The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 9 Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Monday Night Football game on November 4, 2019 at 8:15 pm ET.
DallasRank@NY GiantsRank
-7Spread7
27.5Implied Total20.5
27.16Points/Gm19.822
17.77Points All./Gm27.227
65.38Plays/Gm62.920
619Opp. Plays/Gm64.221
45.7%6Rush%34.8%28
54.3%27Pass%65.2%5
37.9%11Opp. Rush %47.5%28
62.1%22Opp. Pass %52.5%5
  • The Cowboys are 11-1 both heads up and against the spread over their past 11 games versus divisional opponents, including five straight wins and covers versus the Giants.
  • This is the largest favored point spread for the Cowboys visiting the Giants since the 1997 season.
  • The Giants have allowed a touchdown on 26.7% of their opponent’s drives, 27th in the league.
  • The Cowboys have scored a touchdown on 32.4% of their drives this season, the highest rate in the league.
  • Dallas leads the league in the rate of runs to gain positive yardage (89.3%) on the season.
  • The Cowboys are first in the league in yardage per play differential (+1.3 yards) than their opponents. 
  • The Giants have run an offensive play with the lead in just two games this season, ahead of only the Dolphins (once).

Trust (spike production for that player)

  • Dak Prescott: Prescott has at least 18 points in every game but one this season while the Giants rank 26th in passing yardage allowed per game (283.5) to passers. Prescott has been a top-three fantasy scorer in three of his past four games against the Giants with three 300-yard passing games.
  • Ezekiel Elliott: Elliott had 33 and 28 touches prior to the bye week and has had his receiving work bounce back with five or more receptions in three of his past four games played. The Giants have struggled in all capacities to opposing backs, ranking 26th in yards from scrimmage allowed per game (157.1) to backfields.
  • Amari Cooper: The pulling factor of Cooper’s wonky road splits versus premium matchup is at play here. Cooper has 10-95-1 in two full road games this season as opposed to 28-526-4 in four games at home this season. The Giants have been a target for boundary receiver play for us as they are allowing 52.9% of opposing deep targets to be completed (29th) while they have allowed a league-high eight touchdowns to opposing WR1 options.
  • Saquon Barkley: Barkley has been the RB9 and RB4 since returning to the lineup while he’s had 139, 142, and 108 yards from scrimmage in his three games versus the Cowboys.

On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)

  • Michael Gallup: Gallup has slowed down with 7-72 on 11 targets over his past two games. Both of those were also objectively strong matchups on paper like this one, so we have to pump the brakes on his hot start a touch. The Giants are still a matchup we want to pursue as they’re 30th in points allowed to the position, including a 7-158 line to Gallup in Week 1.
  • Evan Engram: Engram got back into the end zone last week, but still managed a pedestrian four catches for 40 yards on seven targets. He’s now caught 15-of-30 targets for 142 yards over his past four games. The good news is that he’s found a lot of success versus the Cowboys, albeit with Eli Manning starting. Engram has scored in three straight games versus the Cowboys, including an 11-116-1 game back in Week 1.
  • Golden Tate: Tate has received 29.0%, 31.4% and 24.4% of the team targets in his past three games with three top-24 scoring weeks. That came after just 15.8% in the one game he played with Sterling Shepard when he was the WR68. With Shepard out once again, Tate is a viable WR2 option.

Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)

  • Daniel Jones: Jones has had two spike weeks with 34.2 and 28.2 points with 33.2 points combined in his three other starts. Dallas is eighth in the league in pressure rate (25.7%) and sixth in passing points allowed per game (12.5).

If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play)

  • Jason Witten: Witten has reached double-digit points just once over his past five games, but we’d be remiss if we didn’t touch on Witten versus the Giants. Witten’s lore against the Giants is an odd one, but he’s been a top-12 scorer in nine of his past 12 games against the Giants with a touchdown in three straight.
  • Randall Cobb: Cobb has had just 12.4% of the targets the past two weeks, but draws a soft matchup in which we’re expecting his quarterback to post high yardage. The Giants’ primary slot corner, Grant Haley, is allowing the most yards per coverage snap in the slot (1.78) this season. Cobb had 4-69-1 in the Week 1 meeting between these teams.

More Week 9 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet:

SF at ARI | HOU vs JAX | TEN at CAR | NYJ at MIA | MIN at KC | CHI at PHI | WAS at BUF | IND at PIT | DET at OAK | TB at SEA | CLE at DEN | GB at LAC | NE at BAL | DAL at NYG