The start of the 2022 NFL season is fast approaching and training camps are in full swing.
Below, we break down the current and opening NFL Team win totals, odds, biggest movers and best bets.
Biggest Team Movers in NFL Win Totals
In the first week of wagering, seven teams had movements in Win Totals, which we have factored into NFL Strength of Schedule.
Teams Totals Win Total Movement:
- Philadelphia Eagles increased from 8.5 wins to 9.5 wins (July 11 ).
- Carolina Panthers increased from 5.5 wins to 6.5 wins (July 11).
- Washington Commanders increased from 7.5 to 8.5 wins (July 11).
- Jacksonville Jaguars dropped from 6.5 wins to 6 wins (Apr 4).
- Kansas City Chiefs dropped from 11.5 wins to 11 wins (Apr 4).
- Seattle Seahawks dropped from 6.5 wins to 6 wins (Apr 4).
- Atlanta Falcons opened at 5.5 wins and were bet down to 5 wins (Mar 30).
- Chicago Bears opened at 7.5 wins and were bet down to 7 wins (Mar 30).
- Las Vegas Raiders opened at 8 wins -125 over and were bet up to 8.5 wins (Mar 30).
- Miami Dolphins opened at 8.5 wins -130 over and moved to 9 wins (Mar 30).
- New Orleans Saints opened at 7.5 wins -120 over and moved to 8 wins (Mar 30).
- The New York teams’ totals are headed in opposite directions as the Giants opened 7.5 -135 under dropped to 7 wins, while the Jets opened at 5 -130 over shifted to 5.5 wins (Mar 30).
Early Best Bets for NFL Win Totals
Chicago Bears, Under 6.5 -125 BETMGM
The new general manager did not prioritize upgrading one of the league’s worst offensive lines. The Bears’ offense allowed a league-high 58 sacks and Fields was sacked on 11.8% of his dropbacks the league’s highest rate. The offense will struggle if Fields can’t get rid of the ball faster in 2022.
- Continued reading: Bears Win Total Over/Under & Why You Should Bet It
Las Vegas Raiders Under 8.5 -125 BETMGM
The Raiders sacrificed significant draft capital and salary cap room to obtain Davante Adams and potentially have the division’s fourth-best roster. The difficult division opponents set the Raiders up with the league’s third most difficult schedule in 2022 including an extra road game.
Win Totals for all 32 NFL teams & Why You Should Bet It:
Every NFL offseason, Warren Sharp releases his Football Preview Book, which uses expert analysis to break down all 32 teams through in-depth team chapters that are both data driven and actionable.
One of the most popular sections from each team chapter is the Sharp Football team’s write-up on why to bet the Over or Under for a given team, which you can access for free below:
- Arizona Cardinals Win Total Over/Under
- Atlanta Falcons Win Total Over/Under
- Baltimore Ravens Win Total Over/Under
- Buffalo Bills Win Total Over/Under
- Carolina Panthers Win Total Over/Under
- Chicago Bears Win Total Over/Under
- Cincinnati Bengals Win Total Over/Under
- Dallas Cowboys Win Total Over/Under
- Denver Broncos Win Total Over/Under
- Detroit Lions Win Total Over/Under
- Green Bay Packers Win Total Over/Under
- Kansas City Chiefs Win Total Over/Under
- LA Rams Win Total Over/Under
- NY Giants Win Total Over/Under
- NY Jets Win Total Over/Under
- Tampa Bay Win Total Over/Under
- Tennessee Titans Win Total Over/Under
2022 NFL Team Win Totals & Odds
|Team||BETMGM Win||July 11 BETMGM||BETMGM Win Totals||May 10 Odds||BETMGM Win Totals||April 15 ODDS||Win Total Mar 25||Odds Mar 25|
