As part of the Sharp Football Draft Kit, Raymond Summerlin is posting a fantasy football preview for all 32 NFL teams.
This preview includes advanced stats, the fantasy football outlook for Kirk Cousins, Drake London, Kyle Pitts, Bijan Robinson, and every other notable Falcon as well as in-depth analysis of the coaching staff, passing game, and rushing attack.
Find a link to every team preview in our Draft Kit Hub.
- Atlanta was 11% under their expected pass rate over the last two seasons.
- Over the last two seasons, Drake London has been targeted on 25.2% of his routes run, 16th among receivers over the span. However, he has averaged just 27.3 pass routes per game, 70th among receivers.
- Bijan Robinson was 35th among running backs in goal-to-go carries last season.
2023 Falcons Stats (NFL Rank):
- Points: 321 (26th)
- Total Offense: 5,683 (17th)
- Plays: 1,092 (13th)
- Yards Per Play: 5.2 (14th)
- Offensive TDs: 31 (25th)
- Points Per Drive: 1.59 (27th)
- Situation Neutral Pace: 26.9 (3rd)
2024 Falcons Coaching Staff:
- Head Coach: Raheem Morris
- Offensive Coordinator: Zac Robinson
Atlanta will see one of the larger offensive shifts moving from Arthur Smith to Zac Robinson, who is part of the Sean McVay coaching tree.
Under Smith, the Falcons ranked dead last in the rate of 11 personnel, using it on 30.1% of snaps. The league average over the last three seasons was 70.8%.
The Rams had a league-high 89.5% rate of 11 personnel usage during the last three seasons.
Atlanta tipped their hand in that regard this offseason, adding Darnell Mooney, Rondale Moore, Ray–Ray McCloud, and sixth-rounder Casey Washington to the receiving group.
Neither the Rams nor Kirk Cousins’ former Vikings, also coached by a McVay alum, have been off the charts in neutral pass rate over the last two years, but the Falcons have been dead last by a considerable margin.
Atlanta was 11% under their expected pass rate over the last two seasons.
We should see a lot more dropbacks, more receivers, and a more successful passing attack moving forward.
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2023 Falcons Passing Stats:
- Dropbacks: 599 (29th)
- Neutral Pass Rate: 46.5% (30th)
- Pass Rate Over Expected: -9.7% (32th)
- Pressure Rate Allowed: 31.1% (5th)
- ESPN Pass Block Win Rate: 60% (11th)
2024 Falcons Passing Game Preview:
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