|35.1%||3||Opp. Rush %||37.4%||8|
|64.9%||30||Opp. Pass %||62.6%||25|
- Since drafting Russell Wilson in 2012, the Seahawks are 17-6 in the Eastern Time Zone (15-7-1 ATS) with five consecutive wins.
- Wilson leads the league in passing points per attempt (.604). League average is .380.
- Wilson leads all players in red zone fantasy points (105.6) and red zone touchdowns (22).
- Seattle leads the league in red zone touchdowns per game (2.7).
- Carson Wentz is averaging 20.9 passing yards per possession, 30th in the league.
- Just 9.3% of Zach Ertz’s fantasy points have come via touchdowns, the lowest rate of the top-30 scoring tight ends.
Trust (spike production for that player)
- Russell Wilson: Wilson has been a QB1 in just one of his past four games. The Eagles have allowed just 187.3 passing yards per game and three touchdown passes over their past four games after allowing 296.0 yards and 13 touchdowns through six games. Those past four passers have been Dak Prescott, Josh Allen, Mitchell Trubisky, and Tom Brady. The good news is the Seahawks are entering the game as an underdog and should be pressed to throw given the Philadelphia rush defense. When the Seahawks have had to press the scoreboard, Wilson has shown his highest ceiling moments this season.
- Zach Ertz: With all the injuries to the Eagles offense, Ertz has stepped back into a target-rich role. He has 11 targets and nine receptions in each of the past two games. After topping out at 72 yards in a game through eight games, he’s had 103 and 94 yards the past two weeks. Seattle is 28th in yards allowed per game to tight ends (61.5) despite facing just two TE1 scorers on the season.
On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)
- Chris Carson: Carson has been an RB2 or better in seven straight games, but has been an RB1 in just three of them. The Eagles are seventh in rushing points allowed per game (10.1), but Carson has faced the 49ers (19.1 points) and Buccaneers (13.3) over his past two games, who are third and eighth in the same category.
- Carson Wentz: Wentz has finished higher than QB17 in just one of his six games. He’s thrown multiple touchdown passes in just one of those games. His yards per pass attempt have sagged to 6.6 Y/A, which is his lowest since his rookie season of 6.2 Y/A. If he’s going to snap out of this funk, Seattle has allowed three 300-yard passers over their past six games with five top-12 scoring quarterbacks over that span.
- Tyler Lockett: Early word from Pete Carroll was that the team was planning for Lockett to be available this week after suffering a leg injury in Week 10. The Eagles haven’t allowed a 100-yard receiver over their past three games, but as noted as above, their recent passing recoil could be impacted by quarterback play. Even with that recent play, the Eagles rank 27th in points allowed to opposing WR1 options (17.1 points per game). If Lockett can’t play, then Josh Gordon gets elevation as a WR3 option with upside.
- D.K. Metcalf: Metcalf has nine or more targets in three of his past four games. He’s been a top-30 scorer in five of his past six games and is tied for the league lead with 13 end zone targets on the season. The Eagles have played better pass defense as of late for various reasons, but they still are 25th in touchdowns allowed to wideouts (13) and rank last in the league in points allowed to boundary wide receivers per game.
- Jacob Hollister: Hollister has been the TE4 and the TE3 over his past two games. The first came on the strength of touchdown output, but then he came back in Week 10 and received 29.4% of the team targets, catching eight for 62 yards and another touchdown. Given Seattle’s scoring ability and Wilson leading the league in end zone targets (39) it’s not far-fetched at all for Hollister to step into the fantasy role Will Dissly had and be a touchdown-heavy, top-12 tight end option for the remainder of the season.
- Miles Sanders: Jordan Howard still hasn’t been cleared for contact yet, leaving his status still on the doubtful side of things as of Friday. Without Howard last week, Sanders played a season-high 64 snaps (84.3%), but managed just 13 touches (for 47 yards) on all those snaps while Boston Scott still handled seven. I’d anticipate those 13 touches to be on the lower end of an outcome if his snap share remains similar this week. Jay Ajayi could finally suit up and have a role, but hasn’t appeared in an NFL game since Week 2 of last season. Seattle is mid-pack defensively against backfields, ranking 17th in rushing points allowed per game (12.9) and 15th in receiving points allowed per game (10.6).
If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play)
- Dallas Goedert: Goedert has set a new season-high in routes run in each of the past two games with 29 and 35. He’s averaging 5.6 targets per game over his past five games, but has only reached double-digit fantasy points in the weeks in which he’s found the end zone. The targets are regularly higher for Goedert than someone like a Darren Fells if chasing a touchdown. Goedert has five end zone targets this season compared to just one for Ertz.
- Alshon Jeffery: Jeffery appears to be working his way back to the lineup this weekend after missing last week with an ankle injury. The target volume is there for Jeffery when active. He’s had 25.2% of the team targets over the past six games, but he hasn’t been a WR3 or better since Week 6.
More Week 12 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet: