The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 12 Detroit Lions vs Washington Redskins Sunday afternoon game on November 24, 2019 at 1 pm ET.
| Detroit | Rank | @ | Washington | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | Spread | 3.5 | ||
| 22.75 | Implied Total | 19.25 | ||
| 24.4 | 11 | Points/Gm | 12.5 | 32 |
| 27.2 | 27 | Points All./Gm | 25.3 | 22 |
| 64.8 | 10 | Plays/Gm | 53.2 | 32 |
| 67.9 | 32 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 66.1 | 25 |
| 40.4% | 13 | Rush% | 38.7% | 21 |
| 59.6% | 20 | Pass% | 61.3% | 12 |
| 40.8% | 19 | Opp. Rush % | 48.9% | 30 |
| 59.2% | 14 | Opp. Pass % | 51.1% | 3 |
- Washington has lost nine consecutive games at home, the longest home losing streak in the league.
- Washington has scored 17 or fewer points in eight consecutive games, the longest streak in the league.
- Washington ranks 32nd in third down conversion rate on offense (26.2%) and 32nd on defense in third down conversion rate allowed (49.3%).
- Dwayne Haskins has been sacked 14 times on 100 dropbacks (14.0%) while Case Keenum was sacked 12 times on 203 dropbacks (5.9%).
- Just 15.1% of the Washington drives have ended inside of the opponent’s red zone, the lowest rate in the league.
- Washington averages 0.7 red zone touchdowns per game, the fewest in the league.
- The Lions allow 2.4 red zone touchdowns per game, the most in the league.
- Marvin Jones (+4.2) and Kenny Golladay (+3.8) are the top-two wide receivers in touchdown output over yardage expectation in the league.
On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)
- Kenny Golladay/Marvin Jones: The weekly floor has been lowered for the Detroit passing game options and both are due some scoring regression, but these two remain the primary weekly options in a pass-heavy offense. Driskel has targeted Golladay a team-high 14 times, but the two have connected just four times for 91 yards and a touchdown. Jones has been targeted 11 times, but with more success, catching nine of those looks for 120 yards and two touchdowns. Washington is allowing a league-high 72.7% completion rate on targets to opposing wideouts while they are 31st in fantasy points allowed per target (2.16) to the position.
If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play)
- Jeff Driskel: Driskel has been the QB12 (18.1 points) and the QB5 (27.5 points) in his two starts. His 1.98 fantasy points per possession over the past two weeks ranks fifth among all quarterbacks. He’s still struggled as a passer overall, completing 58.3% of his passes for 6.6 yards per pass attempt, but has added 88 rushing yards. Washington is 32nd in completion rate allowed (71.7%) to opposing passers while 28th in touchdown rate (6.1%).
- DET RBs: The Lions added Bo Scarbrough to the backfield rotation last week. Scarbrough played a team-high 32 snaps while handling 14-of-17 backfield carries (14-55 yards). He wasn’t targeted in the passing game and ran seven pass routes. Ty Johnson played 19 snaps and ran a team-high 13 pass routes, but managed just three touches. J.D. McKissic played 15 snaps and ran nine routes, but maintained some usage as he was targeted four times (3-40) on those routes with three carries for 13 yards. This isn’t a sexy backfield by any means, but if you have to chase, Scarbrough is the bet for a touchdown while McKissic has the highest receiving floor. Washington is 28th in yards from scrimmage allowed per game (160.6 yards) to backs.
- WAS RBs: From one backfield mess to another. In his first game back, Derrius Guice played 20 snaps while Adrian Peterson played 17. Due to game script, both trailed Wendell Smallwood’s 31 snaps, but Smallwood was a nonfactor in the opportunity department, tallying just one catch on three targets. Peterson had 11 touches to eight for Guice, but Guice flashed some upside with a 45-yard touchdown catch. Detroit has allowed 17 touchdowns to running backs (31st) while they are 30th in yards from scrimmage allowed per game (164.1) to backfields.
- Dwayne Haskins: Haskins was far from good in his second start, throwing for just 214 yards and 6.1 yards per pass attempt, but he salvaged the day with supreme garbage time for a QB13 scoring week (17.1 points). Haskins threw for 119 yards and two touchdowns in the fourth quarter after going 12-of-20 for 95 yards and no scores through three quarters. He gets another soft play on paper against a Lions defense that is 20th in passing points allowed (20.5) and has allowed a top-12 scorer in seven straight games and in nine of 10 games this season.
- Terry McLaurin: Last week we found out that Haskins is a bigger issue for McLaurin than being elevated solely by a great matchup. McLaurin did have a 67-yard reception called back in the second quarter last week, but he managed just four official targets which were tied with two other players for second on the team behind Kelvin Harmon’s six targets. McLaurin gets another solid matchup on the page this week as Detroit is 28th in yardage allowed per game (182.7 yards) to wideouts, but McLaurin is stuck in FLEX territory.
More Week 12 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet:
IND at HOU | MIA at CLE | CAR at NO | NYG at CHI | OAK at NYJ | PIT at CIN | DET at WAS | SEA at PHI | TB at ATL | DEN at BUF | JAX at TEN | DAL at NE | GB at SF | BAL at LAR
