The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 14 matchup between the Titans and Jaguars.
Find a breakdown of every Week 14 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Jacksonville | Rank | @ | Tennessee | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | Spread | -3.5 | ||
| 18.25 | Implied Total | 21.75 | ||
| 19 | 25 | Points/Gm | 18.4 | 28 |
| 28.3 | 29 | Points All./Gm | 27.7 | 27 |
| 55.9 | 32 | Plays/Gm | 60.3 | 24 |
| 66.8 | 30 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 59.1 | 4 |
| 5.3 | 17 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.9 | 26 |
| 6.1 | 32 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.9 | 4 |
| 40.39% | 24 | Rush% | 43.09% | 16 |
| 59.61% | 9 | Pass% | 56.91% | 17 |
| 46.07% | 21 | Opp. Rush % | 47.81% | 26 |
| 53.93% | 12 | Opp. Pass % | 52.19% | 7 |
- The Titans are a league-worst 2-10 against the point spread this season including an 0-5 ATS record at home and 0-3 as a favorite.
- Jacksonville has been outscored by 114 points (206-92) on the road this season, the worst margin in the league.
- 16.8% of Jacksonville's offensive plays have gained 10 or more yards over their past four games (31st in the league).
- Jacksonville's 31.5% success rate on passing plays over that span is the lowest in the league.
- The Titans have a league-worst 36.2% success rate on passing plays for the season.
- The Jaguars have a 52.5% success rate defending passing plays, 31st in the league.
- The Jaguars allow 5.4 plays of 20 or more yards per game, the most in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Will Levis: It was not a pretty game for Levis on Sunday, completing a season-low 48.6% of his passes for 5.7 yards per pass attempt.
The Titans dropped 4 passes while Levis led the league with a 24.3% inaccurate throw rate.
Levis only has one QB1 scoring week, so he is stuck as a fantasy QB2.
But if you are a gamer forced to push Levis into 2QB lineups or stream him, this is as good of a spot as you could hope for as a home favorite against a Jacksonville defense we have targeted regularly.
That has not paid off in full lately with Sam Darnold or C.J. Stroud.
Levis has thrown multiple passing touchdowns in three of his past four games.
The Jaguars have allowed a league-high 18.5 passing points per game, allowing a 70.3% completion rate (30th), 8.4 Y/A (13th), and a 5.9% touchdown rate (31st).
Mac Jones: Jones is set to finish the season as the Jacksonville quarterback after Trevor Lawrence suffered a head injury on a scary late hit on Sunday.
We have a small sample of Jones this season, but it has not been endearing.
Among 45 quarterbacks with 50 or more dropbacks this season, Jones has a 35.5% success rate.
That is ahead of only Deshaun Watson (34.6%) and Tyler Huntley (34.4%).
17.4% of his throws have been inaccurate, the highest rate on that list.
Jones has pushed the football downfield, averaging 9.3 air yards per attempt (3rd), but he has still completed 3% fewer passes than expected, which ranks 40th out of 45 passers.
Jones was QB27 (5.2 points) and QB29 (4.2 points) in his two starts this season.
If looking for the glass-half-full approach here in 2QB formats, Jones did score 20 fantasy points in jailbreak conditions on Sunday.
After starting games against the Vikings and Lions, this is a better matchup than those.
The Titans have allowed multiple passing touchdowns in six of their past eight games.
They have only allowed 6.9 yards per attempt in those games (8th) but a 68% completion rate (26th) and a league-high 7% touchdown rate since their Week 5 bye.
Running Back
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More Week 14 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Packers @ Lions -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
| Jaguars @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jets @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Falcons @ Vikings | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Saints @ Giants | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Panthers @ Eagles | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Browns @ Steelers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Raiders @ Bucs | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Seahawks @ Cardinals | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Bills @ Rams | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bears @ 49ers | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Chargers @ Chiefs | Sunday Night Football |
| Bengals @ Cowboys -- FREE | Monday Night Football |