|Arizona Cardinals||Over 9.5||+135||Over 9.5||+135||Over 9.5||+135||Over 9||-110|
|Under 9.5||-165||Under 9.5||-165||Under 9.5||-165||Under 9||-110|
|Atlanta Falcons||Over 4.5||-105||Over 4.5||-105||Over 4.5||-115||Over 5.5||-120|
|Under 4.5||-115||Under 4.5||-115||Under 4.5||-'105||Under 5.5||+100|
|Baltimore Ravens||Over 9.5||-160||Over 9.5||-130||Over 9.5||-125||Over 9.5||-125|
|Under 9.5||+130||Under 9.5||+110||Under 9.5||+105||Under 9.5||+105|
|Buffalo Bills||Over 11.5||-130||Over 11.5||-125||Over 11.5||-120||Over 11.5||-135|
|Under 11.5||+110||Under 11.5||+105||Under 11.5||+100||Under 11.5||+115|
|Carolina Panthers||Over 6.5||+105||Over 5.5||-120||Over 5.5||-120||Over 6||-110|
|Under 6.5||-125||Under 5.5||+100||Under 5.5||+100||Under 6||-110|
|Chicago Bears||Over 6.5||+105||Over 6.5||-140||Over 6.5||-140||Over 7.5||+110|
|Under 6.5||-125||Under 6.5||+115||Under 6.5||+115||Under 7.5||-130|
|Cincinnati Bengals||Over 9.5||-120||Over 9.5||-120||Over 9.5||-120||Over 10||+110|
|Under 9.5||+100||Under 9.5||+100||Under 9.5||+100||Under 10||-130|
|Dallas Cowboys||Over 10.5||+105||Over 10.5||-110||Over 10.5||-110||Over 10.5||-105|
|Under 10.5||-125||Under 10.5||-110||Under 10.5||-110||Under 10.5||-115|
|Denver Broncos||Over 10.5||+125||Over 10.5||+130||Over 10.5||+130||Over 10||-125|
|Under 10.5||-155||Under 10.5||-160||Under 10.5||-160||Under 10||+105|
|Detroit Lions||Over 6.5||-110||Over 6.5||+105||Over 6.5||+120||Over 6||-115|
|Under 6.5||-110||Under 6.5||-125||Under 6.5||-150||Under 6||-105|
|Green Bay Packers||Over 10.5||-145||Over 10.5||-145||Over 10.5||-140||Over 11||-125|
|Under 10.5||+120||Under 10.5||+120||Under 10.5||+115||Under 11||+105|
|Houston Texans||Over 4.5||-105||Over 4.5||-105||Over 4.5||-105||Over 4.5||-105|
|Under 4.5||-115||Under 4.5||-115||Under 4.5||-115||Under 4.5||-115|
|Indianapolis Colts||Over 9.5||-160||Over 9.5||-140||Over 9.5||-125||Over 9.5||-110|
|Under 9.5||+130||Under 9.5||+115||Under 9.5||+105||Under 9.5||-110|
|Jacksonville Jaguars||Over 6.5||+105||Over 6.5||+105||Over 6.5||+105||Over 6.5||+100|
|Under 6.5||-125||Under 6.5||-125||Under 6.5||-125||Under 6.5||-120|
|Kansas City Chiefs||Over 10.5||-115||Over 10.5||-115||Over 10.5||-140||Over 11||+115|
|Under 10.5||-105||Under 10.5||-105||Under 10.5||+115||Under 11||-135|
|Las Vegas Raiders||Over 8.5||-110||Over 8.5||-110||Over 8.5||-110||Over 8||-125|
|Under 8.5||-110||Under 8.5||-110||Under 8.5||-110||Under 8||+105|
|Los Angeles Chargers||Over 10.5||+110||Over 10.5||+120||Over 10.5||+120||Over 10||-120|
|Under 10.5||-130||Under 10.5||-145||Under 10.5||-145||Under 10||+100|
|Los Angeles Rams||Over 10.5||-105||Over 10.5||+100||Over 10.5||-115||Over 10.5||-115|
|Under 10.5||-115||Under 10.5||-120||Under 10.5||-105||Under 10.5||-105|
|Miami Dolphins||Over 8.5||-130||Over 8.5||-130||Over 8.5||-120||Over 8.5||-130|
|Under 8.5||+110||Under 8.5||+110||Under 8.5||+100||Under 8.5||+100|
|Minnesota Vikings||Over 8.5||-135||Over 8.5||-130||Over 8.5||-130||Over 9||-110|
|Under 8.5||+115||Under 8.5||+110||Under 8.5||+110||Under 9||-110|
|New England Patriots||Over 8.5||-120||Over 8.5||-120||Over 8.5||-120||Over 8.5||-125|
|Under 8.5||+100||Under 8.5||+100||Under 8.5||+100||Under 8.5||+105|
