs: With David Montgomery fighting through an ankle injury last week, he led the backfield with 15 touches, but Tarik Cohen also had more involvement, posting a season-high 14 touches. In the four nearly full games Chase Daniel has played the past two seasons with the Bears, Cohen has receiving lines of 7-45-1, 12-156-0, 2-7-1, and 6-39-0 while he’s been an RB3 or better in all four games. Montgomery is an inefficient player, but a source of viable touches in a positive matchup attached to a home favorite. Montgomery is tied for third in the league with 11 opportunities inside of the 5-yard line and the Giants are 25th in rushing points allowed per game (15.6) to backs.
Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)
- Daniel Jones: Jones has had some major spike weeks, but they’ve all come in spots in which we were targeting him as a legit option against the Bucs, Lions, and Jets, three teams in the bottom of the league in passing points allowed. The Bears are fifth (12.2) and tied for third with just nine passing touchdowns allowed.
- Giants WRs: With Sterling Shepard returning to the lineup this week, that takes away some of the heavy volume that Golden Tate has been living on. Tate has double-digit points in each of his past five games played without Shepard active with a 23.9% of the team targets over that span. In the lone game that the two played together, Tate had 15.8% of the team targets while Shepard had 26.3%. With the spot not being favorable for their quarterback, both Tate and Shepard fall back to lower-end WR3 options against a Bears defense that is fourth in the league in fantasy points allowed per game to opposing wide receivers.
If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play)
- Taylor Gabriel: Gabriel is coming off a career-high 14 target game, giving him 29.8% and 26.1% of the team targets over the past two games. He’s also gone over 50 receiving yards in three of the past four weeks, but hasn’t hit 70 yards in a game since Week 3. The Giants have been a defense to target vertically as they’ve allowed eight touchdowns on throws 15-yards or farther downfield, 30th in the league.
- Mitchell Trubisky: Trubisky has been cleared to play this week after leaving the tail end of Sunday night with a hip injury. Trubisky did come through for us in a similar spot two weeks against the Lions with a QB8 scoring week (19.7 points) and the Giants are 24th in passing points allowed per game. But Trubisky still has a hurdle in not only the potential of his hip injury causing another issue, but also if he starts slow or poorly, does he finish the game?
More Week 12 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet: