Raiders vs Jets Fantasy Football Worksheet, Week 12

• The Jets have scored on 43.5% (10-of-23) of their possessions the past two weeks after 13.3% through eight games. 
• Oakland is allowing 28.2 passing yards per drive, 30th in the league.
• The Jets are 31st in rushing yards per drive (6.0), ahead of only Miami (5.4).
• Oakland is averaging 13.1 rushing yards per possession, fifth in the league.
• The Jets are allowing 6.6 rushing yards per possession, the fewest in the league.
• The Jets are first in the league in expected points added via their rush defense (58.6).
• 81.6% of the non-passing points allowed by the Jets have come via passing, 27th in the league.

Trust (spike production for that player)

• Jamison Crowder: In weeks with Darnold under center, Jamison Crowder ranks eighth among all wide receivers in fantasy points (112.1) and ninth among team target share (25%). Crowder has found the end zone in each of the past three games, matching the most touchdowns he’s had in a season since 2016. 

On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)

• Le’Veon Bell: Bell isn’t making it pretty, but he keeps getting where we need him to. Bell hasn’t rushed for more than 70 yards in a game this season and has carried 61 times for 182 yards (2.9 YPC) over his past four games. He’s had a pair of 1-yard scores boost his games the past two weeks, but still has 20, 22, and 25 touches the past three weeks. Oakland has allowed 182 and 149 yards from scrimmage to the Chargers and Bengals backfields the past two weeks. 
• Darren Waller: Waller got back up to seven targets (%) last week after his usage dipped over the two previous weeks. The Jets are eighth in receptions allowed per game to tight ends (3.8) but have faced just one top-12 scoring tight end on the season in Zach Ertz, who had a 5-57-1 line in that game. 
• Tyrell Williams: This is a good matchup for Williams, but his usage has been so flat since returning to the lineup that it’s hard to elevate him to a full ceiling play. Williams hasn’t had more than four catches in a game since Week 2 and has just six, four, five, and four targets over his four games since returning to the lineup. The Jets have been giving to opposing wideouts over the past month, allowing 188.0 yards per game and 10 total touchdowns to the position over their past four games. 
• Josh Jacobs: Jacobs is now averaging 20.8 touches per game with at least 20 touches in four of his past six games. He’s still underused in the passing game (82.0% of his points are from rushing) but he has managed to catch three passes in each of the past two games. The Jets are a tough matchup for run-dependent backs as they’re allowing 65.4 yards per game on the ground to backs (fourth in the league) and a league-low 3.0 YPC to backs, but have allowed eight rushing scores to the position (20th). 

If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play) 

• Derek Carr: Carr has come through for us in these favorable spots. Over the past month, Carr has QB1 scoring weeks against the Texans (23.4 points), Lions (19.6), and Bengals (19.8). He gets another game in that same bucket of matchups. The Jets have morphed into a pass funnel defense this season that has allowed 17 or more points to Gardner Minshew, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Daniel Jones, and Dwayne Haskins over the past four weeks.
• Sam Darnold: Darnold gets his fourth-consecutive matchup against a team that is in the bottom eight in the league in expected points added via their pass defense. After bricking his first game versus Miami as the QB22 (12/5 points), Darnold has rebounded with QB7 (21.7 points) and QB7 (25.4 points) scoring weeks against the Giants and Washington. Oakland is 28th in passing points allowed and has allowed multiple touchdown passes to seven different passers this season. 
• Hunter Renfrow: Renfrow is tied for the team lead with 22 targets over the past four weeks, catching 19 of those opportunities for 250 yards and two touchdowns. The ceiling is still low as Renfrow has a 6.7-yard average depth of target on those targets, but has had double-digit points in three of those four weeks.
• Ryan Griffin: Griffin has double-digit points in four of his past six games. He’s already scored a career-high four touchdowns while coming off his first 100-yard game of his career. Oakland is 28th in points allowed per game to opposing tight ends (14.7) and have allowed seven touchdowns to the position, which is tied for the second-most in the league.
• Robby Anderson: Anderson hasn’t had more than four targets in any of his past three games despite some great matchups on paper. He gets another one this week versus an Oakland defense that is allowing the highest rate of completions to go for 20 or more yards (21.8%), but he takes an extreme step of faith at this point.