The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 13 New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Monday Night Football game.
|New Orleans||Rank||@||Tampa Bay||Rank|
|45.49%||27||Opp. Rush %||42.07%||13|
|54.51%||6||Opp. Pass %||57.93%||20|
- The Buccaneers are 0-4-1 against the spread at home this season.
- The Saints are the only team in the league that has not covered a game on the road this season (0-5 ATS).
- New Orleans has forced a turnover on 4.6% of opponent possessions, the lowest rate in the league.
- Opponents have scored on 29.0% of their drives against Tampa Bay, the second-lowest rate in the league.
- The Saints are allowing 4.7 yards per play since Week 8 (third in the league) after allowing 5.6 yards per play prior (18th).
- New Orleans is allowing 1.63 points per drive over that span (ninth) after allowing 2.10 points per drive prior (23rd).
- The Buccaneers’ average length of touchdown is just 7.1 yards, ahead of only the Steelers (5.4 yards).
- Tampa Bay is last in the league in rate of carries to gain five or more yards (30.0%) and rate to gain 10 or more yards (8.6%).
Trust = spike production for that player
Tom Brady: Brady continues to live as a high-end QB2 rather than a QB1 in fantasy. He closed as QB13 (18.0 points) this past week, throwing for 246 yards, 5.7 yards per attempt, but with a pair of touchdowns in Cleveland. Brady now has just two top-12 scoring weeks on the season, with the last one coming back in Week 5.
It will be hard to push Brady above that status here given his performance in this rivalry. In six games against the Saints since joining the Bucs, Brady has completed 58.9% of his passes for 6.2 yards per pass attempt. He has nine touchdowns and eight interceptions in those games, throwing for more than 239 yards in just one of those games.
The Saints are also allowing 6.2 yards per pass attempt since Week 7 (second in the NFL) with just five touchdown passes over those six games.