|New Orleans Saints||Over 8.5||+100||Over 8.5||+120||Over 8.5||+120||Over 7.5||-120|
|Under 8.5||-120||Under 8.5||-145||Under 8.5||-140||Under 7.5||+100|
|New York Giants||Over 7.5||+130||Over 7.5||+130||Over 7.5||+125||Over 7.5||+115|
|Under 7.5||-160||Under 7.5||-160||Under 7.5||-155||Under 7.5||-135|
|New York Jets||Over 5.5||-160||Over 5.5||-145||Over 5.5||-120||Over 5||-130|
|Under 5.5||+130||Under 5.5||+120||Under 5.5||+100||Under 5||+110|
|Philadelphia Eagles||Over 9.5||-110||Over 8.5||-150||Over 8.5||-115||Over 8.5||+100|
|Under 9.5||-110||Under 8.5||+125||Under 8.5||-105||Under 8.5||-120|
|Pittsburgh Steelers||Over 7.5||-110||Over 7.5||-120||Over 7.5||-120||Over 7.5||-110|
|Under 7.5||-110||Under 7.5||+100||Under 7.5||+100||Under 7.5||-110|
|San Francisco 49ers||Over 9.5||-135||Over 9.5||-140||Over 9.5||-140||Over 10||-115|
|Under 9.5||+115||Under 9.5||+120||Under 9.5||+120||Under 10||-105|
|Seattle Seahawks||Over 5.5||-140||Over 5.5||-140||Over 5.5||-130||Over 6.5||+100|
|Under 5.5||+115||Under 5.5||+115||Under 5.5||+110||Under 6.5||-120|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||Over 11.5||-110||Over 11.5||-110||Over 11.5||-110||Over 11.5||-110|
|Under 11.5||-110||Under 11.5||-110||Under 11.5||-110||Under 11.5||-110|
|Tennessee Titans||Over 9.5||+120||Over 9.5||+100||Over 9.5||+100||Over 9.5||-110|
|Under 9.5||-145||Under 9.5||-120||Under 9.5||-120||Under 9.5||-110|
|Washington Commanders||Over 8.5||+140||Over 7.5||-125||Over 7.5||-125||Over 7.5||+100|
|Under 8.5||-165||Under 7.5||+105||Under 7.5||+105||Under 7.5||-120|
Get the Best Odds Available
Whether betting for a hobby or trying to win money in the current betting landscape the most important fundamental is getting the best available odds.
Don’t leave money on the table by betting at one sportsbook, sign-up and take advantage of the sign-up bonuses available from multiple sportsbooks. Take advantage of the offers available, but also know the rules of each offer.
When Should you bet on NFL Win Totals?
Win totals in the past were typically not available until after the NFL draft. Sportsbooks are now offering these bets earlier and you the bettor should understand why.
Sportsbooks are holding any money wagered on NFL team totals until early January 2023, which adds time value to the sportsbooks hold of 4.7%. Holding money for 10 months gives the sportsbooks to increase profits greater than the regular vig of a -110 wager.
In addition, sportsbooks are also getting early exposure to the market while limits are relatively low and adjusting lines, reducing exposure and risk when limits are raised.
When placing a future bet such as NFL Win Total months prior to the season starting an important concept to understand is the time value of money.
The concept that money is worth more now than the same sum will be worth in the future due to its earning potential in the interim. Sportsbooks are enticing bettors to place wagers earlier and earlier on future bets.
Wagering now comes at an opportunity cost as NFL Win Total Wagers will not be graded until January 2023 tying up funds wagered for nearly 9 months.
Also, as information regarding the schedule is missing, which includes travel and net rest, waiting for complete information will help reduce variance.
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