The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 14 matchup between the Buccaneers and Raiders.
Find a breakdown of every Week 14 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Las Vegas | Rank | @ | Tampa Bay | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spread | -7 | ||
| 19 | Implied Total | 26 | ||
| 18.6 | 27 | Points/Gm | 27.9 | 5 |
| 27.8 | 28 | Points All./Gm | 24.7 | 25 |
| 62.3 | 15 | Plays/Gm | 63.3 | 12 |
| 62.6 | 21 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 65.7 | 29 |
| 4.9 | 28 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5 |
| 5.2 | 8 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.7 | 26 |
| 34.27% | 32 | Rush% | 42.63% | 19 |
| 65.73% | 1 | Pass% | 57.37% | 14 |
| 42.88% | 15 | Opp. Rush % | 38.20% | 5 |
| 57.12% | 18 | Opp. Pass % | 61.80% | 28 |
- The Raiders have trailed for 73.7% of their offensive snaps, ahead of only the Giants (74.9%).
- Las Vegas has turned the ball over on a league-high 19% of their possessions on the road.
- 41.1% of the possessions against Tampa Bay have reached the red zone or scored prior, 29th in the league.
- 27.6% of the Las Vegas possessions have reached the red zone or scored prior, 30th in the league.
- Las Vegas allows 5.3 scoring plays per game (31st), but 50.8% of those have been touchdowns (7th).
- 64.4% (38-of-59) of the Tampa Bay scoring plays have been touchdowns, 7th in the league.
- The Buccaneers have converted 47.6% of their third downs, 2nd in the NFL behind the Chiefs (51.8%).
- The Raiders have a league-worst 30.1% success rate on rushing plays.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Baker Mayfield: In a season filled with positives, Mayfield was not at his best on Sunday.
He ended the week QB29 (10.2 points), completing 21-of-33 (63.6%) passes for 235 yards (7.1 Y/A) with one touchdown and 2 interceptions.
Mayfield produced -1.0 EPA or fewer on 23.7% of his dropbacks, his highest rate since Week 3 against Denver.
His 18.2% inaccurate throw rate was his highest rate in a game this season.
That was only Mayfield’s third game this season finishing lower than QB13.
Despite the bad taste from Sunday, he has been steady this season through a fantasy lens.
He has thrown one or fewer touchdown passes in three straight games, but Mayfield can quickly eliminate (or compound) any concerns.
The Bucs are large favorites at home, with a team total of 26 points.
That is a solid signal to return to Mayfield as a fringe QB1 in a week with so many byes.
The matchup is sound as well.
The Raiders are 27th in pressure rate (30%), are allowing 15.4 passing points per game (27th), and a 5.2% touchdown rate (23rd) to passers.
When Mayfield was kept clean, he had a 7% touchdown rate, which is 3rd in the league.
Aidan O’Connell: Returning from a broken thumb, O’Connell was solid on Black Friday, closing the week as QB11 (19.6 points) in Kansas City.
He threw for a career-high 340 yards and two touchdowns.
Going back to last season, this was O’Connell’s fourth QB1-scoring week over his past six full games started.
I am just as shocked to find that out as you may have been.
That provides some added confidence for gamers who use O’Connell in 2QB formats or are forced to stream him.
The matchup is not daunting, either.
I had the note about the Tampa Bay splits being better last week, with both of their starting cornerbacks, Zyon McCollum and Jamel Dean, available.
They only allowed 6.5 yards per pass attempt and a 56.5% completion rate to Byrce Young, but they still surrendered 15.9 passing points.
Tampa Bay has allowed 17.2 passing points per game for the year, 31st.
Running Back
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More Week 14 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Packers @ Lions -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
| Jaguars @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jets @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Falcons @ Vikings | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Saints @ Giants | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Panthers @ Eagles | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Browns @ Steelers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Raiders @ Bucs | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Seahawks @ Cardinals | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Bills @ Rams | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bears @ 49ers | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Chargers @ Chiefs | Sunday Night Football |
| Bengals @ Cowboys -- FREE | Monday Night Football |
